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Djdazzle

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Everything posted by Djdazzle

  1. Djdazzle
    ECM looks amazing. But, we have seen it churn out amazing runs like this before.
  2. Djdazzle
    Still snowing here.
  3. Djdazzle
    Give it time!
  4. Djdazzle
    You need colder uppers and a stronger wind to bring those showers further inland.
  5. Djdazzle
    If the ground temperature is zero or below, snow will settle readily even on damp surfaces. If th snow is heavy enough, it can even settle on surfaces which are slightly above freezing.
  6. Djdazzle
    Sorry but we couldn’t find any dry sleet!
  7. Djdazzle
    Turning to snow here and feels very cold!
  8. Djdazzle
    Literally turned to snow in the space of 10 minutes.
  9. Djdazzle
    Raining here in North Essex, yet it’s meant to be snowing further south. How does that work?
  10. Djdazzle
    I hate it when they say the weather is going to be cold, yet the temperature shown is actually the seasonal average.
  11. Djdazzle
    Not a classic Easterly in Dec 2010. Not like the ones we had in the good old days!
  12. Djdazzle
    Been waiting 26 years for a decent Easterly in winter! Northerlies and North Westerlies are always naff down here.
  13. Djdazzle
    There does seem to be growing interest in a pressure rise to the NE for the last third of December. Those drawing parallels with December 1962 may be onto something. I’ve often heard it said that the best winters have a couple of hors d’oeuvres before the main course.
  14. Djdazzle
    I love Steve Murr’s posts, analysis etc, but to be fair even when he does get excited, 9 times out of 10 things still go wrong for coldies.
  15. Djdazzle
    I think the reality going forward is that there just isn’t enough blocking to sustain anything cold for any length of time. The models aren’t showing any clear signals for establishing blocking.
  16. Djdazzle
    Surely you need a much better cold feed with these sliders? Extremely marginal at best on the ECM. The best sliders in the past have cone up against strong blocking with a cold feed.
  17. Djdazzle
    Yet Chris Fawkes is talking about disruptive snow! Is this a forecast based on the more recent 12z runs I wonder?
  18. Djdazzle
    ECM hasn’t come out yet . . .
  19. Djdazzle
    Channel lows are such rare beasts though. But surely we are due one!
  20. Djdazzle
    True, but very unlikely if the ECM shows cross model agreement later.
  21. Djdazzle
    Interesting that people were saying the other day that the Atlantic looks dead and the one thing that won’t happen is a return to zonality! Very poor output now if you are looking for cold.
  22. Djdazzle
    What model are you looking at?
  23. Djdazzle
    Don't trust the EC ensembles. Remember when they were almost unanimously behind the Easterly earlier in the winter? And it didn't happen. I'd rather trust a piece of seaweed to be honest!
  24. Djdazzle
    There were lots of comments such as "that block will take some shifting." Yes it seems to be sunk very easily, if the models are to be believed. Am still not buying it yet though.
  25. Djdazzle
    Models have been woeful this winter. Met Office updates have also been woeful. However, this Easterly was never modelled to show deep cold in the reliable. The high always looked like the wring shape.
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