[Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch]

4 hours ago, Steve Murr said:

That the overall early formation of the PV will be weaker than usual - suggesting weaker westerlies ....

Nice,

Thanks for the explanation.

[Stratosphere and Polar Vortex Watch]

4 hours ago, Steve Murr said:

Whilst some of us begin to break out of early hibernation-

I noted todays 3 CFS runs for very late autumn indicating very weak stratospheric winds

What does that mean in terms of the weather? 

[Model output discussion - summer rolls on]

21 minutes ago, stainesbloke said:

Friday/Friday night

Nice

[Model output discussion - summer rolls on]

1 hour ago, mb018538 said:

BBC forecast also matching that fax output....some places are going to get some monumental storms by the looks of things. Every ingredient you need is going to be there.

What day for the storms?

[Model output discussion - summer rolls on]

51 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

I mentioned this yesterday - the meto numbers started out 30c then have gone up 1c daily - now at 34...

We are homing in on that 35c Mark..

The highest ever temperature recorded in the uk is 38.5 according to the met office.  With the heat being this intense and for such a long time, I reckon this could be broken.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

1 minute ago, Lampostwatcher said:

radar expoding into life again in nw london 7cm snow depth 

That's a good depth.  

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

There is a lovely bit of precipitation that was stretching from Lilles to Amiens. It seems to be making its way towards us very slowly.

Hopefully it will pick up more moisture on the way

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

5 minutes ago, HighPressure said:

Everything is white, not a lot of depth, probably an inch maybe 2 on the flat but its drifting, we seem in a perpetual semi blizzard situation..    

Yeah same here.

Its amazing we are talking about snow in mid march lol.

 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

6 minutes ago, HighPressure said:

The snow doesn't seem to want to stop here in Sevenoaks, its been constant for the last few hours, and that blob over the estuary looks ominous??   

Has much settled?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

6 minutes ago, James Gold said:

Meteo group or something - haven’t seen a correct bbc forecast for ages

They always overcook the temps.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

4 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:

lol no

Im already sending out a few texts to my colleagues that it looks like it will be difficult haha. Just to gauge the mood haha.

To be fair it has settled on the roads etc...

 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

I commute to london for work, shall I not bother tomorrow and take a snow day?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

10 minutes ago, Marie said:

Can anyone tell me why we are getting nothing here in Brighton ? Thanks in advance 

On the radar it looks very close to reaching you.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

5 minutes ago, Daniel said:

It's pretty much the system expanding on it's back edge 

Interesting. Thanks.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

4 minutes ago, Daniel said:

Defently some back building happening!

What is back build and how does it happen?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

13 minutes ago, James Oliver said:

Developing into something much larger now. This certainly wasn't forecast. 

If only it moved west a little haha.

Any chance of it hitting west sussex?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

What are the snow depths around Romford and the Chelmsford Region? 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

1 minute ago, Rob Deacon said:

more times than not this happens, it did in the last spell 3 weeks ago, and has done many times in last 20 years of me radar/model watching on the internet.

It's normally mid Sussex with Haywards Heath being the centre, I wonder if it's to do with the topography of the land with the south downs etc.

That's interesting.

It may be the topography.

Because we did quiet well in 2008,2009,2010, 2013.

 

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

Out of interest what is causing that snow shield around west Sussex?

Just looking to learn more about the weather.

It seems interesting how the precipitation is just moving around us lol.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

South coast - circulation around Brighton ( like the eye of a storm no PPN )

Is that likely to change? Lol

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

Any chance for Crawley?

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

8 minutes ago, bobbydog said:

a streamer is a good possibility. don't worry about MetO forecasts now, just watch the observations- radar, sattelite and wind direction.

Good advice

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

10 minutes ago, Come rain snow or shine said:

Look at the the met officer rader ... go back in time from then to now. You'll see the direction the snow bands/showers are movingin the SE  - which is anti clockwise, with the centre of the bands between london and the sussex coast. That centre might be a low pressure forming.

 

 

 

 Both. you can track it here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/rainfall-radar#?map=Rainfall&fcTime=1521226800&zoom=5&lon=-4.00&lat=55.01

Thanks

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

4 minutes ago, wintermaster said:

We had some moderate snow here in Crawley this morning. But looking at the Met radar there is not much more to come ?‍♂️?

Im in crawley as well mate. Was hoping for some more.

[SE and East Anglia general weather discussion 03/03/2018 onwards]

6 minutes ago, Come rain snow or shine said:

Looking at the direction [anti clockwise] of the snow radar returns for the SE ... it does look as if a low is forming over the south east  [between london and the sussex coast].  

What does that mean? Just looking to learn