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Posts posted by Weather26
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I think we may get some unexpected storm action at some point tomorrow or Tuesday that hasn't been picked up on.
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My part of Sheffield has had hazy Sunshine and off and we've got to a maximum of 29.0C but will probably be more hotter tomorrow/Tuesday.
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Imagine if all of this turns out to be a bust after all! probably not but you never know.
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7 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
BBC Weather - Home
WWW.BBC.CO.UKLatest weather conditions and forecasts for the UK and the world. Includes up to 14-days of hourly forecast information, warnings, maps, and the latest editorial analysis and videos from the BBC Weather Centre.The end is in sight
Yep It seems The part for Sheffield has the Thunderstorms starting at about 9:00pm on Tuesday and running through all day on Wednesday and has been quite adamant about this for the last day or so.
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26 minutes ago, lassie23 said:
Monday night temperatures look troubling in London.
It's not Just London where the temperatures look troubling on Monday night-i'm suprised anyone will be able to sleep on those sort of temperatures.
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18 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:
The British Horse racing Authority has announced that Monday's meetings at Beverley and Windsor and Tuesday meetings at Chelmsford City, Southwell and Wolverhampton have been abandoned due to extreme heat.
I wouldn't be surprised if more outdoor events for Monday & Tuesday are called off.
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3 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:
simple common sense..dont understand why people need govt agencies to tell them how to live their lives..you can think for yourselves surely?
Now this completely misses the point of @Jo Farrow's post!
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4 minutes ago, Snowy L said:
Temperatures peaking at 38C at 1pm before rapidly falling away or temperatures peaking at 40C at 3pm before rapidly falling away is hardly going to make a huge difference. The former, plus the unbearable Monday night mimimum is pretty much guaranteed now, we may as well go all in.
Then clearly this country doesn't get the definition of "national emergency" which should surely mean everything (barring essential services) coming to a halt when it reaches a certain or at the very least working from home should be allowed.
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Seriously, why am i seeing twitter comments from some celebrating 40C when this is a national emergency-that should be a stay at home order even if it is only for 2 days next-infrastructure won't be able to cope.
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Dear god, surely there is no way on earth anywhere is going to be able to function on Monday and Tuesday in this heat-This is Grim.
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3 minutes ago, CreweCold said:
Yep, roll on autumn now.
And roll on an autumn similar to 1976-a wet one!
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1 minute ago, tight isobar said:
I’d say that’s the very least.. I’d expect temperatures to stray bk into the hot territory again from around nxt Friday onwards..@least mid England/ Wales’s down!!!! The Azores has serious eyes for the uk this season.
Well it can turn round and go away again very quickly-no thank you to round 3!
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2 minutes ago, Radiating Dendrite said:
The irony! I'd give anything for a decent -2c dew point in winter!
How on earth does it come up with freezing dew points in the middle of a heatwave?!
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Yep-Tuesday and Wednesday could be an absolute cannon for thunderstorms-and the temps go down by about 12-13C or so on Wednesday-Think we can nail on that Tuesday defitely appears to be the end of the heatwave, the question is when?
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3 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
I stopped checking every run a couple of days ago, and in fact have been struck by how consistently this plume has been predicted by the models from some way out. Yes, the exact details have changed and different ideas have prevailed but they have been variations on a well predicted theme.
Now it is well in range, will the record go? I think it is a slam dunk! Probably will be beaten by some margin. Just compare the 850 temperatures predicted by this morning’s UKMO run for both Monday and Tuesday, with what was on offer the day the record was set:
Much more of the country in play this time, and also, from memory we are on the back of a much drier spell than 2019 which should also help. Plenty of opportunity for local variability to give higher peaks than the global models are able to resolve - local variability is a double edged sword, though, since there does have to be a Met Office station there! It will be interesting to watch the higher res models as we get closer.
And beyond Tuesday? I think extreme weather breeds extreme weather - there are positives feedback elements that can come into play to reinforce patterns in these situations - SSTs, baked ground etc. And now La Niña is over, that’s one less reason to bet on an unsettled August. Tomorrow is St Swithin’s day, too. So, once the plume is done, I think a largely dry and warm second half of summer will unfold.
Famous last words on the last bit since it normally turns unsettled the moment we hit the schools breaking up.
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Just now, Summer Sun said:
Kit Malthouse is to chair a meeting of the government's Cobra civil contingencies committee on the heatwave
That's the 2nd time that Cobra's been activated this week since there was a meeting on Monday as well.
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Well it looks like the breakdown maybe an extended event for some starting Monday and continuing into Tuesday.
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1 hour ago, Sunny76 said:
1983 and 84 were hot and had many weeks of 25c plus days, and we just got on with it.
1989 and 90 were also hot summers, along with 1994, which produced a hot July, and then we had 1995, which lasted for about 8-9 weeks with constant sunshine.
Heatwave conditions are nothing new.
Except this heatwave is different beast altogether and could cost many more lives than the one in August 2020-Getting on with it won't be an option once the red warning is issued.
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As i said earlier in another thread, it does look Tuesday PM onwards is when the breakdown happens, rain or no rain.
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34 minutes ago, Bristle Si said:
Most private and independent schools in our area finished on Friday just gone i think. The State schools finish next Tuesday 19th, in most cases, in local authorities near here - a couple of inservice days means Tuesday finish, although some go on to Thurs 21st.
And some to Fri 22nd (althrough some may have training days in the last few days of term) but yes definitely within the next week, the schools in England will be finishing til September.
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Either way it is beginning to look that Tuesday PM onwards appears to be the end of the heatwave rain or no rain (famous last words and the whole thing gets pushed to Wednesday!)
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At this rate, the amber warning will end being downgraded to take out Sunday since that appears to have dialled down a bit this morning.
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19 minutes ago, The PIT said:
I don't think it will be a sigh of relief. Tuesday could see 40C being reached. This could do a huge failure in modelling like the failed beast from the beast a few years ago.
I was talking if it had happened a week later with the schools shut but yes 40C should be the trigger for Level 4 surely?
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