Daniel*

Oddly you was talking about settling snow lol I assumed you was quite confident I do think you'll see the white stuff being to the west of London out in deepest/darkest Surrey Ideally you want that for snow to settle and to some extent those onshore winds will have a impact on coastal towns by the warm North Sea the air ain't really warmer - although it may cause some convention, it will probably just be just rain, sleet at a push along coast. I have an idea we will be surprised about the outcome. I've cursed it now

To be truthful I will be sattisfied with seeing snow fall I'm not asking for much perhaps I am. Snow reports to the N/W the bitter PM air is working its way down the country. Far too warm at the moment 7C the dew point is going the right way though at 2C.

We're talking about the Southeast here I'd love to be 100m above sea level it can be very beneficial I'm only 6.9 ASL and with regards to the graphics, bear in mind snow does not follow borders.

The NMM 6z looks rather good although I fear it may be overdoing it however I take that model over the GFS hands down it looks pretty uncertain here although I feel this region will have some snow contrary to VP.

I think you're right! oops: Well it feels colder here hopefully the skies are clear overnight before precip arrives. Every little helps

"Additionally, some of the snow may settle, this more likely over some of the high ground, for example in Northern Ireland and north Wales on Friday evening, with a few cm over hills. There is a possibility of temporary, small amounts of settling snow even at low levels away from eastern coastal counties of England though most areas should miss this. On Saturday morning, ice will be an additional hazard, particularly for higher level routes." I will not be having much sleep

Evaporative cooling may cause the precipitation to stay as snow for longer than modelled.

@EssexWeather 2hr ago This evenings high-res model run from @MetOffice shows a dusting to 1CM of snow in Central and Western Essex on Sat morning.

The mention of the 'S' word included in yellow wind warning - A swathe of gale force north to northwesterly winds, accompanied by a band of rain and snow, will move south across much of central and southern Britain on Friday night and Saturday. Wind gusts of 50-60 mph are likely, with a lower likelihood of 60-70 mph gusts, perhaps most likely in exposed parts of east coastal England. In any one area, the strongest winds will last for only a few hours, clearing last from southeastern areas of England. Additionally, some of the snow may settle, this more likely over some of the high ground, for example in north Wales, but there is a possibility of temporary settling snow even at low levels. The worst affected areas may see a few cm but on current evidence, most places will see little if any lying snow. On Saturday morning, ice will be an additional hazard, particularly for higher level routes. East Sussex, Greater London, Kent, Surrey, West Sussex, Medway, Buckinghamshire, Milton Keynes, Slough, Windsor and Maidenhead, Oxfordshire, Bracknell Forest, Wokingham http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings®ionName=se&fcTime=1447977600

Well it looks quite good for you on Euro 4.About the ground being too warm to settle I assume MO are taking that under consideration although I've known snow to settle before following a real soaking. If the cold air was already established there could have been several inches for large swathes of Eastern England although perhaps there's a potential for a few CM for a lucky few. As of 6am I would say all the precipitation inland will be of snow. Fax is interesting a general spell of sleet/snow for our region by that occlusion?

As long as these keep churning out I'm getting reasonably confident the 'S' word will show itself, fingers crossed.

I have this snapshot from Frosty. I'm under the white stuff on that

Yes, I believe so Kent Blizzard, that was a real wow movement. I'm sorry to hear about your dog, Mia.. Tim, it must have been quite traumatic to have seen him liveless by the side of the road. I have viewed latest NMM run and it shows nothing of note but it remains volatile with snow you can never be sure following the disastrous 2 winters gone a good spell of snow for some of us folk... will elevate my spirits.

Unexpected snowfalls are the best ones it is not far off coming within range of NMM.

Eastern fringes are almost guaranteed snow showers sparking off by the toasty North Sea question is how far these will penetrate inland it is down to nowcasting. Last time I had snow in November was 2010.

First heavy snowfall for the Alps Friday into Saturday night. More than 1 metre expected in the French Alps.

Monsoon rain currently soaked to the skin...

Leysdown fantastic location. More seriously the Lizard jutting out to that huge expanse of water monster waves!

Some quite strong gusts continue here I thought it would have died down significantly by now. Storm Barney is reluctant to wave goodbye...

I think I've got myself muddled thinking St Jude was in winter months of 2014, when it was really in October 2013 - odd doesn't seem like 2 over years. Looking at the stats I was wrong but for some odd reason that Windstorm never really stood out for me which is quite bemusing the strong winds may have occurred during the early hours? I also think there was a sting jet at play too. STATION NAME AREA MAX GUST (MPH) WIGHT: NEEDLES ISLE OF WIGHT 99 LANGDON BAY KENT 82 ISLE OF PORTLAND DORSET 81 ANDREWSFIELD ESSEX 79 ODIHAM HAMPSHIRE 78 THORNEY ISLAND WEST SUSSEX 76 SOLENT HAMPSHIRE 75 WIGHT: ST CATHERINES POINT ISLE OF WIGHT 75 YEOVILTON SOMERSET 75 LYNEHAM WILTSHIRE 75 HURN DORSET 74 MANSTON KENT 70 HEATHROW GREATER LONDON 69 This is an interesting read...apologies if it's familiar to you. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/s/n/18.5_PaulDavies.pdf Personally the more ferocious the better I'm quite a junkie in terms of extreme weather, I'm aware of the dangers but what can you do its Mother Nature - we are way overdue a beast I must say. Regarding the possible snow that is still on the cards on 18z...but the so called 'channel low' has hitched from previous run taking a route along French mainland on this run and we're struggling for precipitation unlike on the other side of channel. It is a difficult balance with any big northern corrections possibly mixing out the cold air consequently the precip could be of rain for us while north of M4 corridor it could fall all as snow on northern flank. Will be watching this closely as it has the potential be a good snow event for London & Southeast I stress the word potential. Ultimately northern France is stealing the show on this run..hopefully it turns more favourable for us.

Real gale here currently this quite easily outdoes St Jude I would say 50mph+ winds in this part of London is unusual being quite sheltered. The local woodland must be having a hard time a lot of tree debris!

Moments ago there was a big gust I would say between 40-50mph a little wild out there!

GFS is going for an absolute maximum of 3C on Saturday quite frankly it should be ignored.

In experience they only forecast snow when confidence is high it is still unresolved Ben. In all likelihood he may be right. Winds have really been picking up here over the last hour the neighbours sunflower is swaying like a rag doll. I apologise for my erratic iPad.