Shiny_Bottom_1

Fridays position of this low still looks like a hard call. The 00z compared to yesterdays 12z (GEFS) shows the rain being lighter than most members (but still around moderate) but more prolonged. Most members seem to go for a wet day, with it having a heavy 2-3 hours ppn. The GEFS Op seems to go for slightly lower pressure, but still pretty much in line with other members. Temps look pegged back due to the cloud cover/rainfall, so not looking like a good call to take the day off METO offers some glimmer of hope in their regional foercast, with the morning looking dry, with rain coming in by the afternoon (looking possible for the heaviest of rain to go further north than here).

Interesting watch for Friday/Saturday. I booked the day (Friday) off about 5-7 days ago, when the high pressure domination started showing. By no means do I think the low pressure position is fixed, and Countryfile seemed to go for a fairly dry start to the day followed by some light rain later on (for Central and Southern England). Expect some changes on the runs to come, but will be interesting watching verification.

I was driving somewhere down in Hampshire way I think. I remember watching the car thermometer creep up all day. I remember getting out of the car at some point early afternoon, and then swiftly getting back in with the air con on. Beautiful day though.

was that meant to be a slip of the tongue there Chris?

What I find quite amazing reading the number of threads on AGW, climate change etc, is why we havent come to an agreement that no-one has yet been able to conclude that AGW is solely linked to CO2 etc. In fact, that it is solely linked to anything. Surely the most common of senses would suggest that there is a correlation between green house gas increases and AGW, but there are also other factors. No one scientist has yet to explore every potential contribution in one report, and so until they do so, we will just continue arguements on a sole source basis. Unfortunately, I dont see a conclusion coming from that.g

Oh bugger I should have put bike No...your right. Stoopid cat.

Funny you should mention toads. About 5 minutes ago, whilst doing my daily shredding, I heard some squeeking. Went out the back door to find my car trying to play with a toad. Hopefully its gone now, but a good sign (we did see some very small frogs/toads the other night jumping around).

Had one sneek in through the back door the other night OON. Flushed down the toilet...I guess I thought I would give it a 'log flume' stype exit. I think I might give the salt and collection pot a go. Its strange what you say about the big ones, albeit logical. Its the big ones which are eating the live matter on the plants.

What I was trying to explain HA is this. Lets say Global temperatures are rising. You've noted some colder spots/areas. On that basis, you would expect other areas to therefore have a higher +ve annomoly than those you have listed to create an increasing global temperature.

The problem HA, is talking about global warming and then looking at regional variances. The two havent got the same variables unfortunately, so it shouldnt be compared (IMO anyway).

A-ha! I hadnt thought of that. They can have the table salt...the sea salt tastes too good. Do you think if I got some cocktail sticks, put each one I found on one, stuck them in the lawn, it would scare off the other ones?

Anyone else having a problem with slugs at the moment. We seem to have an attack of the big grey ones with orange skirts along the bottom (oo-er for the fashion). One the other night must have been around 10cm long. They're demolishing our pansys and A N Other (Mrs SB1 knows what they've called), and also started nibbling out our broom bush thingy. Trouble is, all the flowers that they're attacking are either growing through chipped bark or in pots on the chipped bark. With a little-un (child that is) and a cat, and with the floor type, not too keen on putting any slugger killer on (and yes, unlike foxes, they need to DIE!). But slightly off topic there. Anyone else having problems with these? We didnt seem to have them since we mvoed here, but this year (at a guess, due to the rain) they out in they're party frocks and munching away.

Have noticed today a number of Ant colonies appearing. Havent seen many up until now (apart from the ant runs in our compost bin ) And a spark might also make it a little too hot.

Hi Rob. I think the main difference is the recent projections in the ppn. Recent weeks have continued with the wet theme, albeit with some potential of warmer weather at some point (so understand where your coming from). I think in general, we might need to look at it as building blocks. A drier outcome I think would be welcomed by most (and would guess yourself also), and any 'extra' heat would be an added bonus :lol:

Interestingly though Ian, the ensembles still paint quite a dry picture, albeit less warm (still low 20's in Central England) and perhaps sunny. All is not lost, and we may be seeing the usual too'ing and fro'ing of the models before a decision is made. Certainly hints at something more akin to what many have been looking for on recent days runs, but the movement in projection would suggest perhaps whilst the warmer weather is now a little downgraded, then same philosophy would apply for the 06z.

I've booked next Friday off on the off chance of a good day. As you say, still looking alrighty on the 00z.

Len. I'm sure Paul can defend himself, but... I'm not sure what kind of answer you are actually looking for. Was it delibrate, no. Should it change back, I dont think so. Is it better, yes (for me at least). Just FYI - It wasnt freezing when I was using IE6. Just a question, but have you got an LCD/Plasma TV? A TFT? A DVD or Bluray player? An Ipod? All advancements in technology.

Dont ask me why, but somehow I didnt think the purpose of this thread would last.

As long as its warm Gavin, its a start. Warm and dry for me is much better than average and wet. Both scenarios have cloud, but at least there would be an improvement

Seems like some are missing the potential when looking at the ensembles on the GEFS. Pressure rise, warming up and drying up. I really cant see the negativity in the mid to long term.

Looking quite dry at the moment in the mid to long term. Cant complain really, can you.

*Yawn* - Sums up my view on the story.

I'm just wondering if there is any basis or reports for such a thread? Seems a sweeping statement to make.

Dont mean to be rude, but you've lost me?

Hi Chris. When you have an image open, if you click on anywhere off the image, it automatically closes it