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latitude

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Everything posted by latitude

  1. latitude
    GFS 06 is crap for cold. Builds a ridge and stops the cold uppers temps hanging round. Even the SE has just as much rain as the SW. Between now and Wednesday pretty much damp and wet after any initial wintry stuff later today.
  2. latitude
    With an easterly flow what else do you expect? The only PPN the SW will get will be attacks from the Atlantic which sometimes pay off, but mainly snow to rain events.
  3. latitude
    To add to my last post, just saw the BBC UK video forecast, looks snowy for Bristol area, just really supprised at how high the temperatures are even towards the SE. There just hasent been time to get the cold inplace for a couple of days before any PPN arrives. Monday looks wintry but pretty damp.
  4. latitude
    Looking at the BBC website for Bristol the temperatuers seem to be getting warmer rathar than colder, 5 DEGREES and RAIN MONDAY? 5!!
  5. latitude
    Your be fine on your hill. Might of rushed my first sentance, not had chance to fully get an idea of whats going on....more important things to think about like Bristol City getting relegated than any snow!
  6. latitude
    Had slush all over the car when i popped out in Yatton. 1.8 here. Crap short term, medium looks cold.
  7. latitude
    3.6 here and dropping pretty quick. Sunday night into early monday looks interesting before the rain arrives with warm section and -5 850's moving out of our region. Still hoping for a push West with the 850's but not looking like it.
  8. latitude
    No real shift west on the 06z run. Looks like the pattern is pretty much certain now. Snow moving into the Bristol region overnight turning to rain for a period before the colder uppers move in again. By then the PPN has gone. Devon and Cornwall get just rain. But the colder uppers will be back from later Monday into next week by the looks of it.
  9. latitude
    Looking a very close run thing for the Bristol area Monday. As for the rest of the GFS run, very good for lasting cold all week. And even high pressure building North of the UK. ECM has colder uppers further West I think.
  10. latitude
    Read my post again. 18z output. The 12z output is was much more promising with the milder section practically gone. Look again a the 18z from Monday 3.00am until Thursday, no snow PPN on Monday, then dry until Thursday with the Atlantic knocking. Its right infront of your eyes. As I said this is the 18z output... Ive not predicted anything.........ITS WHAT THE OUTPUT MODEL SHOWS!!!!
  11. latitude
    Going by the 18z your location of Berkshire is the battle ground. Further west its damp.
  12. latitude
    For SW England from Saturday to Thursday the PPN is rain with mild (as per the ECM) on Thursday. Turning into a non-event for Cornwall, Devon, Somerset, Dorset and Wiltshire. As per the GFS 18z.
  13. latitude
    The 18z is rubbish for the SW. All the way through until the Atlantic on Thursday. Monday has rain for most.
  14. latitude
    Newbury!!!!! No wonder your excited........YOUR NOT NOT IN SW. Are you trolling or would you wish to be added to the nonsense blurters watch list. If I'm wrong, please correct me.
  15. latitude
    7.1 here, mild.
  16. latitude
    Dont take my word for it, but at the moment your right on the borderline. A little further push west with cold uppers and you might be ok. Fingers crossed for you..........and everyone else...............even who is struggling with weather modeling.
  17. latitude
    Daisey, where do you live?
  18. latitude
    Nice post. But still think your nowhere near me, AWD or our Ian
  19. latitude
    HAHAHA gottolovethisweather You have just upset 75% of our region! Back to outlook. Slowly but surely more western areas are getting the colder uppers with the warmer sectors disappearing, a nice trend. Looking for a nice sunny drying day on Sunday with a cold night, before any PPN enters my region. Get the cold in place first, gives a better chance of settling snow. Lets hope the UKMETO model is spot on. Will say it again, feel sorry for Cornwall and Devon. My back yard is very borderline, but has upgraded this afternoon. I hope my post is ok gottolovethisweather I know you run this thread and you are the voice of reason, and everything you say is totally spot on and true.
  20. latitude
    Thats so funny. 'SW, YOUR NAMES NOT DOWN, YOUR NOT COMING IN'!
  21. latitude
    the GEM is what we want. The front stalls across the SW.
  22. latitude
    GFS looks better for SW members, but mostly rain. How does the UKMETO compare regarding westward position of cold uppers?
  23. latitude
    Seen enough upto 144. The cold air still with us. If we can get a bit of luck Monday, with a slight West shift of the cold air we could, COULD be in business.
  24. latitude
    Well cold air back across the West on Wednesday. Seems very messy up to then and lots of snow around.
  25. latitude
    Dont really agree. The shortwave drops SE quicker bringing back the cold uppers, and better ridging towards Greenland.
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