Although if I’m being fussy, I’d like to see that ridge build more NE as it looks like it could get flattened further down the line.
GFS also builds the ridge, but the HP retrogresses and we end up with a horrid Scandinavia LP.
And with the near continent and Spain set to warm up, we should get the benefit from any plumes that materialise. Still too far out though to be confident.
If that ECM is correct it would be unbelievably unlucky considering where the jet has been running. It would also make a mockery of some of the medium term forecasts showing HP dominant over the UK in June.