To be fair to those in the South this does look an interesting event. Up to 40cm is very impressive. The NE of England holds two winter records for the longest period of time below freezing in a inhabited area in Feb 1986 at Widdbank Fell. Deepest lying snow in a inabited location 211cm March 1947 Forest in Teesdale. Mark
-2.8ºC here fresh NE wind causing some drifting. Like you this spell hasn't too great for here. The Northern parts of the N Pennines have had much more snow than Teesdale. Just appears to have missed here so often in last 2 weeks. Not convienced these shrs will make to much of an inroad west because the front to the South is so slow moving. Mark
Last time Upper Eden had 20th consecutive days was probably late Jan96 into Feb 96. Before that 1991 and 1987 etc. If this mornings ECM run comes of it would into the 80's events comparisions. Whats lacking is a severe snowstorm/low temps. Snow depths are notable but no anywhere near past events. The 12 years you've been in the area have been lacking in snow events. Jan/Feb 96 was more severe in terms of snowfall/condtions. 30/40cm with offical blizzard conditions in Eden Valley. A66 was closed just near where Centre Parks is due to drifting snow. Mark
The developing front is very slow moving. Meto invent precipiation forecast which was issued at 18z has front further South by 2100z. Around Edinburgh its hardly moving on its back end. Mark
Meto invent 18z update now online. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/pws/invent/weathermap/ Still think the front from the North wont get as far South as projected. Things will change again overnight. Mark
Big change on latest fax, low over the South Coast instead of the Southern North Sea http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/fax/fax36s.gif With such a change over a short period of time. The radar is everyones best bet. Mark
I doubt anywhere will get close to -20C. -16c was coldest recorded temp of the 00's in England/Wales. I would imagine Shap could get close to that figure at some point. Mark
Area of heavier precipiation develops over SW Scotland then pushes down N England. Heavy snow shrs pack into NE England on Strong NE Wind until this clears south in the late evening. 12z precipitation update on link http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/pws/invent/weathermap/ Mark
Meto warnings update for tonights feature. 15cm/20cm in some locations for Tuesday http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_warnings.html Mark
The wind should pick up slighty and remove the temp inversion in the Eden Valley ahead of the front. You should stay below freezing but I think it will be close. The higher the wind speed the more the mixing of the wamer air above. Mark
I take your meaning the coming week.
Excellent duration of cold but deep snow here is the missing element. Had deeper snow last Feb which wasn't as deep as feb 2005 never mind some snow events in the winter of 95/96.
Mark
This afternoon could be better for snow shrs. -10C drop in 500mb temps http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs061.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs181.gif Plus change in Cape/Lift http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs066.gif http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs216.gif Mark
A drop of few degrees would be nice. Currently 0.5C here with snow shrs. Some limited drifting in strong gusty wind but its not the powdery snow we usually get here.
Mark
Windy here must by 40/50 mph at times, temp 0.5C snow shrs. Some drifting but until is sub 0C its not up to much. Last Saturday night was brisk -4.2C with winds 30mph plus blowing snow 20ft high. Mark
12z Meto Invent up date confirms SWW, heaviest precipiation across Wales. Precipiation moves Northwards and Westwards weakening across N England. Heavy precipiation bands contuine move in S Wales/S Mildands at 2100z Tuesday. Mark Teesdale