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Everything posted by stainesbloke
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London & South East Regional Discussion - January 14th 2013>
stainesbloke replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
That's good we are in the snow zone for later though temps are rising after the cold front so it would melt, however we may get more tonight as that occlusion swings back. Who knows?! Nice to see a dusting- 739 replies
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London & South East Regional Discussion - January 14th 2013>
stainesbloke replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Got an icing sugar dusting here, on everything apart from roads. Temp just below freezing.- 739 replies
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Winter Model Discussion 18Z 13/1/13 onwards.
stainesbloke replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
A sizeable dumping is always most satisfying Interesting week to come model watching, must be record uncertainty?! -
London & South East Regional Discussion - January 14th 2013>
stainesbloke replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Not a flake here, can see stars now too, I'm off to bed lol. Hopeful for a nice surprise in the morning Hope you all see some snow!- 739 replies
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Winter Model Discussion 18Z 13/1/13 onwards.
stainesbloke replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes, with the SSW still to filter through and another strat temp rise on the cards I'm sure late Jan and Feb could be very interesting Potential for this week not over by any means either, it's more of a wait and see approach because no model seems to be able to predict outcomes with confidence. At least I saw the sun today! -
Winter Model Discussion 18Z 13/1/13 onwards.
stainesbloke replied to chionomaniac's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
There will be changes, some very short term ones I'd expect so not all hope lost. Worst case it will be dry and cold like you say, I guess it will go a long way towards drying out those flood hit areas. Sunny and cold is loads better than rain rain rain IMHO. -
No sign of snow here yet, cloudy and feeling very chilly but temp is still just above freezing. Not expecting much, hopefully will wake up to a nice dusting
- 822 replies
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Winter Model Discussion - 12/01/13 06z Onwards
stainesbloke replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes, all a bit sudden, that low seems to explode, seems a bit suspect. But if it happens....wow! -
Winter Model Discussion - 12/01/13 06z Onwards
stainesbloke replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Unless it moves SE and keeps us in the freezer We can but hope! -
Aww Got my cat from there a few years ago. He's been eating like mad the last few weeks as have all my friends/families cats....a sign of extended cold?!
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Yes, forecasting snow in the UK must be so difficult, I really don't envy the profs!
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How do you know what's going to happen snow-wise when even the met office don't?! Looks quite exciting for us this week regardless of tomorrow IMHO. At least you're not living in a cardboard box under a motorway flyover wondering if you'll freeze to death. Get a grip.
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Lesson learnt then! Best thing to say is there is a chance of snow coming, covers your back then if it all goes t*ts up Seriously though, I'm quite excited about tomorrow and this week, loads better than what we have had so far this winter.
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I consider seeing any snow at all in the UK a bonus, so this week looks great. Remember 2 weeks ago when it just looked zonal and mild for weeks on end?
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Looks like a great week to come for coldies, tomorrow on a knife edge but really cold after that with possible troughs moving in from the N Sea across our region Here's hoping!
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Monday giving me a headache lol, no idea if its gonna be rain, snow or UFOs Not long to wait. Will we be making snow angels or splashing in puddles?! If Monday doesn't deliver snow then I'm sure the rest of the week will be interesting.
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - January 12th 2013>
stainesbloke replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
The latest fax chart shows the warm sector shunted west quite considerably...not much of a warm sector at all tbh, with our region under -4 to -8 850s. Looks better but of course could change. Bit tense! -
Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
stainesbloke replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looking at the latest fax charts the warm sector on Monday has been shunted west with much of England under -5 to -8 850s....I'd say UPGRADE -
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - January 12th 2013>
stainesbloke replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
I'm excited Get that warm sector as far west as possible. -
Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
stainesbloke replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I agree that many of the wild claims on here are ridiculous/hysterical (and ive said so). I've been very cautious about this cold spell. My point was that snow is very hard to forecast and we may well see changes up until the event itself on Monday, so best to leave out the IMBY comments. -
Model Mayhem - Moan, Ramp, Go Nuts
stainesbloke replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The runs will change again, Mondays event is very uncertain, there may be lots of snow or hardly any ppn at all. Don't know how people on here seem to know what's going to happen and the folks at the MO are unsure... -
Winter Model Discussion - 12/01/13 06z Onwards
stainesbloke replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Too far away to be able to pinpoint snow with that degree of accuracy. No point stressing about it now. -
Winter Model Discussion - 12/01/13 06z Onwards
stainesbloke replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Yes quite right IMHO. However the majority of models have been going for cold/blocked with one or two (be it ECM or GFS) throwing out other solutions before changing back. The outlook therefore is weighted towards cold/blocked but of course nothing is certain. A lot of cold bias goes on here which makes people scorn any model showing mild solutions, be it the model they were touting as infallible a few hours before....makes me laugh -
Winter Model Discussion - 12/01/13 06z Onwards
stainesbloke replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
That would be crap if it happened Though the BBC use MO data and that doesn't mention rain for anywhere other than Wales/SW England. -
Winter Model Discussion - 12/01/13 06z Onwards
stainesbloke replied to Coast's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Interesting. Would you say then that it looks likely that the jet will sink SE and keep heights to our NE, rather than ride over the top of the Scandi high as often happens?