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Jo Farrow

Senior forecaster
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Everything posted by Jo Farrow

  1. Windy Wednesday for northern parts of the UK as Ingunn heads for Norway WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Norway has named Ingunn for stormy conditions on Wednesday night. Before that, the low will bring gales and a distinct band of heavy rain to northern UK on Wednesday.
  2. (from Google translate) YR.no 'A red warning of extremely strong gusts of wind has been issued for parts of Nordfjord, Møre and Romsdal, Trøndelag and Helgeland. From Wednesday afternoon to Thursday morning, a hurricane [force F12 73+mph] is expected on the coast and wind gusts of 35-50 m/s. (78- 112mph) The strongest gusts are expected in outer regions from Stad to Helgeland.' 'A storm centre enters the Norwegian Sea... "Ingunn" is expected to give southwest strong storm to hurricane [force] on the coast of Nordfjord, Møre and Romsdal, Trøndelag and Helgeland on Wednesday evening. The wind increases first in the south. Night to Thursday, the wind turns west with a possible hurricane in North Trøndelag and South Helgeland. [During] Thursday, the wind is north-westerly and gradually decreases, first in the south. There is uncertainty related to the low pressure track on Thursday and the possibility of extremely strong gusts of wind is also expected in the rest of Nordland, as well as strong gusts of wind in Troms and Finnmark later in the day.' There will also be snow showers in northern Norway 'possibility of 20-50 cm of snow during Thursday together with the strong wind.' and high tides with low pressure and push of the wind raises the risk of coastal flooding for Norway.
  3. As part of the Northern storm naming group, Norway have named storm INGUNN. They just chose names for the event, there was PIA back in December named by the Danish Met. Sweden is also in this group. Norway has had horrendous weather this week with gales, driving rain and ice at near the coasts with a HIGH avalanche risk. The low will also impact northern parts of the UK on Wednesday, with two wind warnings in place, one with High impacts (low likelihood) possible for northern Scotland and the Islands
  4. 19.6C in the end for Kinlochewe, but manual daily data from Achfary has come in with 19.9C on the 28th . Both provisional. Dr Eddy 'Weather' Graham https://twitter.com/eddy_weather @eddy_weather Lots of talk re: föhn yest, but the standard setup alone cannot explain highs of 19-20C in NW Highlands - no operational met model picked it up either (resolution issue?). Dry descent of air from ~1500-2000m in huge mtn waves is likely culprit IMHO, given coincident fierce wind.
  5. Some observation stations don't automatically send in the data, they are checked at 09Z (NCM data) A manual reading at Achfary has come in with a provisional 19.9C so exceeding Kinlochewe's 19.6C, both on Sunday 28th
  6. I think the storm names do generate good conversations before the severe weather hits. And afterwards, even years after, the names can be great identifiers for the most impactful or severe events. And that will depend on the region. Here we would remember Arwen and Babet but not Eunice. The names are included in other projects, reflections and campaigns. From power companies, I went to the annual talk from a nuclear power station and they mentioned Babet throwing in loads of seaweed onto the water cooling inflow nets and we remember the event, so quickly. We discussed that you might get two in a row (or even three as in Feb 2022) due to the position of an active jetstream = another deep low, and the antecedent/cumulative conditions = more serious impacts. A section of society won't ever prepare or do anything to help themselves. Before Beast from the East, there was a good run up in the forecast but they were still moaning on Facebook , caught unawares. The shrieking weather headlines that appear every month don't help but we are told constantly to find good sources, and double check and use trustworthy news sites. For everything online. They don't . As we see more severe weather events, more flooding, more heatwaves etc as our climate heats up , there will be more responsibility on individuals and communities to prepare and recover. Govt won't be doing it, or the aid will be too little and spread too thin. People should practice listening to warnings (how it works, when it does apply to you and what it means) and storm advice- it's only going to become more important Early Warnings for All - UN
  7. Whilst this year our Western naming group are already at J, last year there were only and A and B used, for Antoni and Betty. Whereas a bit further south, the southwestern naming group reached P seeing a lot of storms in the 2022/23 season.
  8. Two options on LIVE tab from netweather website Current, so hourly observations (but they can take 20mins to update) Or Today- so highest/lowest since 00Z. THe list does include some mountain sites
  9. 9C for me too this morning. There are two choices of lists in the LIVE tab on front page of Netweather website. Current hour and Today- so highest windspeeds or highest gusts. Just be aware that they can take 20 mins to update after the hour /the observation time. (And there are a few mountain sites included)
  10. i'd imagine the top ten max gusts usually are, or coastal ones. It's a setting on the Netweather Radar Extra, there are a few of them, top 10 max temps, top 10 windspeeds etc
  11. Think they are the 10 highest gusts , in the hour. I should have added that on image
  12. I'm glad not to be out in this at the moment, wild sounding winds and lashing rain. Nice shadow showing on the cold front (top left) at mo
  13. Much of Britain is now in the mild southerly flow of the warm sector. Warm front rain. to the top left of the image we can see shadow line from the cold front and a change to clearer skies (with lively showers for later) (top 10 gusts in the hour shown) currently, most of UK and Ireland is under the huge shield of cloud from Storm Jocelyn. It's as the low centre passes the north of Scotland tonight when the strongest winds and gusts are forecast to hit
  14. Yet another storm, as Jocelyn hits on Tuesday night WWW.NETWEATHER.TV The rain from Storm Jocelyn will add to flooding concerns today as gales from the SW then W pickup this evening for the northwestern half of the UK. Scotland will see a wild night with further disruption
  15. The Met Office usually do their routine updates around this time in the morning
  16. The UKV gust charts for this evening and Weds am, to show the shift of focus of potentially impactful winds. To ferries, road and rail users (M6, A1). The ground is wet, some trees and structures could have been weakened in ISHA.
  17. Preparations and planning for the arrival of Storm Jocelyn. There has been disruption and cancellations all day in Scotland on the railways, not enough time to repair, check and secure everything before the next bout.
  18. Scotrail trains will have stopped again by 7pm on Tuesday and not run early on Wednesday
  19. There was so much news going on yesterday, it's been hard to catch up with it all today. So much disruption. Very glad the main part of the storm was overnight, at least many people had got home and retired for the evening.
  20. Maybe that is for the Regional discussion group rather than Storm Jocelyn 24 hours ahead? Also Met Office warnings are not based solely on numerical limits, especially in one location. They look at wider impacts. The process has flaws but it does need some understanding. There can be heavy rain outside of a Rain warning area, Snow the same. This was the matrix for Isha
  21. Storm Isha, this is Jocelyn for Tuesday night. I saw Glencoe mention that exact figure (not official) so ...
  22. IPMA in Portugal show the warnings in timeline style for regions which I think helps imagine a time period for severe weather arriving and clearing. We can have the same warning from Cornwall to Kent and the impacts will shift eastwards with time.
  23. Riding the storm - NATS Blog NATS.AERO It’s very rare for a storm to blanket the whole of the UK and Ireland, as Storm Isha did yesterday. Rarer still for it to deliver the strength of winds that it did. The challenge for the aviation industry is the difficulty for...
  24. But we can't tell where those thousands are located, loads in US seeing it on twitter doesn't count. No national TV broadcast had it in time for their late new and weather broadcasts at 10:30pm
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