snowy weather
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Posts posted by snowy weather
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Just now, Ben Sainsbury said:
EURO4 18z and UKV 21z beginning to show some very large accumulations now and more widespread than previous runs.
Any idea on how its looking for Crawley?
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What the current outlook?
Is there a reason for such huge differences between metoffice and bbc?
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Just now, wintermaster said:
The Met app has us down for snow until 3 am on Tuesday. Chill and enjoy the ride. So many people are taking too much notice of weather symbols. You will see snow !
Hope so mate. I was looking at their website. BBC website looks cracking though.
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well, looks like a damp squib for Crawley according to the metoffice lol.
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How's it looking for the Crawley area?
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14 minutes ago, snowy weather said:
Was expecting a huge downgrade as that usual happens next morning but its looking better and better here in Crawley. Metoffice is adamant we will get continuous snow from Saturday night to Monday night. And with temps well below zero and staying that way till Thursday/Fridsy the snow could be around for a while. I'm so excited hhaha.
As there been a westward shift? The amber warning has been creeping ever more slowly towards Crawley.
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Was expecting a huge downgrade as that usual happens next morning but its looking better and better here in Crawley. Metoffice is adamant we will get continuous snow from Saturday night to Monday night. And with temps well below zero and staying that way till Thursday/Fridsy the snow could be around for a while. I'm so excited hhaha.
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1 minute ago, wintermaster said:
I’m no expert. But I’m in Crawley too, and it’s looking good IMO.
Excellent!
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Hows it looking for Crawley on saturday night-Monday night? Metoffice and bbc looking good.
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Very comfortable weather here. 11 degree Celsius outside and raining. Perfect for sleeping.
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Just now, Allseasons-si said:
A displacement(i think) would be two places at opposite ends but a split can be more places,it really is hard to judge and we would have more info nearer the time,besides,i am not one to be asking as i don't have as much knowledge as the more strat geeks on here(sorry guys)
Thank you, much appreciated:)
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Just now, Allseasons-si said:
Yes this is possible as we would not know yet where the pv segments would end up in the lower latitudes but a greater chance than without an SSW.
Thank you. Can the cold weather from an ssw end up in both the UK and US or can it only end up in one place?
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Is it possible for us to be on the wrong side of a SSW?
For example can it happen that instead of the UK, it is the US that gets all the cold due to the SSW?
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1 minute ago, steveinsussex said:
There is no snow for Crawley tonight
Fair enough haha.
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6 minutes ago, SussexSaint said:
Fair enough buddy,I want snow as much as everybody else but ( personally) I don’t trust the BBC apps,but I sure hope they are right
It wasn't the app and yeah I do know the chances of materialising are very low but just needed some excitement these days haha.
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1 minute ago, SussexSaint said:
Good for what? There may be a frost but I can’t see a lot else on the horizon
BBC showing heavy snow throughout the night.
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Looking very good for Crawley tonight. One question, what causes the shift from heavy snow to sleet and then to heavy snow all in the space of 2 hours, under the same temps in the middle of the night?
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34 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
I don't buy into this. The cold hasn't just suddenly vanished, it's still there in the Arctic. The reason Europe hasn't got deep cold established is due to the persistent nature of the Russian & Siberian high preventing a route for deep cold to move into Europe. That same HP is part of the reason we have an up-coming SSW, too. Short term pain = long term gain in this case.
We're seeing an increasingly stagnant cold pool developing in situ across the UK and Europe as we go through into January, marginal events will slowly become less marginal. Once we see the high retrogress towards Greenland and a trough drop down into Scandi, deep cold isn't a million miles away. Exceptional, exceptional ensemble mean!
Thank you for this. I understand. Hopefully it comes off
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Seriously, f**k the met office. Serious winds here and no warning by the metoffice. Just had a family member get hurt.
Why is weather forecasting so poor?
Over the last few weeks they have been very poor at predicting rain and wind. I would rather they exaggerate the chances of bad events so people can prepare.
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4 minutes ago, Tony Cassidy said:
Have you not got light snow? We have here in Tilgate
I'm in crawley. Do you think it will rain early morning like the metoffice are currently saying?
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What's going on?
Has it turned away or something?
I'm in crawley and it looked like we would do well out of it.
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1 hour ago, mb018538 said:
It always forms at this point of the year....it just depends where it ends up in the depths of winter that will allow the epic shots of cold to perhaps come our way, or if it is a strong westerly vortex then we will inevitably have our usual plate of wind rain and mildness.
OK thanks.
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1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:
Its just the 'classification' of the vortex
when the 10mb winds go positive - thats the date the PV has formed-
It wont have a bearing on winter just yet as we need to see how the strength builds through October - Nov-
The weak sun should impact it in terms of making it weaker-
Also over the last decade - areas of low heights over the NH (50-70N) in Autumn have been notably absent-
ENSO signal will be very weak & QBO whilst decending Westerly should still be weak Easterly @50HPA through October ( currently around -22 ) so again a low impact weak vortex event...
So far so good in the world of the stratosphere...
Thanks for the explanation.
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19 hours ago, Steve Murr said:
Today is day 1 of 2018 Winter vortex.!!!
Positive 0.1M/S - An early start for the PV.
Im quite excited this winter as the prospect of something very tasty coming along-
Sea ice anomalies in the 2 key regions very significant in terms of worse than usual & the CFS modelling of the stratosphere showing that as we start to hit the colder months through Autumn so the strat may run much lower than usual..
Still about 6 weeks to go before we see the reality - but early excitement builds..
Great work @Mattias
Todays CFS runs see a SSW mid November - similar to 1962..
Why is the polar vortex forming a food think?
I read this https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/atmosphere/polar-vortex
And I'm just a little confused. Surely it is better for the polar vortex to not form so cold air can come down?
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted
If it shifts just slightly west, I'm in the money haha