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Col Berkshire

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Everything posted by Col Berkshire

  1. Col Berkshire
    Thames streamers have delivered here in south east Berkshire, but the angle of the easterly is crucial.
  2. Col Berkshire
    I may be wrong, but haven't the fax charts over the last day or so always shown the warm sector to the west? Maybe other factors are leading to a 'possible' rain event in our region?
  3. Col Berkshire
    Do we have any guidance on where it is moving now? I guess we can compare current track to latest prediction and then nowcast? Just a thought
  4. Col Berkshire
    If only it will look like that on Monday lol
  5. Col Berkshire
    My family are shocked at me. I've been following the strat forecasts and made my own prediction that the cold and snow would start w/c 14th January. My mum even marked the date on her calendar when I first mentioned it before Christmas lol
  6. Col Berkshire
    Thanks John, have been following Ian, but he's gone quiet, so thought I'd ask, just in case
  7. Col Berkshire
    It's a great chart, but no snow for me on that :-(
  8. Col Berkshire
    Was that the result of a streamer? These are hard to predict, but can deliver bucket loads of snow Sorry, my question was to rubbke79
  9. Col Berkshire
  10. Col Berkshire
    John, do you know the latest MOGREPS view?
  11. Col Berkshire
    Sorry Tom for my initially response (not detailed at all). Monday's event is all riding on the position of a warm sector (this limit our chances of snow). The position of this sector is still being modelled and will change right up to the event. It is looking promising for snow in the south east, but subtle shifts could scupper our chances.
  12. Col Berkshire
    Lottiekent phrased it so much better than I did :-)
  13. Col Berkshire
  14. Col Berkshire
    It's all about now casting near the event
  15. Col Berkshire
    I guess we need to focus on dew points. We had snow here today with an air temp of 4, but the dew point was around 0. If we have the same setup on Monday (with the models predicting the same sort of figures) we may just be in the money
  16. Col Berkshire
    They will run out if grit before the bug event Big even, not bug lol
  17. Col Berkshire
  18. Col Berkshire
    According to the map I'm in the red zone. I feel it's far too marginal here :-(
  19. Col Berkshire
    And on reflection, I am also guilty of jumping to the same conclusions!
  20. Col Berkshire
    If we look back at the previous 4 runs for all models, they have changed. What's to day this trend will not continue up to 6 hours before any event? Maybe we should just sleep on it and see what the models have to offer in the morning. It's a constantly evolving situation. We should all have learnt that by now.
  21. Col Berkshire
    Well I'm in east Berkshire, so it needs to drive in a long way. We do benefit from Thames streamers though, but that all depends on the wind strength and direction. Fingers crossed for last minute disturbances. I want some snow lol
  22. Col Berkshire
    I'm just commenting on the general feel regarding Monday's event, not the full picture mate. I'm happy with how it's going long term, just feel the only potential snow event for my patch is now a non event.
  23. Col Berkshire
    Even though some are disappointed with the latest models, myself included, it just goes to show how unreliable to models are at the moment, even in the reliable time frame. No doubt it will all change come tomorrow
  24. Col Berkshire
    Wouldn't 55 miles east of Reading place you in the North Sea lol?
  25. Col Berkshire
    We had a few flurries between 12 and 2. It's dry and calm now. The temperature's about 3.5, so the lower dew points must have helped the initial rain turn to snow here.
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