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Weather-history

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Everything posted by Weather-history

  1. Looks like the heaviest rain runs through Wales, NW England and into Scotland to me.
  2. Matt Hugo on twitter concurs"@Alexbweather - Got be said the 12z ECMWF Det model is a major warm outlier at 168hrs. Ensemble mean has 850mb temps of 12C in the South."
  3. Poor, OTT analyses and posts in the model thread tonight. It is close to the kind of histrionics we get in winter time with cold snowy set-ups.
  4. I think histrionics and exaggeration are coming into play here, what is record breaking about this summer? Nothing: no temperature, rainfall nor sunshine records have been broken so far.We need to get grip with the facts and analyses here.
  5. Not convinced, looks too short lived for ECM. If it were to last at least 48 hours and brilliant sunshine, possibly but I feel to get that sort of temperature, it needs a build up.
  6. I have seen some values from June 1846, at one station in London reported maxima over 80F for 9 days out of the first 14 days for that month and Greenwich, 91.1F for the 20th. No question it was a very hot month.
  7. For some reason I can't see the YouTube I posted, so I try again! Daytime darkness at Trent Bridge on 22nd July 2006 and BBC forecast.
  8. A flurry of confetti or a shower of rice is a high probability.
  9. A lot of talk about what is going to happen this weekend in the SE but what about the pulse of heavy rain that develops and runs across Wales and parts of NW England on Saturday night? GFS has been showing this and the Manchester rainfall ensembles does show quite a spike for that time frame.
  10. It depends on the extremeness of the values and the time gap, though. If they happen occasionally fair do but how often is the 2nd coldest of that month on record followed 3 months later by the warmest of that month on record based on records over three centuries?What are the climatic probabilities of that happening?
  11. 10th March- 9th April 2013 CET was 2.4C and 3 months later a July with a CET of 18.0+ is likely that's a 16C difference with a space of just 3 months which is pretty remarkable.
  12. Missed out on the early July 2001 ones, too far east but I do remember some very good storms including mid May 1997 that was a cracker.
  13. Paul Sherman was talking about the lack of storms for his area and to be fair it has been poor but I mentioned, have you ever heard of anyone chasing storms in NW England? A storm which would think as a beauty for here, he would probably wet himself over with laughter.I videoed this and this has been the storm event of the year so far back in May
  14. Enjoy the storms, Paul. This region will miss out no doubt as lot of us did today.
  15. 19 years ago this very day. Crikey, a time when French imports spread northwards across west of UK The next day, I remember the thunderstorm breakdown coming in from the west.
  16. Yes I can see cauliflower tops developing to my west as a silhouette.
  17. Lol, some people in our region would disagree with you there after missing out in January and March, this year.
  18. I think that is the second time this year that our region was put under an amber warning and it turned into a dud. Mid January was the other one, although they changed it near to the time.
  19. Hmm, I'm not convinced. I think the line of radar returns are it, and they are pushing northwards and eastwards.
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