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Snowy L

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Everything posted by Snowy L

  1. Snowy L
    This, I'd agree with those saying no snow on low ground... if we didn't have that surface cold pool already in place. It's going to get very very cold during Sunday night. I'd still say anywhere North of m4 is good for snow, though may be transient for a while in West Midlands and Wales as they see the warmest part of the warm sector.
  2. Snowy L
    I'm 1 mile too far south at the moment, I can see the edge of the shower clouds. This is horrible.
  3. Snowy L
    Looking good with high pressure further West on this run, need that next low in the North Atlantic to undercut though. On current charts it's oriented SW to NE, we want SE to NW or at least S to N. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1141.gif
  4. Snowy L
    Looks like we have snow in the Northeast to watch out for during Monday before the main weather front pushes in from the west Edit; Much smaller warm sector on this run, could see an all snow event for many Northern areas.
  5. Snowy L
    I remember getting a maximum temperature at 1pm of -11oC in 2010, which is crazy for a coastal town. For crazy snowfall we only need to go back to January, March and April of 2013.
  6. Snowy L
    Gone cloudy but no precipitation. Why does this only happen when snow is a possibility lol
  7. Snowy L
    The already cold surface temps should help keep the precipitation as snow in inland areas at least I should think?
  8. Snowy L
    They were more reliable a few years ago. When they predicted cold spells a few years ago they were 50/50 success rates. The last 2 years they have a 0% success rate for cold spells.
  9. Snowy L
    We really have had a horrible 2 winters. And if that's not bad enough, the models are absolutely tragic when it comes to predicting a cold spell.
  10. Snowy L
    Snow/hail has started here. Unless there's a strong warm sector associated with the front I don't see why even coastal areas can't see a wintry mix. Diane seemed adamant that it would be rain on coastal areas.
  11. Snowy L
    Diane is a mild lover, probably in denial. This is the person that a few days ago was unhappy at the prospect of us getting temperatures in the double figures and said it would be nice if it was warmer. Every time there is even a chance of cold she gets upset and she didn't look happy tonight. I wish we had a more enthusiastic weather presenter.
  12. Snowy L
    ECM looking good for a snow event I think. I can't tell because the charts are 24 hours apart and there is no precipitation chart, but it looks like a shortwave on the leading edge of the atlantic low moves across the UK from NW to SE. The 850s are good for most places so could potentially be a good snow event? http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm961.gif I'm guessing the precip chart for this would show precipitation on the east coast?
  13. Snowy L
    Gone back to the 2 sliders it was showing yesterday. Plus a much betetr looking scandi hifh UKMO and GFS vs ECM now
  14. Snowy L
    Reminds me of the begining of the January 2013 cold spell, we got the slider that time http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/archive/2013/avn/Rtavn00120130114.png I remember GFS was having none of it until the last 2 days too...
  15. Snowy L
    Another run, another shift to the east as early as 24 hours out. Edit: Though hopefully we're seeing a split in the Greenland and Atlantic high, which may give a route for the Atlantic low to slde down rather than just push the high pressure East. http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn421.gif
  16. Snowy L
    More hopeful for tonight if precipitation is turning to snow this early. I really need to stop trusting the BBC. These are the same people who forecast 4oC and heavy rain on boxing day and instead I got 0oC and heavy snow with 2 inches of accumulated snow.
  17. Snowy L
    If it's snow in Liverpool it will definitely be snow where you are
  18. Snowy L
    Showers are starting to turn to snow now. xc weather says it's 5c but I'm really doubting that.
  19. Snowy L
    We need an upgrade on the 12z otherwise we can forget about a widespread snow event on Tuesday. And for your own health don't look at the GFS perturbations. I got as far as number 2, where they were all showing zonal weather in 4 days time, before I couldn't view any more. UKMO is the only one showing anything decent in terms of snow potential on Tuesday. We need that Azores high to collapse like it did on UKMO.
  20. Snowy L
    At the moment it is looking increasingly likely. Still, plenty of potential snow events in the next 7 days which is far better than last year.
  21. Snowy L
    At the moment, where would you say is in the best position for snow, West Midlands?
  22. Snowy L
    Dew points and surface temps look very marginal for South of the M4, particularly true the further West you go. However towards the Southeast conditions may be ok for snow.
  23. Snowy L
    Not too much change on the GFS so far. Low pressure slightly weaker and the warm sector very slightly further south at t96. Looks like we may be sacrificing the heavier ppn for a greater chance of the ppn being snow, which I'm happy with.
  24. Snowy L
    Some areas could see many hours of snow if Tuesday's event comes off. The front is hitting us in such a way that some areas could easily see 10-15 hours of precipitation.
  25. Snowy L
    I don't think anyone is expecting heights in that area in the next 2-3 weeks at least. The AO and NAO are expected to surge into high positives in the next few days, most likely the final precusor before an SSW in mid Jan. I think full on zonal will be the way for the next 15 days at least.
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