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Djdazzle

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Everything posted by Djdazzle

  1. Djdazzle
    The EC ensembles seem to flip like a pancake!
  2. Djdazzle
    GFS 6z continues to show the AH ridge gaining more of a foothold in the medium term.
  3. Djdazzle
    Although it finds a way of ruining things later in the run. However I’m not placing much credence in that as things seems to be improving in the medium term across the models which will affect the later evolution.
  4. Djdazzle
    Which forecasters? Which analogues?
  5. Djdazzle
    Fine but back up your thoughts with some evidence.
  6. Djdazzle
    I had them on ignore for about 3 years. Took them off because I thought they might have changed and like giving people a second chance. Seems I was wrong!
  7. Djdazzle
    Ok then Draztik can you back up your summer forecast with some charts / info?
  8. Djdazzle
    Certain people like winding others up. Don’t bite the bait.
  9. Djdazzle
    12z another run where the AH never quite makes it, yet there seems nothing synoptically that would prevent it ridging.
  10. Djdazzle
    A bit? Total cloud cover in London now which wasn’t meant to happen. Yet another forecasting bust. The daily forecasts have been atrocious over the past few weeks.
  11. Djdazzle
    ECM never gets the Azores high close enough. That seems to have been a feature of summers in recent years. Could change though.
  12. Djdazzle
    It stands to reason that there will be a lot of cloud with a fairly moist airmass moving over a cool North Atlantic.
  13. Djdazzle
    GFS 18z is a bore fest. Cool and cloudy westerly winds for days on end while the Azores HP sits out west. What a waste! All those who wished for a pattern change would be getting more crud, this time from the west.
  14. Djdazzle
    It’s way out into FI though. Not overly concerned yet.
  15. Djdazzle
    It seems to spawn a LP system and deepen it a bit too enthusiastically, which is a known GFS trait.
  16. Djdazzle
    Probably an outlier. Evolution looks a bit iffy.
  17. Djdazzle
    It was looking really good at 192, then the next two charts seem a bit odd because they seem to retrogress the ridge.
  18. Djdazzle
    That’s probably the most glass half empty view you could take on the 12z runs! It’s unlikely that the temps will be below the low 20s even in the unsettled spell.
  19. Djdazzle
    Agree. Would be ironic if the North Sea muck was replaced by Atlantic crud! Looks ok in the south but won’t be wall to wall sun.
  20. Djdazzle
    It’s annoyingly that the Azores high never quite ridges far enough east to give the UK a really cracking summer spell. A nice summer spell but no heatwave.
  21. Djdazzle
    If the trend to move the jet north continues, the south will see very little rain.
  22. Djdazzle
    ECM and GFS improved runs compared to yesterday’s 12z’s.
  23. Djdazzle
    Be careful what you wish for because ECM is yet another horror show.
  24. Djdazzle
    Poor runs this morning. Worrying that ECM has turned out two very poor runs in a row now. Ok it’s not quite as bad as last night, it’s still a rotten run for summer fans.
  25. Djdazzle
    You couldn’t draw a worst 240 chart if you tried. It’s vile beyond belief.
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