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Snowman.

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Everything posted by Snowman.

  1. This has caused a new low to spawn which is going to take a more southerly track which may send more energy under the block this could help us achieve are blocking.
  2. Shortwave sent east into the seaboard. This will have a real knock on effect in FI, this has also seem to weaken the low as its taken a bit more energy east.
  3. ECM between 144 hours and 168 really doesn't look right as the low just decides to turn around again shifting a good couple of hundred miles west and heights north disintegrate and it turns into another battle.
  4. T108 looks as if its hit that brick wall and is losing energy! Ok thanks anyway.
  5. If you think its all over then their something wrong here let me compare the model runs from 1962. 10th Dec 15th PV over Greenland jet above Scotland many would have given up by now. 20th Dec 26th From pest from the west to a great northern blocking all it took was 6 days. It doesn't take a extremely long time for a block to develop!
  6. T72 Couple years back perfect easterly brewing for a couple days the POOF vanished cant remember exact details it was around 5-6 years back.
  7. I also believe this when I hear "Atlantic dominated" I would normally expect low after low after low not low spinning around for a few days before backing west.
  8. it doesn't come down to the sun we have had many snowy and cold winters without being in a solar minima.
  9. Ctrl F for 'lag' and press the arrows it says many years at some points but its max is about 2 years depending of the low.
  10. Have no idea I just go told that It might be wrong but if it was to rise the effects would also go 9 months later it has to do with the energy from the sun which doesn't travel at the speed of light...
  11. Classic pub run, then drops the entire thing a goes for a full PV, classic GFS.
  12. I'm guessing by the silence of the forum were just one shortwave away from a heart attack...
  13. I also do believe that we will see maybe one more attempt of blocking this side of winter probably around the festive period how cold/snow to be given from this if any at all is beyond me.
  14. Solar activity has a lag effect of about 9 months usually when we see it low through out the year you can make a sort of prediction of how the winter will pan out.but not to the month as it just gives us the building blocks to get all the other ones in the right spot. We're meant to be in Solar maxima but it doesn't look the case. Expect winters around the 2020 period to be on the chilly side and compare this solar maxima to last. EDIT: Sunspot number sits at around 35 Which awfully low at the moment.
  15. The run was starting to look good then it loses it at the end a bit as it topples at least the signals are their. ECM ensembles & GFS one's too up next.
  16. Looks like their is some very weak ridging into Greenland from Scandy/Norway it might be too weak yet.
  17. Lost are southerly tracker but that lows looks interesting. A smaller amount of energy on the east coast as well but its too far out to even consider.
  18. Is that two tropic lows appearing not very good at this so bare with me.
  19. Greenland ridge is much stronger I wonder if its enough to send it far enough south?
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