Spah1
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Posts posted by Spah1
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Cold with wintry showers affecting northwestern coasts, with showers moving inland especially in the north, clearer in the south. Potential for more persistent snow through Tuesday in the northwest.
YYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!
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39 minutes ago, January Snowstorm said:
What surprises me is the Met Office more or less went for the low pressure to be further North. Its almost certain now that won't happen
Certain - 6 days away?
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Every run where the low goes into France brings joy to my heart.
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39 minutes ago, Rush2019 said:
3.8°C as of 8am. Bright and dry, ice gone from birds water.
Are some areas of the region in for some snow Monday into Tuesday? A dusting? What does everyone think?
This has raised an eye brow.
One to
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I think this will end up being about right.
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Are we really going to have to read 300 posts a day for 7 days on a snow line. Can we have a new thread for that and keep this thread for model analysis.
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I think I’m going to vomit
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I’m going to put this on the record now.
I don’t want the South and Midlands to have a massive snow event while I sit at work watching the radar in jealousy. I either want it to batter us or go into France.
There said it.
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For those posters who are tired of folks riding their emotions on 168hrs charts maybe you should just stick to reading the insightful model thread if it annoys you so much. This is a public forum and folks are allowed to be as invested as much as they want in FI charts regardless of whether some people think it’s fruitless. Some folks might enjoy the highs and lows of emotion regardless of how rational or irrational others judge it to be. As long as it’s not a moan or ramp and contributes to the thread long may it continue in my mind.
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I can’t believe the beeb have shown that map so far ahead. The low could miss us altogether.
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22 hours ago, Spah1 said:
You really think it’s a significant block? I was just looking at the models and the heights don’t seem to be robust and drain away over time.
I posted this last night but nobody took me up on it. Heights don’t look to hang around on the 168hrs UKMO over Greenland.
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1 hour ago, northwestsnow said:
My preference is the snowline stays south of the Midlands actually.
That way more people see snow and those of us North of the snow will hopefully see lots of snow showers and frosty nights.
You've been taken over to the dark side. I wouldn't mind one of these slider / LP systems actually making it to Lancashire. Can't remember the last time we had a frontal snow system. Exeter's update very encouraging. Looking forward to the 12z'. Hoping to see a cleaner evolution and a more robust Greenie block.
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You wanted the cold air to get into France
Et voilà
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The ECM 168hrs just looks like we will lose the heights over Greenland and low pressure will fill in.
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1 minute ago, Nick123 said:
I have no knowledge of the charts at all but I do wonder why we get excited about weather that's a week away when they change run by run?
It’s the hope that kills ya.
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1 minute ago, Lukesluckybunch said:
yes only the southcoast missing out
and the NW
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So here’s the question.
Starting Monday 15th Jan for 14 days you could pick anywhere in the country to live, where would it be? Scotland? NE for the Easterly? South Midlands for a jackpot snow event off the channel runners?
A mountain in Wales? In this set up I’m not sure. I like the look of South midlands just in case those low pressure systems bump into the cold air for a foot of snow but then I might miss out on shower activity
where is the perfect place ???
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13 minutes ago, Catacol said:
@Met4Cast - roll with the muppetry. It doesn’t matter how many times some folk on here are advised not to jump on every micro detail change at 240h. It still happens despite the solid ongoing signal. If current anticipated synoptics are not good enough then I hate to think how people are going to react in the future to the 85-90% of seasons with more typical patterns.
All good. Trough still dropping down the eastern side of a significant block. Good times.
You really think it’s a significant block? I was just looking at the models and the heights don’t seem to be robust and drain away over time.
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7 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:
But where does it sit in the ENS
Who cares !
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Epic!
Please can one of these FI charts come off, just once, please
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34 minutes ago, Scott Ingham said:Exactly! People really do need to learn to stop getting low and high over every run. The means are rock solid backed up by the met of battleground developing and like Tamara mentioned earlier after this developments to the north east really need to be watched going into Feb.
All is incredibly positive atm the cold and snow is coming im almost certain it’s just how long and how much now!
What a fantastic winter this is! Especially from a learning perspective!
Completely disagree.
Getting low and high on each run is part of the fun. Imagine if the models verified 100% from day 10 this forum wouldn’t exist.
Should we not follow our football teams highs and lows of the season and just look at the league table at the end of the season?
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GFS making a hash of a significant block.
I think it’s all over the place and struggling like hell with these unusual synoptics.
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7 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
GFS Upgrading the cold pool Again, much further north at such short range - more snow chances for many
I’d be taking more notice of the Arpege at that range.
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Model Output Discussion - Colder but how cold and for how long?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Who cares it’s completely wrong.