Snowman.
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Posts posted by Snowman.
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Hit 28c yesterday, 3c higher than what the BBC was showing. Hotter yesterday than Wednesday where most forecasts had it the other way round. Unsure why the BBC always struggles with temps.
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Shame about the breeze here keeping temps no higher than 25c this week, akin to what happened in May and parts of June. Been a bit of stinker this summer in sunny Southend had one 30c day and doesn’t look like I’ll see one this week.
Where are these Easterly winds in Winter!
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6th of August looking more Autumnal than summer with a fairly deep low pressure system slamming into the UK. Will be wet and possibly windy.
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Persistence of the mid Atlantic block and shallow trough N/NE is frustrating and hard to break. Don’t see things changing for the next 10 days or so. Hopefully we do see improvements soon as the consistent grey cloud and light drizzle is putting a downer on summer.
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ECM is slapper. Proper heat building in from the South.
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2 hours ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:
The disparities between NW UK and Ireland and SE England today. Absolutely insane temperature differentiations.
Don't think I've ever seen anything like it this way round, it's like the country has been flipped.
It's been cold.!
Like was tempted to put the heating on kind of cold, I didn't as it's basically June but the temptation was there..
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1 hour ago, *Stormforce~beka* said:
CAN SOMEONE TELL ME THE MODEL RUNS FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS?! THANKS. Bored of reading your histories ...
Wet.
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Heavy grapel shower here for 5 minutes.
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15 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Nice start this afternoon.
I’ve managed to convince myself this is where we are heading.
Unrelated, I have had my first snowfall of the season for a total of 5 minutes of heavy polystyrene balls. Managed to settle and all!
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ICON shows the wrap around and heading SE of the front causing snow behind it.
Will be horrid conditions with thawed snow, rain & snow again heading back south
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Potential for some hefty winds across much of the UK in the coming days.
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10 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:
So I can post snow pictures going forward from Scotland and they won’t be deleted,,,,mmmm we will see
There's an entire other thread.
Just let peeps enjoy this thread. The other thread is more traditonal model discussion.
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4 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:
Why is this is acceptable for a model discussion page, I’m finding this very frustrating that I have had comments deleted in the past. The above is nothing to do with model runs, total bias on this page!!!!
It's the special edition!! It's in the title!
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9 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
This has been one of the most dramatic chases in NW history, and surely if the latest ECM comes off it will have been an epic fail of monstrous proportions for northern areas - the models were looking serious enough for the Met Office to put their earnings on a trajectory to a red warning for Northern England and Southern Scotland... and yet just 36 hours later, the whole lot looks set to fall 200 miles short, with areas previously expecting nothing potentially looking at 48 hours of snow.
Wow.
But is that it? Are there more twists to come?
Reckon Dec 2021 was worse. Dec 2012 was also deeply saddening.
The only Chase I can remember being smooth sailing was 2018 BFTE. Still believe it’s a nowcast moment.
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Cold air really starting to move south now.
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Had sleet an hour ago, but not much else.
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13 minutes ago, nick sussex said:
The NAM the USA mesoscale model which covers just enough of the Atlantic to get an idea regarding the much talked about low has been trending south since last nights 18hrs run .
The 06 hrs run is even further south . We await the other 06 hrs outputs !
Wait what low is this? Thursdays??
Too many pressure systems to stay updated on!
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1 minute ago, Nick F said:
18z GFS back with the back edge snow early doors tomorrow
Certainly looks like heavy extensive rain sleet and hill snow Wales at the moment:
The rate could be a big helper here, if it stays heavy evap cooling could come into affect?
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21 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:
That's some pretty heavy snow in the south Wednesday night, but weirdly very marginal Wednesday morning - ECM was the other way round.
Too many models to follow now!
No one has any certainty about anything. If the ICON is to be believed, Scotland could go from armaggedon to zero!
I think it switches runs tbh.
Don't know what to make of it.
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4 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
for the last 5 frames i have had my finger on the submit button going to say 'hello 5th feb 1996' but never able to do it,
Even in FI, it all goes wrong.
Never known it so hard to get some reliable snow and cold on the ground
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Just now, MattStoke said:
18z further south mid week and further north late week.
You can hear the faint cry of southerners..
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Model Output Discussion - mid Autumn
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Not surpised by the 6z Scandi high, worth noting that while early days in the ensembles there is definite uptick in pushing heights NE already..