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I remember Atlantic 252

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Everything posted by I remember Atlantic 252

  1. I remember Atlantic 252
    Yes, would say on 12Z GFS definitely been a swing towards Atlantic domination and low after low, control run looks especially ugly think from 8th Jan, zonality will dominate, just hope not too much flooding or gale damage, and make most of dry 'windows' as we don't look like getting a fully dry day when zonality arrives
  2. I remember Atlantic 252
    supposed to mild up in the night for the north, south of region though remaining cold and clear
  3. I remember Atlantic 252
    models look pants! no snow due for south for entire run, winter not really back on, never comes earlier than 372 or 384
  4. I remember Atlantic 252
    Based usually on last chart on ECM at 240, 240, day 10, also last high resolution chart on GFS, 252 day 11 on GFS low resolution deep FI
  5. I remember Atlantic 252
    not liking 06Z. zonality returns around 9th Jan, snow in Scotland, wet average south
  6. I remember Atlantic 252
    Slightly different though as Greenie is further north than Iceland
  7. I remember Atlantic 252
    probably not in your location, I'm always confident of snow in Aberdeen, Mark, I'd never think summer over on July 2, as we are guaranteed summery weather, especially in Aug and Sep
  8. I remember Atlantic 252
    remember it WH, but not a flake here, gone are the days of those uppers/thicknesses but a NW'ly, again 20th Dec was similar in '09, but Westerly winds, so not a flake here
  9. I remember Atlantic 252
    wet snow late April likely, the perfect stup then
  10. I remember Atlantic 252
    ECM not on board though with cold arriving on 12th, GFS fairly mild on 11th, then cold on 12th
  11. I remember Atlantic 252
    can only agree, it's FI for a reason though, but sure if day 10 was mild/average it'll come off
  12. I remember Atlantic 252
    Azores high pain in the a## this run!
  13. I remember Atlantic 252
    maybe, wet 'n' wild, 2-3 named storms likely
  14. I remember Atlantic 252
    Thursday looking like coldest
  15. I remember Atlantic 252
    Shame this will be watered down because this is a proper snowy NW'ly
  16. I remember Atlantic 252
    was it 6.0? 0.1° out!
  17. I remember Atlantic 252
    Well members in north Midlands above 300m asl, just had rain and sleet! could be different down south though if colder air overtakes ppn
  18. I remember Atlantic 252
    Zonal month, but cold and very snowy at times, convinced 33 years later, would fall as mostly rain and sleet south, still lots of snow above 300m north I would think,
  19. I remember Atlantic 252
    Hope we don't see a Jan '84 setup, maybe signs of it on latest 2 GFS runs, as definitely for low levels in the south, nowadays it would be less snowy, as a guess our temp in every airstream gone up by 0.3°, since '84 enough to wipe out low level southern snow, in certain setups
  20. I remember Atlantic 252
    Summer my favourite season now, decent warm days, relaxing weather, not a severe heat lover but it's rare anyway as far as winter goes, the mõdern era has taken me off winters, and really most of the time here in the south, it tends to be more like autumn, except for the odd month, who wants wind and rain and 10° temps all winter
  21. I remember Atlantic 252
    probably because PV not developed, Dec to Feb is strongest PV, strongest jet, where as by April, HLB much easier with PV waning, seems like that anyway
  22. I remember Atlantic 252
    control at 252, still not believing northerly is on, bound to downgrade and miss to the east, leaving milder Atlantic air running over top of the high
  23. I remember Atlantic 252
    yes, harder to achieve more accurate, the mõdern era is a tough thing, even this setup we have today, would be snowier 20 years ago, snow line would be lower, dumping at Buxton, wet snow here
  24. I remember Atlantic 252
    252 on GFS, another go at a northerly around Thurs 12th, still not believing it yet
  25. I remember Atlantic 252
    31 Dec on mine!
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