mbrothers
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Posts posted by mbrothers
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13 minutes ago, LightningLover said:
Hmm, ECM 00zis a bit squeaky bum time for us southerners... (I adore that phrase haha!) I pray it's a wobble!
Are u saying it’s a wobbly squeaky bum?
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Just now, CreweCold said:No one’s predicting cold rain on the 10th December. It’s merely what the ECM shows.
It’s the model discussion thread, we’re discussing what the model shows.
I think the relentless ott reactions to every run from some does get boring after a while . The overall picture is still fantastic.
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19 minutes ago, Vikos said:
Aside of maybe some lower temps, nothing to freak out 'bout...
Not if you are taking snow depth charts at 10 days away as gospel . But most aren’t
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Just now, sheikhy said:
Cmon guys rekax!!ukmo and gfs and ecm are darn good in the reliable no downgrades at all!!yes it goes tits up a bit after a bit but after looking at gfs ensembles the op once again is at the top end from day 7 or 8!!it keeps doing this!!infact the ensembles look better than the 18z ones!!
Spot on and a million miles better than this time or in fact any time last winter
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5 minutes ago, Adam lufc said:
Led up the path again.
Just knew the sensational charts last night would fail.
All those means and black hole anomolies are an utter joke! Waste of time.
Maybe it’s the way you analyse the charts or your expectations that have led you up a path. It’s just weather.
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On 02/03/2022 at 21:10, Andy Bown said:
Anyone under this deluge in Cornwall? Hail or just torrential rain?
Torrential rain.
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Seems to have picked again here after a less strong spell
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On 18/02/2022 at 09:51, weirpig said:
Im sure this storm will pack a punch maybe 80 plus somewhere but i think for the majority 70mph will probably be the max nasty yes but im unsure it will warrant a red/amber in most areas. As always time will tell
Perhaps the met office should issue weather warnings after the event then they would always be right .
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Getting very lively here in Newquay now. Taken a while but things definitely picking up.
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On 16/02/2022 at 22:40, Glaswegianblizzard said:
There's a strange motivation among some posters who are desperate to be the biggest cynics and naysayers about anything that has piqued other members' interest.
Spot on and it gets very boring doesn’t it.
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On 16/02/2022 at 22:17, Skullzrulerz said:
Don't worry I'm sure I see a wheelie bin or two going down the road. It just be a tad breezy here and nothing more at this rate.
Perhaps another thread would suit you better
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Some right nonsense on here . Wind speeds drop by a few mph and suddenly the yawn fest comments come out. We are still a good few hours away yet the usual know alls have written it off . Bonkers
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On 15/02/2022 at 07:10, Mark Smithy said:
What might be helpful then is if people clarify what they mean. The storm has not downgraded at all. What it 'has' done is track a little further south in the model forecasts this morning and, hence, why where you live might not have such intense gusts whilst others further south will have more so i.e. upgrades.
There are so many variables in a storm that won't even form until Thursday, far out at sea. One thing to keep an eye on is the possibility that it will reach maximum intensity off the British coast.
Yes to say the storm has down graded overnight is misleading. It’s going to edge a bit north or south with every run . Just because one runs shows it’s not so bad in one persons location doesn’t mean it’s down graded. Gonna be lively few days here in Newquay I think.
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On 26/12/2021 at 23:54, TomB said:
Indeed Blue, for the vast majority it is fun! Having been reading the forum for a decade or so it’s clear that a vast majority would be more than happy with a day or three out in the snow. There’s little unhealthy in that.
I’m pretty sure knocker was having a joke .
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On 25/12/2021 at 22:43, jellybaby1969 said:?? Being a realist doesn't suit ??
No I don’t get why u would bother going on a discussion forum and complain about people discussing a subject. If it’s tomorrow or 300 hours ahead people can discuss it. That’s the idea of the forum . The clue is in the title.
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On 25/12/2021 at 21:57, Smartie said:
Well quite frankly the chase for cold charts is all part of the fun so those people posting charts, cherry picked or not are free to do so & to those posters I say keep doing what you're doing, you make this thread a fun place to be.
Spot on if u don’t like it then leave
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I guess the met long rang forecast goes on what the models show. The models did show cold and now show mild. Not sure what’s so confusing.
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On 23/12/2021 at 22:45, Hammer50 said:
I have found out where all our snow went Japan andTurkey.
And Egypt
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On 23/12/2021 at 22:01, Dunstable Snow said:
I think this forum will be very quiet over the next 3-4 weeks. My god the last few days has been incredibly frustrating and I do sometimes wonder why we bother.
Have a great Christmas and a happy new year everyone- really enjoy reading all the contributions.
Not sure anyone can say a whole month can be written off.
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On 23/12/2021 at 10:03, shawty1984 said:
I'll never understand this. Christmas day is on Saturday and we've only just found out what's happening on Wednesday/Thursday. Why do people even then look at something 3 weeks away.
U tend to find it’s usually the same people too.
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On 22/12/2021 at 12:34, Liam Burge said:
BBQ anyone?
If u like to bbq at 9-10c feel free
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On 21/12/2021 at 09:49, Radiating Dendrite said:
I am looking for snow.
All I see is rain and then when the cold does arrive, it is not cold enough for a snowy easterly - mainly dry, before it potentially turns mild again.
Not exactly narnia.
Perhaps u need to move countries or lower expectations. Compare these Synoptics to previous borefest years then u might appreciate the interest shown by others
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On 21/12/2021 at 09:27, Lukesluckybunch said:
yea as i said earlier this morning,despite all the background signals gefs gfs op control etc.sadly i have a feeling ECM is onto somthing here,dont think the 6z will be as good.
Anything scientific?
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On 20/12/2021 at 07:21, offerman said:
If only Earth would spin the opposite way, E/ S/E N/E Flow , both winter and summer, with only the occasional westerly outbreak ……
What a great idea
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
There’s an lot of folk backtracking today or not appeared this morning.