Ali1977
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Everything posted by Ali1977
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Snow shovels at the ready M4 north
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Is that the blizzard of the century heading in at 216 ️
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M4 south
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Full on snow that I’d say
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Boooooom fantastic - better than I hoped - screaming longevity too
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We need a huge 192 to keep the moral up in here !!
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Better than the UKMO The block might hold and improve at 192 However not a great day for the charts unless it does hold
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It starts going wrong between 132 and 144 over Greenland - 132 looks great, not sure we should look any further!! However like some have said - the UKMO may actually be a great run for snow and longevity!! Let’s see what the ECM throws at us!!
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Maybe heights would build back a little, with a second push of cold. Over to the ECM
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not good
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GFS has more neck than a heard of ET’s for even suggesting this is a possibility - in the UKMO at 168 we trust
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The GEm May get better, diff set up
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What is the GFS on - UKMO is lovely though
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Cold, snow chances increasing and no quick return to mild - good start to the 12z
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WOW, huge upgrade on the icon inbound
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UKMO is holding out because it’s the correct outcome read John holmes post above , that’s a confidence booster and likely the METO Deep dive later will be similar
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Latest METO forecast says next week could be interesting ️ deep dive later may fill us in. I suspect they are full on seeing cold with snow
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Looks slidey and full of snow opportunities
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If it’s the UKMO and ECM vs the GFS - and the GFS is the worst (for coldies) then people should be confident that it hasn’t got the modelling quite right - we shall see though
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At day 7 the UKMO and ECM have this - granted the cold 850s aren’t sinking into Spain but it’s a strong signal - the GFS Op has been an outlier on numerous occasions. The METO are saying it could be a cold few weeks - I don’t think saying the GFS Op is clueless is far from the truth at all. Granted - we need upgrades on the 12zs and can’t afford the signal to keep weakening for a more lengthy cold outbreak.
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The op is clearly wrong - just await the ENS to come out
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Nice to hear - I think we are now in the reliable for atleast a few days of very cold weather - I’ll await the mean charts
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Agreed there, the ECM type run would be a very rare event - and likely stay cold way beyond 240 - with more snow.
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Unfortunately for massive dumps in the U.K. this has to stay a borderline event - which is what the GFS had yesterday and the ECM just had - really we are still vey far away from knowing this - but I think it’s safe to say by Sunday the Arctic should be visiting in some shape or form. Any slider event is a borderline event for somewhere in the U.K.
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Yeah it’s a good one - but it won’t take much to spoil it. Need the ENS to track the cold further south. UKMO still the best run in the reliable.
