Nimbusman
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Posts posted by Nimbusman
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1 hour ago, Southender said:
So as I'm bored, I have literally looked through every HRES model to find some crumbs for our region regards tomorrow...
The way I see it is the band of snow (weakening all the time) will head South and then more South West into Mids/Wales and on the whole unless you are more North West based, it will miss us bar the odd flake.
The only crumb and it is a very small one (about enough to feed an ant) is perhaps we should look more towards the Southern North Sea/Estuary Friday evening into early hours Saturday. Winds should swing somewhere between NE'ly-E'ly at this time and there is a small window and chance of some instability sparking some wintry showers to be pulled across some parts of the region, as the band to the west slides away SW.
That's about all I can find I'm afraid, unless anything changes next couple of runs.
Unfortunately I agree, this event has the hallmarks of another load of snow for the NW and West Midlands AGAIN! To be fair I had written off the next couple of weeks for any chance of snowfall in this region anyway so expectations were kept low.
Let’s see what the SSW dispenses in the next week or so
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9 minutes ago, Southender said:
Correct. Dew points and air temps too high for any snow on low ground. Perhaps a sleety shower if you are really lucky
Yup same here again today, 3°C is our favourite number at the moment (not the magic number as Del la Soul would have you believe!). Seems like we’ve had more days of 3 degrees and dank greyness than anything else the past month. Totally wasted synoptics... actually that sounds like a good band name that!
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38 minutes ago, Nick F said:
Oh how I long for a decent easterly where you don't have to worry about marginality, even at sea level, back in the 80s, yes Im old, don't ever remember an easterly in early January being marginal, oh how times have changed.
Agreed. Also old enough to remember the 80’s events and obviously Feb 91, I think we’ve been terribly unlucky here with no real cold to tap into when the synoptics are just right. Having said I seem to remember a while ago a wise poster used to mention it sometimes take a few failed attempts at an easterly to hit the jackpot... let’s hope the dice fall kindly for us post SSW!
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7 minutes ago, Nick F said:
Well, that's just typical of this cold spell, current temp of 1.7C and DP of -0.3C and no precipitation anywhere near. Will be too late in the night to wait up for a shower I think.
Opposite here Nick! Lots of showers but not cold enough, you gotta laugh!
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Classic case of dropping temps and dp’s but precipitation disappearing up here in Suffolk. I’d imagine they go hand in hand, drier air equals lower dp’s. Looks like the Kent lot might be good for later tonight with a little elevation.
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1 minute ago, Paul Sherman said:
Must admit very impressed with how cold it is today. Nowhere near the High the BBC were saying which was 2c for here
Currently at -1.2c with a -1c Dewpoint now that is very impressive for the Coast
Agreed Paul, just got back from a run and frost everywhere in the shade hovering around 0°c here too. Some impressive freezing fog last night too. What’s your views on next week and the initial easterly, uppers too marginal for snow for us do you think ?
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Quick question for the more technical minded members...
considering we are under low pressure (albeit very slack) we have seen very little precipitation falling over our region. Have we been stuck in a pocket of drier air or is it to do with upper air flow? Aside from the disappointment of not seeing falling snow was just wondering if there’s a meteorological reason behind it? Be great to learn and understand why it panned out the way it has? TIA
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Looking like another snow chance gone for today, it’s been trending that way for days now so not a total let down.
Still lots of ‘potential’ in the medium/long term but it’s starting to become apparent that in this current setup the potential isn’t fully materialising - for this part if the uk anyway. I know there’s a long way to go in this winter but the constant grey leaden skies, 3°C and barely any frosts isn’t really floating my boat at the moment.
Onto next week and there’s the hope of a more favourable NE’erly to easterly which historically has been fruitful for EA and the the south east for snow (old enough to remember 91 and 87 too) just hope the 850’s are cold enough
Good luck to you guys on the south coast for later, you might just scrape something!
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32 minutes ago, WxHerts said:
Yikes from Arome, somehow it manages to perfectly skim the coast lol
If the track does end up that far south would we be in play from the convective stuff off the North Sea?
Still to be decided but I suspect this will go to the wire.
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12 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:
Let's see if the met change there warnings with the northern extent of the low weds evening
Met Office have adjusted the warning south, for now the game is up anywhere north of Essex (from this feature) latest runs and fax back this up unfortunately. Personally speaking I hope it does move further north but might be relying on a feed of showers here once the low pulls away.
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As others have mentioned this brief snowfall has already surpassed the whole of last year! Some frost tonight then fog/frost Sunday - cracking start to winter with plenty of opportunities to come
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Thicker clumps now mixed in, this has already surpassed the whole of last winter!
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Moderate snow here now in Ipswich, slightly bigger flakes mixed in and starting to settle on surfaces. Great start to winter!
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As others have mentioned throughly miserable, wet and cold day here, if only it was winter eh!
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Huge cell literally developed over my house, constant thunder but no rain, looks like it’s heading NW of Ipswich so anyone in that direction get ready for some action
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Storms have avoided here today, was rather nice feeling 22°C earlier now up to 25.6°C probably another 30 plus day coming up
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Looks like we've hit the max of 30.9C today here temp just edging back down now, must be the sea breezes kicking in taking the edge off.
Edit: Hang on, its on its way back up again!
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Light/moderate snow now, had some bigger flakes earlier but nothing settling. Nice to see after 2 years of waiting though! Shame the colder air didn’t undercut earlier
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1 minute ago, Snow Gazer said:
Has been snowing here (between Newmarket and Bury St Edmunds) since 7am, has been settling really well despite the wet ground. Here is a photo.....
Just 20 odd miles down the road and it couldn’t be more different. Few bigger flakes mixed in now though
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Light rain/sleet here in Ipswich, temp and dew both dropping to something which is more conducive for snow but the precipitation isn’t heavy enough it seems
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5 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:
Well that was a short lived chase wasn't it?
Yes looking a those ensembles and just reading GP thoughts looks a very brief respite to the wind and rain. Will be nice to have a more seasonal feel to the Xmas period before Atlantic onslaught begins again unfortunately
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A cracking spell of sleet here now
This event was so marginal for here but I suppose it was always going to be thus so can’t be too dispondant.
Back to medium long term prospect again for me and the hunt for some more winter....
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Brief spell of light snow here in Ipswich in the early hours but no covering to speak of, in fact it melted what leftover snow there was remaining from the other day! temps and dp were too marginal. That’s still the case the morning. Looks like some people did ok around the region but haven’t seen any decent depths reported (7cm+) so far...
Wintry mix today/this weekend and a few more sliders going forward seems to be the theme... give me a solid ENE any day!
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Finally in the game here in Ipswich! Light to moderate snow falling now with a brisk north easterly breeze
South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards
in Regional
Posted · Edited by Nimbusman
Heads up, an area of showers have just popped up just north of here around Halesworth heading SW by the looks of things. Might be light but could be a chance of seeing something white fall from the sky