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Jo Farrow

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Everything posted by Jo Farrow

  1. Jo Farrow
    It looks a possibility, UKV also showing a intense core in Moray Firth 03Z which doesn't look entirely due to being back over the sea
  2. Jo Farrow
    This may be a post more for model discussion rather than the reality of severe and stormy weather incoming to a good part of the UK tonight.
  3. Jo Farrow
    We'll see how the winds increase this evening Observations in the hour from 2pm
  4. Jo Farrow
    I think this is where the matrix doesn't quite work unless you have been keeping an eye on it. So maybe there are still medium likelihood of medium impacts but also am additional low likelihood of HIGH impacts added on. same in East Lothian, more energy out there in last half an hour. I've secured the outdoor stuff. The hens are not impressed and are lurking in a huff. Will await this evening and overnight
  5. Jo Farrow
    and that the MO warnings look at the likelihood of strong winds/heavy rain etc against impacts to come up with the chosen colour warning. MO "These impacts can include damage to property, travel delays and cancellations, loss of water supplies, power cuts and, in the most severe cases, bring a danger to life. We show this combination of impact and likelihood in a matrix" So Sunday night may not see as many impacts as say the same weather event on Monday morning, nor a core of severe gales hitting the M4 as Highland Scotland. But for individuals there is still the risk of dangerous conditions and incidents. A good mention there of the sodden ground too
  6. Jo Farrow
    Yes, can you include your location area in bio, ta
  7. Jo Farrow
    Met Office surface pressure and YR satellite https://www.met.no/en/weather-and-climate/satellite-images
  8. Jo Farrow
    Always. The Met Office will be keeping an eye on the warnings all day. Met eireann do warn using numerical limits, not so much impacts so a different way to the UK.
  9. Jo Farrow
  10. Jo Farrow
    The amber over Scotland has a low likelihood of HIGH impacts now
  11. Jo Farrow
    The same Medium impacts are part of the warnings from MO but within the Amber area, they are more likely. This is important
  12. Jo Farrow
    Naming of storms is a communication tool, to highlight a severe event. The MO warnings show the detail of areas/ likelihood and impacts. The winds last night caused power outages in local areas and it sounded lively outside. That the actual storm has yet to arrive has hopefully highlighted to people that maybe travelling home a bit early on Sunday would be a good idea or moving activities a few hours earlier might help today. To prepare outside stuff, NOT to put out the recycling tonight ready for Monday morning pickup (although I see someone in my street has done exactly that) Being a 'storm' it's not a medal of highest wind speeds, it's about potential impacts and letting people know to make preparations and, hopefully, informed decisions. Monday morning travel could be impacted, it's nice to to have a heads-up in good time. After the event, the stand-out impactful ones will have an easy label - like Desmond's rain, Arwen's winds and Babet's coastal onslaught.
  13. Jo Farrow
    Storm Isha announced as finale in a very windy, but milder, weekend WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Storm Isha will arrive later on Sunday. The weekend looks windy, wet in the west but milder A risk of flooding in the heavy rain and thaw but it's Sunday night that could be stormy.
  14. Jo Farrow
    Radar shows how close the precipitation came to southern England. Quite the event for France Germany Switzerland Meanwhile heavy snow in Arctic flow for northern mainland Scotland and the islands, with an Amber warning for 18th
  15. Jo Farrow
    Nick's update from yesterday A Sudden Stratospheric Warming took place this week, but will it impact our weather? WWW.NETWEATHER.TV A Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) took place on Wednesday, with a reversal of zonal winds at 10 hPa 60N, but it was a brief reversal and zonal winds look to return in the polar stratosphere, marking its recovery. So...
  16. Jo Farrow
    Nice image from 09:45 https://www.yr.no/en here our cold Arctic flow and the cloud cover from #Irene in far south. Freezing rain event for n.France Precip grazing south coast of England at mo.
  17. Jo Farrow
    Amber #Snow warning for northern Scotland including Orkney and Shetland. "Frequent heavy snow showers will continue to affect the Northern Isles and NW Scotland, disrupting travel across the region." MO Moderate likelihood & moderate impacts. Concerns for drifting snow.
  18. Jo Farrow
    freezing rain for northern France and Switzerland from Irene
  19. Jo Farrow
    UK Snow update: Tuesday night and Wednesday WWW.NETWEATHER.TV The cold Arctic flow continues to bring snow showers to Scotland. Very cold and frosty tonight in the north, thin cloud further south from snow impacting northern France.
  20. Jo Farrow
    WMO confirms that 2023 smashes global temperature record WMO.INT The annual average global temperature approached 1.5° Celsius above pre-industrial levels – symbolic because the Paris Agreement on climate change aims to limit the long-term temperature increase... and https://reliefweb.int/report/world/wmo-confirms-2023-smashes-global-temperature-record-enarruzh El Niño combines with climate change to fuel heat in latter half of 2023 2024 expected to be possibly even warmer Record heat accompanied by huge socioeconomic impacts
  21. Jo Farrow
    The small feature has arrived a bit further south today with the focus of the rain, sleet and snow over Northern Ireland and NW England this morning. Snow showers continue for NW Scotland
  22. Jo Farrow
    The overall theme is that the precipitation from Irene won't make it across The Channel, brushing southern Cornwall/Devon in the small hours. Arome edges the precip. slightly further north before it fades away southwards again. It's close
  23. Jo Farrow
    Meteo France 'Episode of notable freezing rain which could make driving conditions difficult, followed by a locally significant episode of snow.' 'On Wednesday, snowfall accumulations could reach 7 to 10 cm, locally 10 to 20 cm in the Upper Normandy/Picardy/Southern Nord-Pas-de-Calais area' Northern France has been very wet in recent months, there are flood warnings from the mix of rain/sleet/snow and freezing rain forecast from this low. Miserable conditions tonight and for Wednesday morning in the Channel Islands .
  24. Jo Farrow
    snow and ice warnings from Meteo FRance today and tomorrow (Weds)
  25. Jo Farrow
    The Atlantic low which might bring wintry weather to southern England on Wednesday (hitting the cold Arctic air already in place) has been named Irene Meteo France Plenty of yellow wind warnings for northern Spain with rain warnings in places, also 2 amber wind warnings Rain and wind warnings for Portugal. It will then affect France and other central European countries mid-week with disruptive snowfall being warned of already
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