Snowy L
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Everything posted by Snowy L
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-0.7 after a low of -2. Mostly cloudy so hopefully the temperature stays below 1-2c today. Scotland snow warning taken down by met office. You would think it's now or never if they're going to put a snow warning up.
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Don't know why Manchester is not forecast snow from the BBC. My area of Liverpool is forecast an all snow event for about 20 hours except for just 1 hour where there is sleet. 99% of the time if conditions are right in Liverpool, conditions are cold enough for pretty much everywhere else in the region, particularly inland.
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Don't expect anything from that first front. The one with all the ppn is currently out in the Atlantic and should combine with the first front somewhere over North Wales/Irish Sea during this evening.
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Finally below zero here. Much of mainland Ireland away from the southwest is getting snow at the moment., which is encouraging. https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/81819-wales-weather-chat/?p=3131361
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Upgraded to 6 hours of snow and 4 hours of sleet here, not bad
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Ddaytime maximums one degree cooler tomorrow across most of N. England and the midlands. Not much but could make all the difference for many areas... Edit: Looks like the 2nd front catches up to the first one earlier (and therefore further west), over the Irish Sea, allowing cooler uppers to mix into the now-combined fronts.
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Looks about right. I expect Liverpool to miss out, but I think Met Office have got it very wrong not having a warning for inland areas.
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Met office have updated their warnings... and dropped the snow warning for Northern Ireland. So as of now, 30 hours before the event starts, Met Office thinks no-where in the UK will get snow. If at least 3 of Manchester, Leeds, York, Birmingham, Nottingham, Derby, Sheffield and Leicester don't get a period of snow with accumulation then I'll eat my hat.
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Depends, I think with an easterly QBO the downwelling is much quicker. Usually the first response takes 10-15 days.
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BBC regional and national forecast bottled it again. We're 2 days away for god's sake, inexcusable imo...
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That's the point of the yellow warnings though. Let the public be aware that there is potential for something severe but confidence is still low etc.
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A 30-50 mile shift west on 4 successive runs really isn't that much.
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Slight shift West on the GFS, heart of England and Wales colder during Tuesday on this run. Edit: Much of the midlands back in this if it verifies
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The models have been showing this for 1 and a half days now, don't know why the met/BBC were so slow to react.
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Ok thanks for explaining.
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That's how I see it too for Tuesday/Tuesday night too My problem isn't with talk of snow restricted to the North and inland areas and I support that forecast, my concern is the met office thinking no meaningful snow will hit England, Wales and Scotland.
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Do you really think that none of Scotland, England and Wales will see snow on Tuesday and Wednesday, because that is what the lack of met office warnings is suggesting. Personally I disagree with some suggesting snow for southeast England/midlands, but snow for Scotland and inland Northern England, North Midlands and North Wales is backed even by the GFS which has a much stronger warm sector.
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Excellent ECM for snow potential on Tuesday/Wednesday. Met Office continue to ignore...
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Pretty sure they haven't taken into account the 1mm of rain = 1cm of snow rule. There's no way they would cap the scale at 20cm. Bluearmy, Ian F himself said Scotland would get disruptive snowfall and mid-Wales northwards had a good shot of seeing some snow. I don't see how you can possibly put Northern ireland in a warning and not Scotland, which is what UKMO have done
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Snow accumulation by the end of Wednesday: Massive accumulations in central Scotland and decent accumulations in Northern England and North Wales. Why are the met office warnings completely ignoring this, when the first of the 2 snow events begins in 1 and a half days?
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Remarkable shift these last couple of days from the models, after they made the shift 2 days ago to almost end our chances of snow. ECM and GS both keep it going until t192, UKMO not quite as good but a small shift west and we would be good. Still no early warning for Tuesday's snow from met office?
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And with what looks like the last shower of the night, it's snowing and starting to settle. So that's 2 snow events this winter so far, not bad at all after last winter
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Got a covering of something here just don't know what it is.
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next batch of showers set to hit in 10-15 minutes. Hopefully these will be all snow.
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Very light snow here 1oC
