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I remember Atlantic 252

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Everything posted by I remember Atlantic 252

  1. I never believe these 'signals' it's mega FI straw clutching, Atlantic tends to be underestimated by most models, at least not looking too wet, but on these 12Z's daffs could be out by Xmas, 2 years on the trot? daffs becoming much earlier too? sure in 90's they weren't out until April, then March, then Feb, now starting Jan, and last year Dec
  2. or me, I don't use TWO but tend to agree with majority of posts by member 'Shropshire', like me would be surprised if settled spell comes off
  3. I'd be more confident of snow where you are 202m asl, PM air you stand a chance
  4. TMW cruel, but at least that sounds dry, UK high could be worse
  5. yes, today could be bitterest feeling day of the m☺dern era, tonight the mild up starts though, up to 12° by wednesday, normal service I suppose, not the 90's and earlier anymore
  6. no18 on GEFS wins most stupid unrealistic chart, no10 probably most realistic at 384
  7. can't just ignore it, not sure about short lived either, looking at 12Z GFS, hope there isn't too much rain, if dry will be fine being mild
  8. tomorrow will feel raw, probably coldest feeling day in years, biting wind and max of 2° before we go back to normal during Tuesday, and if GFS 12Z is correct then Dec to be dominated by zonality, westerlies, wind and rain
  9. pressure the key though SS, what I tend to look at, not bad around 1030 in FI, hate that yellow outlier though
  10. I'll certainly be more confident of snow in your location, 300m in Scotland, if you don't see snow then, winters changed even more than I thought
  11. 00Z though Frosty, by this time daffs will be out (south) double digits all the way on GFS from 6th until end (20th)
  12. Yes and here WH, may help to keep CET down, if clear in the CET zone
  13. 2001 was north only, had a very brief slight dusting in the evening, while listening to the 'new' Atlantic 252, non stop rhythm and dance! yeah man!
  14. yes, winter clothes away for a bit, no in June we'll have NE'lys
  15. seems reasonable SS, likely accurate as well, I reckon over Xmas we'll be in a westerly with average temps, not super mild, but snow only for Scottish mountains
  16. Similar to last Dec Frosty, remember similar setup being modeled for around same time in early Dec, zonality relaxed a little bit, but not enough
  17. Daffs out by Xmas? if I wrote for the Express, I'd write something like ' Britain to bask in balmy temperatures' 'Dec 2016 to rival Dec 2015'
  18. looking like wed into Thurs may not drop below 13° in some parts, not the only mild day either, most days shown on GFS from 6th to 18th are double digits in the south lettucing gutted may win CET comp
  19. So, it's the usual, mild and wet for foreseeable future, Atlantic to dominate, 5.9° CET guess may be too low, and the straw clutching about a little high to the north on ECMWF 240, GFS though mild/stormy all the way, certainly more like Dec '15
  20. chart reminds me of last Dec, sigh air all way from Azores, and won't be dry
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