SE Blizzards

If Calsberg done model runs.... Not really surprising in all honesty that the GFS op has shown this, it's been threatening a run like this for quite some time now. Whether it will be close to verifying is another matter. Great to see nonetheless

Pub run Drunk once more....?

Totally agree. I wasn't around in December 2010 either Bet this place was going crazy!! This forum is a fantastic place to be when a cold spell is imminent, - the excitement/buzz etc etc, you just can't beat it in my opinion! And Yes, Tamara's posts are always great to read. She's without doubt one of NetWeathers finest!

Ta very much for that Hotspur Let's hope then that the PV does shift over to Siberia for the second half of Winter.

I remember a few weeks ago it was the ECM ENS that showed huge amplification in the Atlantic, and the GEFS were having none of it. That time the GEFS turned out to be correct. It'll be sods law though if the ECM ENS have this one nailed....

I have to say, even though i despise that highlighted phrase, it does have a certain ring about it!! Let's hope i've not started a new craze here and the 'mildies' end up throwing that phrase at 'coldies' each time a FI cold spell/snap doesn't materialise ...I'm sure 'they're' not that cruel! Do you have a link for the Accuweather forums?

Couldn't agree more Phil. I think December 2010 (a 1 in 100 year event) raised expectations to a whole new level, and because we've not seen anything like it since it has left many younger folk scratching their heads wondering why we are not blanketed in snow each Winter. Like you and many others have said, it is rather normal to sometimes have a snow free winter (or a Winter with very little snow), but that does not stop people from getting 'a little' frustrated at times, and to a certain extent i do share some of that frustration. I guess people are just very passionate towards snow, and get a little down when Winter passes by without any!? Anyway, there's still plenty of time for things to change, so let's hope things start improving soon.

Well, we'll have to agree to disagree because for the majority of folk 2011/12 was a poor year with regards to snowfall. To be honest you can keep your hot summers because i for one cannot tolerate heat as i'm allergic to it! And as i said before, 'my' expectations are usually quite low in Winter. But even here in 'balmy' Essex i would expect to see 'some' of the white stuff at least ONCE a year! I do agree however that 'some' people expect too much at times throughout the Winter months. Enjoy your stay in cold/snowy New York, and if you get time send some of it over here!

I'm sorry, But i have never been one who expects too much during Winter, and my expectations are always pretty low as i know just how difficult it is to get snowy weather here. BUT, even by UK standards Winter 2011/12, 2013/14, and this Winter so far have been really quite poor. Even in the Winters of the 'bad old days' lowland Britain used to see at least 'some' snowfall. At present some places in the UK are on a massive snow drought, and to be honest this doesn't look like changing any time soon.

You say next Winter will turn out the same as this Winter and the last one!? Well...surely that's pure guessing and in your case fantasy

Hmmm.... I was wondering who stole my old avatar pic from last Winter! Now i know!

I hope you are right CS, i really do. I'm just finding it rather difficult to understand what has gone so wrong? There was so many factors going in our favour this time around, OPI, Weak El Nino, Easterly QBO, Weaker Vortex, Strat Warmings etc etc, but still our luck has been utterly pants. I think that this Winter thus far really does show (no matter how many good signals pre-Winter there are) just how hard it is to get real prolonged cold to the UK. And i agree, January unfortunately does looks like heading straight to the shredder (along with many months prior to it)!!

It's terrible CS, it really is. I don't want to start believing that this 'Winter is over' as it's only Jan 6th, but it's hard not to think that way especially as the UK seems as if it has a massive protective shield against cold weather at the mo, and there is absolutely nothing in the charts that remotely suggest that this shield will in any way be broken any time soon. I just hope we are not slipping back into the 'bad old days' of the late 90's/early 2000's!

It's not often i post in here, but i gotta say this Winter is really starting to annoy me!! And by the looks of the models at present it seems that i am only going to get more and more annoyed as time goes by. Some folk haven't seen snow for nearly 2 years (maybe longer for some)! Shocking really! I'm off to do a snow dance IMBY...

A STEVE MURR ENSEMBLE..... http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gefs_cartes.php?code=17&ech=384&mode=0&carte=1 Probably the best set of London ENS to date. Some very cold runs starting to appear now in FI. Northern England 2m temps.... Brrrrrrrrrrr!!!!!

Very interesting AO forecast update today, quite a fair bit of scatter, but most, if not all members heading downwards in a few days time, and a couple of members taking a good old tanking, going down as low as -4!

I'm sorry but this is very misleading to newer members. The GEFS for the same time frame of that chart you show are NOT showing a mainly westerly influence. In fact i can only count about 6 or 7 that have! Tut tut! http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/gens_panel.php?modele=0&mode=1&ech=348&size=

No it's not! What on earth has the pub run been drinking tonight?????

Latest Simon Keeling video. COLD AND SNOW AFTER STORMY SPELL...

It's good, but it's not quite Carling! (unlike the latest CFS run below that has us locked in the freezer from mid February until April!? A re-run of 2013 Anyone? http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cfse_cartes.php?ech=1044&mode=0&carte=1&run=3 http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cfse_cartes.php?ech=1044&mode=2&carte=1&run=3 All just for fun of course

Yes, unbelievable latest run of the CFS... Mean temps for February/March... One can dream...

A Wintry last 2 weeks of January forecast by Simon Keeling.... http://www.weatherweb.net/wxwebtvsimonnew.php?ID=1248 Gavin P's latest video below Much Colder Second Half Of January With CFS And GFS (4/1/15)

The GFS(p) has been on a new years eve bender all day because it's showing snow every day at least somewhere in the UK from Day 8 right through to Day 16. and finishes with a nice Northerly and amplification in the Atlantic. Happy new year to all NetWeather members. This really is the best weather forum in the world. Let's hope our (coldies) luck changes for the better in 2015.

I'm actually hating myself for posting this, but i'm going for..... 5.8c

Ah yeah, that maybe so, but we all seen what happened recently when the ECM op was going for the milder option and most of it's members we're going for the colder one. Some of the ECM members are now jumping ship and are starting to follow it to the milder camp. Could it be that the GFS op/ GFS(p) have called this one right, then after a while the GFS Ens will end up following them!? Remember, the main runs are run at a higher res than the Ens... (i think)