Mark wheeler
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Posts posted by Mark wheeler
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Not much difference, Gem slightly cleaner and quicker but , I would grab both with open arms right now .
you little Gem
ukmo , see what I done there .
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Gem 180 to 192 . Nice !!
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Gfs at least -12 upper's entering the south east and a bump in the isobar . Looks like quite widespread snow for a while , probably light.
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And here we go again peeps , lets hope Brian is cheering like this at the end of each run. Lets Go
Northerly setting in quicker to my eyes on this run.
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9 minutes ago, prolongedSnowLover said:Thats nothing to get excited about!
If I see 20 flakes of snow I will be deliriously happy. For a minute anyway , I could say I was there in the blizzard of 2024
. I might be slightly exaggerating.
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Latest WRF Nmm showing some activity.
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Brian is happy again.
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I think I am having my own little bit of a wobble this morning. GFS not as good for the south with more encroachment from higher uppers . There is a rain to snow event in the south on the GFS control. ECM slightly better than last night's and Gem seems good .
Mogreps not looking quite so pronounced but still looking broadly supportive still but I noticed not all supportive of cold clearing the south coast . Still in the game and will remain positive that this is still well up for grabs .
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Cmon the Mighty Navgem , you've got this
.
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And 123 ...
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Just now, Mcconnor8 said:
Lovely, even as early as 96 could see the improvement, not sure why ECM seems to be lagging behind all the other models at the moment
Don't say that yet , Ppppplleeeasssseee
. Let the run finish first.
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UKMO 168 , Looks fine and Dandy
wow
I was late with that one it seems 
. Its ok I will be the parrot 
on this occasion.
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11 minutes ago, Coopsy said:
It's looking good for the SE. Looking at various outputs it seems like the wind is going to be NE at first which will help east/mid/north Kent and parts of EA but then it shifts more to NEE/E which moves precip from those areas to western kent/London region including possibly essex/Suffolk coastal areas.
Met Office don't seem too bothered by it but a lot of us have years of locals experience in this set up and have had snow when none was forecast.
Maybe there will be some melt and only highest regions will get some covering but still would have expected a low impact/low likelihood yellow. They're the experts though so what do I know lol.
Fun times. Good luck to everyone in the SE.
We can add Gem to the list .
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Isle of wight looks decent for some snow on this run.
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Thames streamer again showing on the 12z GFS
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1 minute ago, johncam said:
Definitely a downgrade
Not the way I see it . Upgrade IMO. Perhaps heavy rain in parts of the south sounds restricted in nature to me .
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12 minutes ago, Lukesluckybunch said:Brian gaze?
Doesn't matter , hopefully this is Brian on the next ECM run.
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11 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:
Who is Brian? The Brian on TWO?
Yes he tweeted about the ECM ens backing away from cold . Nothing that has not already been discussed on here .
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Warm outlier
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted · Edited by Mark wheeler
Some interest on the Ukmo snow wise . Something for the southeast then Isle of wight and some more general showers around the midlands and ending up in wales .