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Djdazzle

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Everything posted by Djdazzle

  1. Moderate snow here for past hour or so. Looks heavier due to blowing around in the wind. I think the term “blizzard” is used too liberally sometimes!
  2. You’re in good company - despite the headlines, most of Essex is snowless and that’s how it will stay tonight. Our area not favoured at all.
  3. Yep same here. And not looking good for anything tonight either. Even with the better synoptics and upper low we still struggle.
  4. I think if the breakdown pans out as shown (and it is STILL an if at this stage), we will have learnt a few things: Cold air can be easily displaced by warm air. Low pressure coming up from the south against a block doesn’t always get corrected south over time. The GFS cannot just be dismissed as rubbish just because it isn’t showing what people want. Anyway, really hoping for an ECM trendsetter later on!
  5. The problem is that we have quite a slack flow, we need a stronger flow to aid the showers moving inland.
  6. So can someone with more knowledge explain why, despite the very low uppers and warm sea, the convection has been so poor overall. I remember in 91 there was heavy snow showers all night across a large area.
  7. With uppers this low and a warm sea, we should be seeing way more than this. No idea what the issue is, but there must be a scientific reason.
  8. Will the showers really die off overnight? Would be disappointing as they kept going all night in 87 and 91.
  9. It’s been said so many times - the models won’t pick out a lot of the showers.
  10. And to think my TV licence fee is helping to fund those BBC forecasts . . .
  11. It feels perishing outside now. Heaven knows how it will feel from tomorrow onwards!
  12. With these amazing and rare Synoptics, I’d be gutted with 2cm. We got more than that with the slider!
  13. Well GEM looks like a horror show! Hoping that the ECM is more like the UKMO. I’m also hoping that those who are saying MOGREPS moves the low along the channel can rely on their sources!
  14. Don’t mind if it’s marginally further south. Better than trending north.
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