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Ali1977

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Everything posted by Ali1977

  1. The last METO didn’t mention it, so I’m hoping that’s because it’s changing all the time. We need a big move north on the 12z - v unlikely but certainly possible!!
  2. Well I think that’s it With the ECM and UKMO not showing it , it was always v unlikely!! Fir those in the SE though, you could have a good snow event ️
  3. Seen here on the GFS Early days but T60 the GFS has the precip a tiny bit further north!! New run bottom image
  4. Mmmm, i think I’ll not get too confident on seeing snow in my next of the woods - Unless the next GEFS move the precip mean even further north !! EC ENS certainly say no!!
  5. Can you see this tracking further north still? That seems to be where the momentum is at the minute!!
  6. One things for sure, if it tracks north the intensity increases - a few of the more northerly tracking members here !! I wonder how many (if any) EC ENS track it north. The mean will be interesting to see.
  7. These systems can track north of forecast by over 100 miles even at T24 - so I’ll defo be watching the 06z. If it’s moved south again on the MEAN I think it’ll be over for me. If it moves north again look out for some weather warnings !!
  8. The GFS MEAN has snow to the midlands on Wed, this is mental. I think more moves north are on the cards now A few examples, and there are plenty more
  9. The op clips Kent , but didn’t follow the icon!! I’ll be looking for the ENS to improve on this - and see what the 00z bring !! im pretty sure the ship has sailed for me, but hopefully more of the south get a bit of snow.
  10. Much more ridgey at such a short time frame - hopefully the pub run follow suite
  11. Mean precip for Wednesday is way north - could be some good swings on that front ahead - P28 would be nice for the midlands south ️
  12. This is the start of the next chase - PV getting battered and stretched in FI
  13. Looks like a little trough moving down tomorrow evening - might produce some snow for some - a dusting maybe!! This is what the 06z mean showed too.
  14. Are we about to flip back cold - the PV much further east - better amplification in Canada - jet stream lower!!
  15. ENS were showing the move north on the last set, I’m now starting to think there will be a bigger move north - as the cold northerly is just getting watered down - so it has less resistance to where it wants to go - NE!!
  16. The GEFS mean for Wednesday as mentioned earlier certainly brings the snow further north None of the other models do though.
  17. The GEFS Mean now has a very light band of snow through the midlands Sunday evening - personally a slight dusting would be nice then as it would last all week and help drop the temps further at night.
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