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Snowy L

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Everything posted by Snowy L

  1. Snowy L
    22c here in Nottingham. Anyone else wondering how we will make up 8c in just 4-5 hours?
  2. Snowy L
    Having a go at people because they prefer warm weather isn't mature either, in fact it's downright obnoxious. Complain about the weather all you want, but I don't understand some who complain about the people enjoying warm weather?
  3. Snowy L
    33+ would be too hot. Too cold...depends if it's snowing or not. Can't stand anything lower than 10c if it's not snowing. If it is snowing though I forget all about the temperature.
  4. Snowy L
    I can understand complaining when it's in the 30's. It can be too much for many people who are used to temperatures in the high teens. Though for some reason we never hear these complaints when people are on holiday in spain, greece etc where temperatures are regularly in the mid thirties.
  5. Snowy L
    We are so pampered in this country by the weather. We live in our own little bubble where 10-15c is the average. Can't believe people are moaning that 20c is too much.
  6. Snowy L
    Not much otherwise I would have mentioned it...
  7. Snowy L
    -QBO, strong El Nino, weakening sun... Hopefully a textbook case of mild and unsettled start to winter followed by midwinter SSW and cold 2nd half of winter.
  8. Snowy L
    The add 2c and take off 2c rule during warm and cold events respectively is usually correct. 22c today after a forecast of 20c.
  9. Snowy L
    Favorite is Winter, closely followed by Summer. Can't stand Spring or Autumn unless they have extremes in terms of temperature. Love the continental climate, hot summers, cold winters and Spring/Autumn barely existing.
  10. Snowy L
    It's been happening for a while now, they underestimate both cold and warm events. They're scared to get off the fence.
  11. Snowy L
    Don't understand the love for cool and wet, we get that pretty much all year anyway. Ideally for me it would be sunny and warm (around 20-27oC) with a few short spells of hotter weather followed by thunderstorms.
  12. Snowy L
    You mean like one of the coldest Springs we've ever had last year?
  13. Snowy L
    Looks like that small warming has finally had an effect lower down. PV lobe over Greenland finally disappears. Maybe a chance for a block from the west or more importantly some drier weather?
  14. Snowy L
    Well it wouldn't be the GFS if it didn't cruelly give us some hope in FI. Going for a warming very late in the run resulting in a near clean split http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-strat.php?run=2014020612&var=HGT&lev=10mb&hour=372 Was hoping it would be a result of wave-2 breaking and that the ECM would show this, but it's not really showing a significant increase on its 10 day forecast. Something to keep an eye on at least. This is all very late in the day though.
  15. Snowy L
    Uppsala in Sweden for me. Small city, close to the capital, warm summers and cold winters http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uppsala#Climate
  16. Snowy L
    FI 10hpa has been completely unreliable this winter, never mind 100hpa or the troposphere. Not believing anything until it's on the right side of t192.
  17. Snowy L
    With such a big warming forecast though, surely it's too early jumping to conclusions on how the tropospheric or even the stratospheric geopotential heights will shape up after the warming in 10-14 days time?
  18. Snowy L
    Let's hope FI unreliability works in our favour for once At least the warming is getting into the high res and ECM supports it too.
  19. Snowy L
    Eurasian snow cover rate was awful for October, largely because of the already high snow cover at the start of the month.
  20. Snowy L
    Here's January's from the MetOffice http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html December: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean2013.html 1.7c and 2.1c above average. That's as far from the norm as a 1 month constant cold spell is.
  21. Snowy L
    This winter is far from the norm, as evidenced by 2 much warmer than average months.
  22. Snowy L
    Haha this is ridiculous. Best not to believe anything until it gets into the high res output.
  23. Snowy L
    Any idea what's been causing the awful accuracy in the GFS temperature charts? The SSW last year was modeled weeks ago and was pretty much spot on ever since the warming was picked up at 384. GFS underestimating the strength of the vortex?
  24. Snowy L
    Don't be surprised to see the area in the North Atlantic suddenly free up in 300+ FI of the GFS in the next few days though, similar to how last years tropospheric models responded to last years SSW. Too early to get excited but if we get a good downwelling the positioning of the lobes looks brilliant for a Greenland high. That Baffin Bay lobe that has been troubling us all winter is being pushed way west into USA/Canada and more exciting the Siberian lobe is pushed ominously close to Scandi/UK. There's a good downwelling already in this 18z run with much lighter zonal winds at 100mb by the end of the run http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-strat.php?run=2014012618&var=HGT&lev=100mb&hour=384
  25. Snowy L
    Upgrade! Clear split as early as t250-300 on this run http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-strat.php?run=2014012618&var=HGT&lev=10mb&hour=276
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