stainesbloke

Not helped by people massively over ramping about charts a week away.

Because that's what this country usually experiences: mild, westerly dominated weather. NW Europe has a MILD, MARITIME climate all year round. Extremes of any sort are the exception. Plus weather from the East is particularly difficult to pinpoint to any degree of accuracy. That's why basing opinions on charts in FI is always a gamble. People should know better....but then they'd be earning a nice wage working at the MO!

Could be a lot worse, less of the doom and gloom! Freezing, snowy Decembers are quite rare, plus we are only in week 2 of winter, hardly a 'write-off'. Think the mild possibility has been overplayed but its a case of wait and see.

Really. You could be living out of a cardboard box, have to walk 10 miles for water or be dying of cancer. I think a less favourable run of weather charts doesn't quite compare.

Quite! Even in that mega winter there were some milder blips. Next week looks very interesting, especially next weekend.....keep that low from coming too far north and we should see a bitter easterly flow with some heavy snow in the south. Yah!

Still WAY better than overcast, windy and mild.

I remember it well, too. Interestingly, that clip showed recored high temps across the NE of the USA at the time....Washington DC hit 22C two days ago....some similarities showing already?

I'm getting quite excited by the charts now It's pointless worrying about where will get snow or rain, the main thing is the trend to keep high pressure to our N-NE for the foreseeable future allowing ever colder uppers to move over the UK. The SW will always be at most risk from the Atlantic but that can (and has many times in the past) result in some great battle-ground scenarios. These situations are probably the hardest to predict in our country. Encouraging signs are that high pressure stays strong to our N right through to the end of the model runs, which to me indicates any possible Atlantic incursions will be short-lived. Only time will tell I guess!

Often on an easterly there are quite sudden trough developments moving westwards that can dump inches of snow inland, it's happened quite a few times that I can remember. Tomorrow I reckon it will be more of a rain event in the south at least, could be wrong tho!

Good to see model upgrades instead of the usual downgrades! Quite excited now, although that could be due to the snow coming down Hopefully the charts can keep the theme going today.

Looks like lamppost watch tomorrow then Unfortunately we live in an area that is often the last place to see snow, we need some really cold air to dig in. It's very possible IMHO, I reckon it's going to be a while longer tho. Still, pretty good charts for the beginning of winter...plus much of Europe now is getting cold.

Liking those precip charts a lot!!

The roller coaster ride continues, I think I'm a bit worn out lol Can't make much sense from the charts at the moment, I respect those who can see the trends and are sticking to their guns. It looks like Europe will be getting chilly very soon which is a big boost to our cold potential. Have a feeling it's going to take a while to get here though. Looking at signs in Nature (waxwings, berries, squirrels gorging themselves) am quite hopeful of a decent Winter arriving soon!

Definitely! Cold and snow are always really difficult to forecast in the UK. I've been enjoying the model output over the last few weeks, it's good to be getting a normal early winter rather than just raging south westerlies I reckon the next few weeks will be interesting for sure, I just hope the chances of proper cold are not continually shunted into FI.

Well we are still chasing the possibility of cold in the next couple of weeks.....was doing that 2 weeks ago and so far there has been nothing more than normal early Winter weather, at least here in the SE. I like that the charts keep pointing to a blocked scenario but that's still quite a long way from snow/deep cold over the UK. The shorter term looks more interesting IMO, anything after 5 days is anyone's guess.

Almost! Nice to see some models actually showing snow across parts of the UK though. We probably won't know until an hour beforehand as is often the case

Haha, love it......and we know what happened 2 weeks later

Blizzards!!

High pressure sitting over the UK would be a bit of a novelty in itself! Last time that happened was March, wasn't it? As long as its a sunny high it will stay cold and feel like Winter, can't complain.

If the centre of the low stays to the south then anywhere could see snow, even the coast, depending on temeperature.

If the air being dragged in from the East is cold enough and the centre of the low goes through the Channel then the South would get a very good chance of seeing heavy snow. These types of low are really hard to forecast even at t48 so it could disappear in upcoming runs...how good if it came off tho!

Hello, new member here tho I've followed discussions on the forum for quite a long time. Just wanted to say the charts and trends have been great recently with some really interesting posts, I've been learning a lot! Looks like the next few weeks are going to be fun to watch, some potential for an early winter cold spell with snow, some nice winter sun and frosts/fog....loads better than the grey, drizzly days we often get at this time of year.