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tight isobar

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Everything posted by tight isobar

  1. Just quickly...for reasons of cold progression.. The temperature plots also painting 2 points...1=a deepening of cold to the north east.... 2=and perhaps more importantly...that pooling/expansion talks up heights alignment to a desirable measure!!! Both going forward..and within the time scales. Note our middle graph is latter part!!!
  2. ..the met chop and change there outlook more than my pal Shane changes he's girlfriend s. And this is a broad scale out put discussion based thread...and to add a cold hunting one. I prefer not to talk about snow chances rtf..until we are locked in to a cold patterns already!= And most on here have guised a milder point...around your quote.. I'd rather talk/look/decipher real cold possibilities of a noted nature!. But everyone has there forte/preferences/views... What would this place...and indeed life be if that wasn't the case!?= Anyway lots on the plate to ponder...especially if cold inference is your edge....and deeper into this month!!!
  3. Okay...take the vortices placements/and imagine your looking at a Rolex watch...for linear movement..and ample phasing.. If we could run the sequence from the above snaps...you'd likely be bouncing off your walls at home...and end up with a night in rampton hospital....if wintery gain is your-desire!!!.. All in a nutshell ..(no pun intended). That's some serious dynamic evolution....to carry forwards..shame some cannot fathom it...
  4. Okay if your failed to be impressed by the ec 12z..withdrawal from 'the cold hunt thread is advisable'.. And we start to see my own craved scenario.. And elongated western lobe...and a cut sequence of adveting warmth into the chosen plots!! It's screaming undercutting/and victorious momentum for placement of sync!!=again all from around 20/12/2019....heights format are as good as a leading player...as we now begin to gain. The landlord is pi##ed...and it's soon to be happy hour....right in time for Christmas!!!!
  5. Pacific arm...into locked polar heights...Russian waa..into hand shake.. Leaving ample reduction in loose vortice /Atlantic... The door becomes ever ajar...for blocking holding placement... Eastern Euro/Greenland entry....more than feasible!!
  6. Incidentally here's the 3:4 index... I'll be back later for some more data/analysis for precursors/blocking/hemisphere notions...as we drift to Christmas...bundles for optimising!
  7. Forcing/blocking set to make a mockery of models...and it's certainly looking favourable for some kind of + format. Were all scratching our heads. 20/12/2019 onwards...and anyone suggests 'otherwise' (exact-exaction)=deluded.
  8. Not with a squeeze/elongated rouge lobe... Trust me...that's a start....ya need...in the hunt for cold...especially with other dynamic involvement!
  9. It's certainly angling in the right direction... We'll leave that there....'for now'
  10. I'd pop into view the met long ranger latest....De-icer/wind shields...snow shovels/and rain macks will very likely be much more appropriate!!!!.. As a few of us have been suggested for some days!!!
  11. Explain.. And some data to back that up??? Certainly not true.. Things are hinged...'to say the least.!
  12. But as highlighted via operationals...etc=gfs 6z..the large scale Russian high lapses...and migrates...as we gain...a positive sign for spillage into the desired plots....then it's pot luck atm..as discussed...block/pressure format location...
  13. Well the ens look like they may want a different say on that particular ed !!! @6z London ones...
  14. Yes..but there's some clockwork to unwind b4 we get to this...and as-again...any macro movement of cells/placement.. In 2/3 days time these synoptic...could look very alien... So definitely some very intriguing watching to come.
  15. Momentum certainly opening doors that previously looked closed!! There are ample angles for possible-much more 'favourable exactions'.. With some harmonic, sync...and luck anything remains possible with given synoptics.... And that pv-remains a desperate looking creature!
  16. Now this is a better profile of alignment... And the geopotential.. Later in December also offering up some promise.. The Russian noise needs eyeing for possible Scandinavian surge and placement! 6z gfs 00z 500 geo.. @valid 20-December
  17. Lol...Yeah no s##t.... At least...there are some odds and ends to grasp.. But in reality now we need quite an overhaul in synoptics for any real countrywide intrest!!.. And all eyes on russia...and the arctic... But the chase is weakening!!!
  18. Gfs...is ALWAYS 3rd in verification...especially @144-onwards.. Taking into account ukmo stops at that point...but overall...again gfs is the third rater...'overall!
  19. December saving grace...'or not'?!= The Russian high needs forcing and a link to the arctic high...or its rinse repeat PM/cool-zonal...it's that simple now...although the signs are there...and a possible notion it still is !!! Edit:= "
  20. The ukmo/ecm raw steadfast in pinging the jet south.. And still the arctic high notable... Tbh...we need every bit off of the bone atm... So I'm meat picking here!
  21. Lol...and you just know the jet.....Will likely buckle at the incorrect geographic point...And have a big say in the above^^^..
  22. Without being padantic..thats a Russian high forced ....but the Scandinavian format is there...and gaining...
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