[Model output discussions pm 31/12/15]

2 minutes ago, Carlrg said:

Just watched the live weather on News 24, definitely mentioned cooler and drier conditions coming in from the East. 

No mention just on BBC 1 just rain,rain,rain. Brief respite on tuesday,more rain on wednesday.

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

Are you not biased Knocker? Not even a little,insy bit?

Come on,the forum's in self-destruct tonight,time to fess up.

[Model output discussions pm 31/12/15]

1 hour ago, fergieweather said:

...whilst new EC Monthly joins ongoing GloSea5 idea now, i.e. of +ve temp anomalies re-asserting through mid-late Jan to establish widely across the UK, with broadly W/SW flow courtesy +ve MSLP focused to SW. So, remaining firmly aligned to seasonal GloSea5 diagnostics thus far, and we await any signs of the possible switch/ongoing SSW potential signalled during Feb. 

Happy New Year all!

That be that then.

Happy new year everyone and hey,spring is coming

[Model output discussions pm 31/12/15]

Steve,when you say"very cold Eastely" do you mean Nationwide? 

 

[Model output discussion - 1st December onwards]

Just now, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

Won't let me unquote this, may as well reply, love your posts shaky!!!!!! and frosty's of course, mods move to whiners thread, and how do you 'unquote' posts?

Press the command key and right click twice,option will appear to delete quote

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

4 hours ago, Yarmy said:

Deadlines have passed for 2010 and 1963, so now we are on to 1947. When that passes it's all aboard March 2013. 

I never had much hope of December producing much given the monster El Nino and the lack of anything significant on the Glosea et al. Certainly the pattern's changing though, and it does appear that there could be some HLB in the offing in January. Whether it will produce anything other than the square root of eff all for us is a different matter.

 

 

Then there's always 9th March 1891 (great cornish blizzard)

 

 

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

19 minutes ago, daz_4 said:

This is really unfortunate. You guys will get colder rain, we will get colder drought and then straight back on SW express. We are still stuck in this horrible pattern.

Think most here would willingly sell their grandmother's to be where you are ,daz. 

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

Look's like i'm entering my third month of ground-hog weather(wet,windy,mild)

temps might drop of a bit(10-11c instead of 13-14) I say,lucky me.

Can't for the life of me understand what all the exitment is about,all i see is rain,rain and more rain.

Good luck to those of you in the shetlands,you might get lucky.

To many people chasing pot's of gold,i think.Need to take a truth pill and start building your Ark.

[South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat, 4th July and Onwards...]

Going by the latest output,i think the word "battleground" will start to appear more and more over the coming days.

Hate that word.Only means one thing for me in cornwall,Rain,rain and more rain.

Usually a snowfest for all parts East, bar here.

 

[Model output discussion - 1st December onwards]

8 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

Just forget about the "bin it" and see what the next run says....Nit picking at posts is why people like Tamara left the forum, let's hope Ian F is still about!!

Agreed.LOL, this forum is priceless.2 hours from now it will be all change again. 

The 384hr chart is epic,would love to see it happen,but it's chip paper unfortunately.

[Model output discussion - 1st December onwards]

9 minutes ago, ANYWEATHER said:

Hi, has anyone noticed the gfs 12z chart viewer has not been updated?

Yep,stuck on 6z,frustrating

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

What's the betting we get a big change in the weather just in time for spring.

Nice cold april anyone?

Weather,get a grip for -----'s sake.

 

[Model output discussion - 1st December onwards]

6 minutes ago, knocker said:

You could give them a real treat roasting some chestnuts on an open barbie. Magical.

Yeah,in the wind and rain,truly magical. 

I'll take your word for it though Knocker,Take it your out there tonight,tongues in hand with your apron on.

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

Want to ask a question. If you look at the GFS12z @348hrs there is a really tight squeeze in the isobars down the east side of greenland. I know this isn't un-common,and seems to happen regulary.

I think i'm right in saying,thay are called "katabatic" winds,although i may be wrong. 

My question is,are those winds really that strong and what kinds of speeds are we talking about?

Sometimes you can't see any space between the lines! Such wind speeds in the U.K would be a calamity of the highest order.

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

If i had to pick a month for some cold weather it would be Jan or even Feb,especially down here where the sea is usually to warm in Dec anyway.

Take a positive out of the present set-up,it can't stay like this forever,the weather will change,it always does.

Another 3-4 weeks to keep knocker happy and then BOOM,a January "beast from the east". I'll drink to that

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

1 minute ago, tinybill said:

if people don't look out reg Xmas  day some people Xmas  day  dinners could get messed  up  as its looking nasty   to say the least ex people with all the flooding at the moment its the last thing people want at the moment

?

[Model output discussion - 1st December onwards]

6 minutes ago, knocker said:

I would just like to add that I posted that GEFS temp anomaly chart, not because I was ramping warm as you so eloquently put it, but because it epitomised the the gfs run which was rather on the warm side. The 12z run is not that much different. As much as I would like to post a cold plunge it's not really ethical to make one up.

I'll keep you to that Knocker. Look foreword to your" cold plunge" posts when one arrives. You won't go all AWOL on us,will you?

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

Insanely mild today. In short's and T shirt at work,pleasant as well in the morning with some sunshine. 

At this rate,Knocker's dafs will have been and gone by new year.

Cant see much hope in the output tbh,straw clutching for the next few weeks by the look's of things.

45 years old and never seen a white xmas maybe next year

 

[C.E.T. forecasts for December 2015 (start of 2015-16 competition year)]

lol.

 

in the same minute

I didn't copy,honest

[C.E.T. forecasts for December 2015 (start of 2015-16 competition year)]

6.8c thanks

[Spring moans, ramps, chat and banter]

My take on things at the moment is,more of the same please.

I say,let's have all this typical,boring,irritating weather now,in nov and even up to the xmas period,loads of it,week after week after week.

Let it rain and blow a hoolie as much as it wants.

 

It has to end at some point,it always does. Now for the IMBY bit(sorry) down here we have as much chance of seeing a decent cold spell this side of xmas as plymouth has of staying top of league 2.

Save the nice East Winds for when they'll make a difference.

 

So,my wish,Atlantic wind and rain till xmas,turning colder around new year,snowmaggedden first half of Jan. If only

[When Will it Snow?]

Late January!

Cool,which year though?

[Past winters discussion]

For me it has to be Jan 87.

Got cut off for 7-8 days,will never forget seeing snow drifts up level with the top of the lanes,cars completely buried and the sea frozen.

Think i'm right in saying that temp's got down to -13c,probably a record for the lizard peninsula.

[South West & Central Southern England - Weather Chat, 4th July and Onwards...]

Good old south west. Not one single mention of anything wintry from Mr Braine tonight. Strong winds with a wind chill is all thats on offer.

[Model Banter, Moans and Ramps Autumn/Winter 2015/16]

 I personally think there is something quite magical about a 15-16C day in the sun-starved months, stormy skies rushing overhead and the odd spot of rain.

Try working in it