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Carlrg

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Everything posted by Carlrg

  1. Carlrg
    Not all doom and gloom.
  2. Carlrg
    Everyone is looking into FI for any possible change in synoptic and possible cold. All I was showing was the huge difference between a certain model run at that timescale that's all.
  3. Carlrg
    Big differences on the 00 Z and the 06 Z on the GEFS.
  4. Carlrg
    Wow, looks like the Alps is going to get another pasting. Saturday night through to Monday Eve.
  5. Carlrg
    Middle Diddle according to the GEM.
  6. Carlrg
    I know but we live in hope. It's going to be zonal, mild and mushy. And this chart don't look good either. Not a cat in hell's chance of an undercut followed by a beasterly.
  7. Carlrg
    This'd be a bit parky. If it verfied that is. Lala land as ever.
  8. Carlrg
    Not wall to wall zonality by any stretch of the imagination according to the GFS 12z. FI I know but writing winter off at this juncture is daft imo. Loads of twists and turns to come.
  9. Carlrg
    A Couple of FI charts to keep your chins up.
  10. Carlrg
    Ireland's going to get their fair share according to this realtime satelite map. Already turning to snow there. Peeps can keep an eye on their own backyard as well. What happens at at ground zero is another story though. http://uk.weather.com/mapRoom/mapRoom
  11. Carlrg
    Is that shortwave going to undercut and have no decent cold to tap into. Ruddy typical. T186 GFS 18z. Can anyone please explain why it disappears at T192H. Thanks Carl.
  12. Carlrg
    HP hanging on for grim death at T120 on the GFS 18z. Still rolling out.
  13. Carlrg
    At T162 the Southerly flow is just off the coast of ireland.
  14. Carlrg
    Atlantic train starting to roll back in as early as T144.
  15. Carlrg
    Coldies will have to wait till January for any significant cold IMO. The charts look like mush to me. Hope i'm wrong though but the promised cold just isn't getting to our shores and keeps retrograding. Some terrible perturbations on the GEFS ensembles.
  16. Carlrg
    Thanks for that Mountain Shadow.
  17. Carlrg
    Run after run after run, all I can see is a very transient set of weather. Not boring by any means but even deep into FI, personally I can see no entrenched cold coming to our shores.
  18. Carlrg
    That Iberian HP is on steroids and looks like it will be a party pooper over the festive season. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?ech=240&code=0&carte=0&mode=0&archive=0 Scotland will be colder but according to the precip charts, they won't be getting a cigar off Santa. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=240&mode=2&carte=0 All in FI so not set in stone.
  19. Carlrg
    http://176.31.229.228/modeles/bom/archives/2013060300/bom-0-240.png The BOM's sending the lp over the top of us allowing the warmer weather and pressure to build over the south of the UK.
  20. Carlrg
    But their forecasts are based on their expertise, professionalism, million pound supercomputers and terrabytes of data, surely they must be able get a little closer to the mark.
  21. Carlrg
    That low doesn't look as deep either. Gradually it's losing its energy. Those quids we are all chipping in are working a treat.
  22. Carlrg
    The BOM showed this low stalling in the Atlantic and getting pushed back a few days ago. Now that would be a feather in its cap if it came to fruition.
  23. Carlrg
    Looking at the models for the 10th June, not one is in agreement. All to play for in the medium term imo. The Gem 12z is just that a gem of a chart. http://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/comp_panel.php?mode=0&ech=216&size=2
  24. Carlrg
    Very pleasant rather than hot according to the 2m temps on the BOM. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=6&mode=8&carte=0 Combined with the 850's it will definately be what the doctor ordered. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=6&mode=1&carte=0 LP skirts Ireland and the West of Britain in the latter timeframes but gets pushed back into the Atlantic. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=6&mode=0&carte=0
  25. Carlrg
    Uppers warming up very nicely to our East. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=240&mode=1&carte=0 The trough and cold pool in the Atlantic gets stopped in its tracks with the pressure and heat building on the Continent. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/bome_cartes.php?&ech=240&mode=0&carte=0 I think the Atlantic trains done for!!!!
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