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Posts posted by cornish snow
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Yay,thank's Santa(well,until the 0z anyway)
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Each to their own off course but i just dont get this desire amongst some member's to see hurricane force winds sweep across the country on xmas day of all days!
Storm force winds are just bad news,end of.
I for one hope the worst of the weather stays out in the atlantic this christmas.
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1 minute ago, bobbydog said:
As an eternal optimist, even i am struggling to find positives tonight. It has to get better soon. The only positive so far is that February 1991 came out of a similarly poor situation
all the signs were there this time, despite what some might say, the seasonal forecasts were justifiably good for our winter. I still think we have a good chance at a decent winter. After all, it's only really started so plenty of time for changes.
Right now though, it seems like we have fallen into a barrel of t*ts and come out sucking our thumbs!
Sounds even worse than last winter,least then we had loads of potential to enjoy
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1 minute ago, nick sussex said:
Lol! I think members have suffered enough. Just how many zero's out of ten could they cope with. I've decided to only bring back my scoring system when theres a chance a major model could get above 5.
In for the long haul then
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1 hour ago, nick sussex said:
My brief and to the point run down of the models for cold !
GFS Terrible
GEM Terrible
UKMO Slight interest at T144hrs, better upstream pattern at that stage.
ECM Terrible but slightly less terrible at T240hrs than the GFS
JMA Has some interest , the best of the nights outputs upto T192hrs however we only wheel it out in desperate times and seeing as we hit Code Red with the GFS/ECM it had to make an appearance!
NAVGEM Mediocre but trending terrible at T180hrs.
Overall there are differences upstream with shortwaves running across the USA and moving into the Atlantic, in terms of speed and amplitude and these impact the prospects of getting some energy to head se under the high to the east. At this point unless theres much more sharpness to troughing to the west then its hard to see an escape from the ECM/GFS horror show.
Isn't it about that time of year you start giving the models marks out of 10 each night?
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1 minute ago, mountain shadow said:
Greenland heights aren't expected until after mid month, that's why. Whatever UKMO and GFS are showing out to T+144 is pretty irrelevant at the moment. It's post T+240 that's important with hopefully a growing signal for Greenland heights in the GEFS
Why is it always T+240?
Bit like the other half finally cleaning the cooker,always T+240
Looking at the 6z with my untrained eye,i can't see anything to get exited about,quite the opposite in fact.Strong jet with dart board lows lined up to hit us.
Of course,that's all set to change post T+240 well,one can dream.
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27 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:
Well the CFS 0z(9 monthly) run which I've been following since the start of October has been pretty accurate for the last month and the beginning of November, just tentative signs of more zonal conditions mid to late November, December fairly zonal with Euro HP close at times.
Tbf,Darwin,my pet Bearded Dragon could give a forecast of Dec being fairly Zonal with Hp close at times.Hardly sticking one's neck out.Tomorrow i'm likely to go to the little boys roomCourse it probably is,just like every other month.
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49 minutes ago, knocker said:
We are having a barbi on sat lunchtime,before the Eng v Wales game.
Could have had one this lunchtime,sat outside after work,would actually call it warm in shelter from the breeze.
Looking like winds going Easterly for next week.Good news is that it will dry the ground out.Bad news,will be chilly in the breeze.
On your side now Knocker until November when i become a Coldy again.
Here's hoping next winter will see a run on blue crayon sales at tesco.
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3 hours ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Yes, I could quite easily cope with negative temperatures day and night all the year around but I can understand why some wouldn't want that.
LOL,some!!
Are you an Eskimo?
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10 minutes ago, knocker said:
Yes Sidney and the gang are down Tehidy Country Park. Stop feeding them nuts; they'd be upper your trouser leg and in your pocket in a flash.
Not sure Mr packham would agree. If your not careful you'll have a plague on your hands.
They are cute though
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Why, for the love of that man on high,do people still want to see COLD weather? Dont get it.
Gotta get out more,spring is such a wonderful period,full of hope. Why would you not want that? baffling.
Honestly think some people would welcome WW3 just to get a nuclear winter!!!
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3 minutes ago, The PIT said:
Well last day of winter goes out on a rather cold dry note. Not a single day with full Snow cover and only one day with measurable snow in the morning. A wet winter and 4th warmest winter we've recorded. Fairly quiet winter overall only three days where 60 mph gusts were recorded.
Lucky,i never saw a flake
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So typical to get these chart's appearing now,such a waste. What are great charts for the winter,become horrid ones for the start of spring.
N/NE winds in March,no thanks,although it might dry things up a bit.
Been raining steady all day today,lovely.
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10 minutes ago, knocker said:
A very ageist comment if I may say so. It should also be remembered that the Great Tits referred are of the family Parus major which are completely different to the many Tits found on the Lizard.
No,you've got all the tits,we've just got birds of paradise.
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13 hours ago, knocker said:
Aren't you a bit old to be admiring Tits,Knocker?
Camborne's finest?
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Looking like a lovely weekend. Gale-force East winds with the risk of driving(cold) rain.
Dosen't get better than that
Why can't we get these synoptics in winter,proper. Such a shame.
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One thing which has changed for sure since i was a kid is the decline in periods of East winds(not just in winter,but at all time)
Used to get East blows regulary,believe me,i know,nightmare for fishermen on this coast.
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6 minutes ago, coldcomfort said:
Trust me the stuff on Dartmoor was barely worthy of being called snow, just a wet mess really. A good summer is now needed to at least provide some seasonal balance and you would have to think another cool wet one couldn't possibly follow what we have endured this extended autumn, but it's prudent never to lose sight of what an appalling climate we have and if things can go wrong somewhere then chances are it will be here!
Yeah,but a" wet mess" more than i've seen this winter.
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15 minutes ago, Carl46Wrexham said:
Any more flake chasers ready to throw the towel in on this sorry joke of a season?
Come on...you know it makes sense.
Might as well chase bubbles on a windy day...you've as much chance of catching one as you have of seeing snow on the ground in the dying days of this wretched season.
Yep,think iv'e had enough now,it aint gonna happen this winter,me think's.
Typical though,had a break in north devon last weekend. Went up on Exmoor,not a flake in site,got back to the site,turned on T.V to see kids building snowmen on Dartmoor
Cant even get pick the right Moor!!
Looking for some spring warmth now and hopeing for a nice summer.
Have enjoyed the roller-coaster that is this forum,will def be back,next year.
As they say down here "cheers and gone"
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Hi.
Going North today for a little 3 day break in woolacoombe . Where's the best spot on Exmoor to maybe see something white?
Going through a few locations,BBC gives Snow for Winsford,tomorrow. Is that the high spot?
Dont know exmoor at all.
Cheers
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19 minutes ago, Nick F said:
Maybe I should have said 'parts of' in hindsight?
On a different note, my quick look at the EC32, and apart from the trough disruption over western UK next THursday, the run looks generally anticyclonic up until day 16 or so, after which a more mobile and cyclonic westerly flow takes over.
Thanks. Perhaps "bit of"?
Devon +Cornwall= "LOT" of West country. To me,anyway.
Cheers,the forgotten
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Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Heaven above,even i might see something white