[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

I think the eps clusters will have some stockers 

That'll be me watching the 00z runs in the morning.

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

14 minutes ago, MJB said:

Just to be grounded, there is a chance this is on the cold side of the ENS, but great to see nonetheless 

Hopefully a warm outlier

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

UKMO 120

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Not trying to pre empt anything but having seen so many cold spells predicted and the UKMO doesn't join . Then it all falls apart. For me to see UKMO this time  showing some promise is a bit comforting for now . Another 50mins to see if that continues , fingers and everything else crossed .

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

4 hours ago, northwestsnow said:

GFS has moved towards EURO at 138..

UKMO is a beauty this morning..I feared it might be an outlier last night but when this model repeats it definitely has merit,and it's pretty much repeated itself this morning.. 

 

To many toys thrown out of the pram last night. looking forward to this cold spell, snow or not it will be nice to see ice and frozen surfaces .

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Comparing mogreps yesterdays 12z with todays . London being the example. More scatter to me . Still trending colder though.

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168 hours UKMO . Nom nom  

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

55 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:

Here's the uppers for the control at 216hours. No better than minus 4 over a swath of the South. Early January, previous generations would be laughing at us drooling over such mediocrity 

 Bank , bank , bank. You have no idea for us in and around London this is Narnia mate

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

Just now, sheikhy said:

The cold is in CONTROL and looking pretty MEAN!!!!!But can we get it to operate?!!..........

YAYYYYYY

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Wow as the years go by the the shenanigans grow bigger. Crazy stuff from the models and our members .

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

1 minute ago, Polar Maritime said:

Probably best to just move discussion to what the model's are showing in here..

Well here is the Navgem. Sorry had to get  it in tonight. Even if it is poop.

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

2 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

Or the GEM control? 

Nah still prefer Navgem , seriously though you must be encouraged with mogreps tonight. For once we are at least in the lottery with a ticket. 

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

Just now, Kasim Awan said:

That's my model - KMA.

Beggars can't be choosers . Next up the jma and navgem .

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KMA has a brief period of interest and a variation on whats on offer . 

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

7 minutes ago, MATTWOLVES 3 said:

Come onnnnnnnnnn!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Woooaaaaahhhhhhh!!!!!

Where's Shaky

I have been holding back waiting for you to post that Matey

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

Seems ok 168hrs 

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1 minute ago, Mike Poole said:

Not much room between the two lows at T144.

Do you mean here Mike ?

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

7 minutes ago, Daniel* said:

Impressive cold signal from GEFS the mean has 850hPa of temps of -6C by 9th in London, for over 10 days that is something of note. It would only likely trend colder the closer we get.

Wow that really is stark and very encouraging.

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Certainly not cherry picking LOL . This would be nice .

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Bloody Nora

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" I get down , I get up again , You're never gonna keep me down , I get down , I get up again you're never gonna keep me down.   the night away . ........

thats the weather . Thanks 18z for some cold for some anyway .

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Oh no. just signed in to see how the models went today after a busy day at work, retail is a bugger this week . 
 

The best I could find is this JMA chart on boxing day. 
 

Morgreps has also flipped , although a couple of stragglers remain.

Anyway a typical green xmas looks to transpire for most, hopefully I am wrong on that. 
 

On to the next chase , it's still early doors and we go again.

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It's a Merry Xmas from me new kid on the block KMA. It's sure to be a favourite in this place

@MATTWOLVES 3 my condolences to you mate .

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

13 minutes ago, blizzard81 said:

Some very mild Christmas runs on the mogreps 12z run, even oop north. 

Two quite distinct clusters there .

[Model Output Discussion - Into Winter]

1 hour ago, BartyHater said:

‘Decent run from ECM’?

Please explain, because it really doesn’t look like one when you look at it on WetterZ .

One thing I have realised this afternoon is how much better Meteociel is than Wetterz. Anyhow I see the Mighty Navgem is now leading the way , always loved this model . 
 

KMA is apparently the UKMOs friend and looks ok for the big day for some .