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Nimbusman

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    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Paul Sherman said:

    Amazing to think this is going to start pretty much to the hour from the 1991 spell almost exactly 30 years ago to the day 

    I remember that Thursday on the 7th Feb 1991 being sent home from work around Midday and leaving London which had a dusting and getting pretty much the last train out of Liverpool Street to get home to about 5cm that had already fallen at the start of that spell.

    Does anyone have the charts for the 7th Feb 1991 ?

    Looks like it’s finally on Paul! We wait all this time and it’s occurring pretty much 30 years to the day! Crazy! I remember that day really well, playing football on the Wednesday night with showers of graupel falling then overnight things changed, heavy snow showers on and off then by 2pm the persistent snow kicked in and we were sent home from school.
     

    Found this site with some details from that memorable event, some really great charts and data from the met office there too:

    https://wansteadmeteo.com/2018/02/06/the-severe-cold-spell-of-february-1991/

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1

    Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

    I think totals in the order of Feb 1991 are not completely unrealistic given the extent of cold and duration of the unstable flow. The algorithm is malfunctioning on that website, or at least that is total falling snow equivalent and not accumulation as it shows snowfall over the sea.

    Thanks Kasim, just saw Nicks reply too. I’ll remove the plastic sheeting from the chair for now! Still looks like a long period of snow around here regardless. This synoptic set up is as rare as hens teeth and traditionally EA does well out of it so let’s see how this pans out. All eyes on the short range higher resolution models from tomorrow 

    • Like 3

    Model output discussion - deep cold inbound?

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Nimbusman

    21 minutes ago, Nick F said:

    06z EC showing a lot of snow for E Anglia and into the northern Home Counties as well as the NE by the end of the run / Monday morning

    ecmwf-deterministic-uk-total_snow_kuchera-2742400.thumb.png.93648a3037eb24a238bbd1c0eb574953.png

    Wow that’s an incredible amount of snow Nick! Is that frontal or showers banding together?  If that comes off we won’t of seen snowfall in this part to the UK since Feb 91... nearly 30 years to the day! 
     

    *edit

    Just sorry saw your reply so could be faulty data then? 

    • Like 1

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    Looking like a repeat of last weekend again to me? Good for the west and south west of the region to see a covering again. Of course things could change and I hope we get a more elongated low meaning less of a mild wraparound for the rest of us.

    Personally my interest is more into next week now and the chance of seeing some true cold air advected west but we just need that Genoa low to get on the scene to help us out!

    • Like 1

    Model output discussion 24/01/21

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    53 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

    Most models have some snow next week? Day 7/8 ? ECM, GFS & GEM below. No deep freeze but snow possibilities...

    205A3303-80C7-4241-9314-03F278DCDCB2.jpeg

    0C8D743E-59AD-40C1-BB7F-3E0761200E59.png

    C74736D0-7EBB-4B12-8B48-7E03ED5039BE.png

    Yes Tim, looks like we have repeating patterns here. I know it’s not ideal for most and not deep cold everyone is yearning for but at least it keeps offering chances. 

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    Some proper dumpings go on which is good to see! Hopeful of seeing something later here from the bend back in the form of showers but looks like west is best for this region. Pivot point and sweet spot looks to be west of Cambridge. Seems like the front is breaking up on the NE edge, maybe due to some shearing of the winds off the coast(and slightly milder air)? Also would tie in with reports of rain on the Kent and Essex coast 

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, PLANET THANET said:

    hi there

      just thought I would repost this link that a person posted earlier and I have gone on it and just had a snow fix !!!!

     

    ?? Absolutely still belting down there, be handy for next week when they get another dumping. This is what it’s come to... desperate vicarious snow fixes!

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