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I remember Atlantic 252

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Everything posted by I remember Atlantic 252

  1. Yes, deepest FI but let's hope it dosen't, could be flooding issues for quite a few areas, best if the jet is much further north, with lows tracking nearer Iceland, keeps the flooding away, do not want water in peoples houses for Xmas again
  2. yes, this dec looks similar to last Dec, at least on the models, cooler though due to first 5 days
  3. a shame because they are good forecasters, very well written forecast lots of effort gone in, well done to lorenzo and Matt! but then you get a limited knowledge member like I remember Atlantic 252, saying the Atlantic will dominate with zonality, and hate for it to be correct
  4. oh well, shorts out, maybe flip flops too, some of these charts by all models remind me of last Dec
  5. cool Ian, find your forecasts accurate, let's hope we get drier spells as lows track further north, and no floods
  6. Yes some of the charts look a bit like last Dec, Wed looks like a washout and 12°
  7. I'm sticking with the 'bogey' figure 5.9°, as first 5 days look chilly, so may not be too high when the Atlantic dominates
  8. never any expectation from me, post 2000, everyone I speak to knows winters are getting milder and snow is becoming less common, basing it on todays GFS 12Z, it's mild for the foreseeable future, what's new 2000's suck, SIGH!
  9. typical GFS for the 2000's, looks zonal from 7th, above average temps, wet and windy, ECM looks a bit better maybe drier, 13° and dry, rare so don't expect ECM to be correct
  10. You sound like me! my thoughts too though, I try to post realistically or I wouldn't post it! we all have opinions on weather, mine is mild mild mild, just enjoy first 5 days of winter cold fans!
  11. maybe realism creeping in, never to underestimate the Atlantic in Dec! no wrist slashing from me, I expect the Atlantic every year, still amazed though at first 5 days, I didn't expect HP in Dec
  12. how do you know for definite? first 5 days cold yes, but who knows when the Atlantic breaks through on 6th, could dominate rest of month, who knows
  13. Still what I'm expecting from around 8th, no change in my 5.9 prediction yet, may up it later, although it's dec tomorrow yikes!
  14. bottom one my favourite Frosty! Atlantic v cold battle, can create good snow
  15. hoping its the 'transition' as the experts seem to think cold 2nd half of Dec, wouldn't mind a mild wet Atlantic week, even 2, IF we were guaranteed snow/cold 2nd half Dec, but we are not guaranteed it at all
  16. Yes Frosty, ECM joins GFS now in, crap weather on show, flip flop sales on the up, shorts too
  17. well if this isn't mild then what is, 06Z GFS, similar to yesterdays 06Z, just hope not much rain, 14° normally means rain in Dec, Jan and Feb
  18. but turned out like this! a snowy day here as Atlantic bumped into cold air
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