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Everything posted by Jo Farrow
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It is worth looking at the matrix for the various warning areas too, they are an important source of info. We have Scotland, N.Irelalnd down to N.Wales. (Medium impacts are possible) South Wales, MIdlands up to Newcastle (very likely to see low impacts here) And the Amber for N & W Scotland - see Pauls' post above. What these 3 levels of impacts are, is on the met office website
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Any national Met service can name a storm. They have their own criteria, Met Eireann issue warnings in a different way to the UK Met Office (who use impact based matrix, not numerical limits). The UK , Ireland and Netherlands are in a group (Western naming group) and discuss who will be most affected by a potential storm and then that country tends to name it., Often an Orange (or Amber warning) is issued too but they are separate things. Sometimes a different group name a storm that might still affect the UK, often Meteo France in the SW Naming group. Storm name is a communication tool - Warnings look at specific location/timings and level of Likelihood against Impacts.
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Rain by day Tuesday = flooding Gales ramping up Tuesday evening and overnight, disruption possible Weds am N and NE Britain
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"Further north conditions just about warranted the Amber warning, but I’ve still seen very few (I don’t think there were any) official gusts over 75mph for lowland stations away from exposed coasts." MO Warnings are about impacts. Our Amber was very much correct, here in Scotland
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Chaos for the railway network this morning in Scotland which impacts routes south into England along east and west coast. No trains at all in Scotland until after the rush hour whilst the lines are checked in daylight, when it comes. Many incidents reported , trees, overhead wires, fallen wall, rogue shed
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Brizlee Wood 99mph gust overnight "Remote Radar Head Brizlee Wood, is an air defence radar station operated by the Royal Air Force located at Brizlee Wood, near Alnwick in Northumberland, England"
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There are quite a few official Flood warnings out from https://check-for-flooding.service.gov.uk/alerts-and-warnings and SEPA . Flood alerts in Wales
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Let's stay on thread with Isha, https://community.netweather.tv/topic/99794-possible-storm-jocelyn-tuesday/ for Tuesday low
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from Scotrail "A train has struck a tree at Crosshill on the Cathcart Circle. There are no injuries, however the tree is stuck underneath the train." and "A tree has fallen onto the railway near East Linton on the East Coast Main Line. Initial reports are that the overhead wires have been damaged. Our engineers are responding. More soon." Scotrail Trains finished at 19:00 and plenty of info for scottish railways about delays for Monday morning whilst tracks are checked
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from Scotrail "A train has struck a tree at Crosshill on the Cathcart Circle. There are no injuries, however the tree is stuck underneath the train." and "A tree has fallen onto the railway near East Linton on the East Coast Main Line. Initial reports are that the overhead wires have been damaged. Our engineers are responding. More soon." Scotrail
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Lights are flickering here SE Scotland
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For those of us in Scotland, it is beginning to howl and I'd imagine those who are in for the night, will be pleased. The amber warnings run 18z til 06Z but the northern one has moved from Medium likelihood of medium impacts to now include a low likelihood (within the marked area) of seeing HIGH impacts too. these are outlined on the Met Office website
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THe fine detail on the UKV doesn't suggest that and paints a different pciture to what you might see on the GFS. For England it will be the strong gusts along the Cold front which will be lively tonight
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The likelihood of the (already mentioned) HIGH impacts would have to move from Low through Medium to High, I wonder if they can be that certain of where & when? Amber is out, people who are going to listen should be heading home, it's Sunday evening/night. Different time of day, then yes there would be room to upgrade. Who knows
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