Essan
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3mm of rain so far in Evesham .....
MetO app taking the jaffa cakes by showing heavy snow! -
Cold rain in Evesham .... However the temp is dropping slightly
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Worth noting that the MetO app now shows snow for Evesham next Saturday as well - too early yet to read much into it though.
As a rule, is there are indications for snow down here in the Vale, then it's a certainty for higher ground (Cotswolds, Malverns and Birmingham area) - assuming precipitation occurs at all!-
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58 minutes ago, Gord said:
Oh yeah, could well be. Like you say, the devil is in the detail. But as an overall theme, it was never showing much to start with.
It’s a useful app for trying to gauge an overall picture on what’s going to happen. Over the past few days, it’s flittered between 10% and 50% chance for tomorrow. Never higher. I never take each individual update as gospel but I do find some accuracy when you look at the overall theme.
To be fair, it’s not the symbols it’s showing that interest me, it’s looking at the percentages that go with them and watching them adjust as we get closer.
That's exactly how all such apps should be used - not as a forecast, but as a forecasting tool: by watching for changes over a period of time
(I have had to explain that so many times on hillwalking groups after the unpteenth person has asked "what's the best weather app?")
They are, after all, just visual representations of latest model output!
Anyway, the MetO have just upgraded Evesham to 3 hours of snow tomorrow Albeit only a 50% chance of precipitation during any one hour period. But the fact it shows snow even down here is encouraging.-
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It may be slightly colder than average today, but we have more chance of it hitting 40c before sunset than we do have getting a snowflake down here this winter
Still, we've had as much as Zurich this winter, so in good company. -
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56 minutes ago, Paul said:
From a growing point of view, bamboo needs very little water and no manmade irrigation generally, it's also very fast growing. Cotton is extremely thirsty and soil degrading.
But yes, I believe bamboo needs sodium hydroxide to be turned into a material, so there is a flip side I guess.
Aye, there's no easy solution.
I sometimes worry that so much of my clothing is made from artificial fiber (mostly polyester and fleece). But what are the options? Cotton is also bad for the environment. And presumably, if eating lamb is bad, so too is farming sheep for wool?
Maybe we should just adopt nudity as the norm?-
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11 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:
jeez..winter only just finished here..we had snow on Friday..bearing in mind we have had snow every month since it started the first week of Sept..quickly starts checking jobs in Phoenix Arizona
Arizona had snow end of May
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/05/27/us/arizona-snow-at-grand-canyon-wxc-trnd/index.html -
2 hours ago, MattStoke said:
Such a poor spring/early summer. This is the 3rd time it’s rained continuously for over 24 hours. Grim.
Still I see people saying that the rain is needed and welcome. No it isn’t! How much damn rain do we need?!
Well Matt, down here we need another 100mm by the end of June to get up to our normal average.for half a year (~300mm)
And after a dry 2018, we could probably do with a bit more on top. So stop hogging it all and send some south-
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The biggest problem is that few people actually read the warnings. Instead, they pick up on what the media tell them (by definition, guarannteed to be inaccurate if not and out and out lie) or just assume - for example - that because they live in Birminghams and there's a warning for the Midlands, then there is a warning for their back garden (in fact, the warning applies only to the Peak District) ...... And even fewer understand them.
They could try just issuing warnings to authorities, rescue services etc and others who actually know what they mean. But then, as we see with the health warnings issued on behalf of the NHS when there's hot/cold weather, they still get picked up by the media/public and are entirely misunderstood .....
Until the Met Office are able to issue the back garden specific forecasts that the majority of people seem to think they are already issuing, they really are on a hiding to nothing.-
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I know in winter 81/82 I had to walk across the fields to get to the nearest village from whence we caught the bus to school each day, because the mile long lane to where we lived on the Essex coast was blacked by snowdrifts.
These days the school would have been closed for 2 months so we wouldn't have had to!
Only time snowdrifts have blocked me in. Mind, apart from last March (which, as I was in bed with 'flu, I have only vague recollection of actually happening) I haven't even seen a proper snowdrift since I left Suffolk in the early 1990s and moved to Glos and then Worcs. -
16 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:
For example this season I have recorded 8 days of snowfall with 4 days accumulating snow.
Stop boasting! Two and one here (leading to a 0.5cm cover). And this has been a good winter!
Edit: obviously I am not in Brum, and Brum does normally get a lot more snow than down here.-
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About 0.5cm in Evesham - just a wee covering to make it all look nice without causing any disruption. Exactly per local forecast
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Just now, Ian Ballinger said:
Well my weather station is predicting precipitation, and it's normally right
I had a guy on the local Facebook weather group been insisting for the past 2 days that its only going to be rain here because that's what his weather station was predicting!
That said, so far we have nothing at all in Evesham -
16 minutes ago, TomW said:
I have no idea why a amber warning was put up around Bristol, nothing falling out the sky!
Because of the risk of snow during the evening rush hour - all about impact.
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4 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:
Icon not to bad for South mids and central mids.
Up to 1.5cm for some
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2 minutes ago, Serendipity said:
Why are people talking about let downs before the event has happened?
Same way that the day before a cold spell or heatwave starts they start moaning about how quickly it will end!
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8 minutes ago, Vmistry said:
And we thought Thursday would be the main event compared to Tuesday
If I get one single snow flake tonight, then it will have been!
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1 minute ago, Weather of Mass Disruption said:
Another tragic let down. What a joke of a winter this is turning out to be! I try (really hard) not to get frustrated by such things but what gets my goat, is that you can guarantee if it was rain forecast it would have no problem reaching any of us!
This winter, if it was rain I still wouldn't guarantee it getting here! Been the driest January in my records with less than half the amount of any previous January.
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10 minutes ago, snowangel32 said:
Met app big downgrade just got into Yeovil and there is an Amber warning here. Hope it tracks further North and the Midlands gets some. But if there's an Amber warning here it means it's further South.
The reason for teh amber warning is timing more than anything - the evening rush hour should be over by the time any snow reaches the Midlands
Meanwhile, the not-a-forecast for Evesham at 20z has upgraded from light snow with a 60% probability of precipitation, to heavy snow and 80% -
25 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:
These warnings are confusing, Cardiff in the amber but when you go on the forecast for Cardiff there's no warning.
Cardiff is in the yellow warning area (as shown in the Cardiff forecast) - amber warning if for the higher ground of the Valleys, further inland and north of Cardiff (as well as for parts of SW England)
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29 minutes ago, MKN said:
It's still pathetic. Upto 10cms yellow warning. 10-30 amber. 30+ red would let people know that these warnings are worth paying attention to. If someone in the amber zone gets 3cms today next time the amber warning could be for 25cms and they would think we'll it wasn't bad at all last time so may ignore it.
It's not pathetic at all. Where and when snow falls is more often a much bigger factor than how much.. 3cm of snow in Bristol during the evening commute will cause a lot more disruption to travel than 30cm of snow in the countryside at midnight
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GFS 06z. for what it's worth, still looks good for Here-Worcs-Glos but not for anywhere much further north. However, I;d like to see Euro4 increase amounts before I start expecting more than a dusting in Evesham
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Only -5.1c in my garden but elsewhere in Evesham saw -6.1c and Pershore (Throckmorton) was -7.7c
Only expecting light snow overnight but should still be enough to leave a covering
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
in Regional
Posted
Could be worse - you could be under it and just seeing rain, as I am As usual, we miss out because we're too far north, south, east and west.