Snowy L
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Everything posted by Snowy L
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BBC regional and national forecast bottled it again. We're 2 days away for god's sake, inexcusable imo...
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That's the point of the yellow warnings though. Let the public be aware that there is potential for something severe but confidence is still low etc.
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A 30-50 mile shift west on 4 successive runs really isn't that much.
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Slight shift West on the GFS, heart of England and Wales colder during Tuesday on this run. Edit: Much of the midlands back in this if it verifies
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The models have been showing this for 1 and a half days now, don't know why the met/BBC were so slow to react.
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Ok thanks for explaining.
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That's how I see it too for Tuesday/Tuesday night too My problem isn't with talk of snow restricted to the North and inland areas and I support that forecast, my concern is the met office thinking no meaningful snow will hit England, Wales and Scotland.
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Do you really think that none of Scotland, England and Wales will see snow on Tuesday and Wednesday, because that is what the lack of met office warnings is suggesting. Personally I disagree with some suggesting snow for southeast England/midlands, but snow for Scotland and inland Northern England, North Midlands and North Wales is backed even by the GFS which has a much stronger warm sector.
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Excellent ECM for snow potential on Tuesday/Wednesday. Met Office continue to ignore...
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Pretty sure they haven't taken into account the 1mm of rain = 1cm of snow rule. There's no way they would cap the scale at 20cm. Bluearmy, Ian F himself said Scotland would get disruptive snowfall and mid-Wales northwards had a good shot of seeing some snow. I don't see how you can possibly put Northern ireland in a warning and not Scotland, which is what UKMO have done
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Snow accumulation by the end of Wednesday: Massive accumulations in central Scotland and decent accumulations in Northern England and North Wales. Why are the met office warnings completely ignoring this, when the first of the 2 snow events begins in 1 and a half days?
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Remarkable shift these last couple of days from the models, after they made the shift 2 days ago to almost end our chances of snow. ECM and GS both keep it going until t192, UKMO not quite as good but a small shift west and we would be good. Still no early warning for Tuesday's snow from met office?
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And with what looks like the last shower of the night, it's snowing and starting to settle. So that's 2 snow events this winter so far, not bad at all after last winter
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Got a covering of something here just don't know what it is.
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next batch of showers set to hit in 10-15 minutes. Hopefully these will be all snow.
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Very light snow here 1oC
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Warm sector will get stronger the further south you go, so surface temps, 850s and dew points get more unfavourable the further south you go. These are negated a bit further east, but then this positive is cancelled out by the fact the ppn begins to fragment as it enters the southeast. Wednesday however there is some potential for snow in the southeast, but too far out to say at the moment.
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Thundersleet here
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4 degrees here, unless it gets a lot colder in the next hour so I don't see how it's going to snow.
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Sleet shower here
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Should very gradually veer more to the Northwest through the night. Hoping this next one in the Irish Sea will do it, it's the first one to get as far South as the North Wales coast so far.
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Still dry here, been a mile too far south for the last 4 hours.
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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1201.gif That is so close to an undercut, still think the Azores will ruin any potential undercut though, it's just too eager to push towards the UK on every model.
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This, I'd agree with those saying no snow on low ground... if we didn't have that surface cold pool already in place. It's going to get very very cold during Sunday night. I'd still say anywhere North of m4 is good for snow, though may be transient for a while in West Midlands and Wales as they see the warmest part of the warm sector.
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I'm 1 mile too far south at the moment, I can see the edge of the shower clouds. This is horrible.
