crazysnowcatz4

Think there is quite some disagreement then between GFS and Met Office as the GFS has an easterly flow from late Tuesday, maybe the snow has to hang on during a slight thaw on Monday and then we could get a reload or top up

Looking at the charts again , my main concern is the little 12 hour slot from Monday 6 - 18.00 when the sleety mix is forecast, thats when it could all go wrong or perhaps very right. .. Then the reload is quite amazing. A question to those in the know about the chartsm, do they always show a sleety mix on the trailing or leading edge of the snow bands, or is this a result of this mild / cold battle ground.. Obviously I understand that until the mild air cools it could give rain and once the warm air wins it could give rain, it's just that the precip type chart just seems to default to that. I dare not ask this in the technical or I might get flamed melting the 0.5cm of snow outside my back door.

About 0.5 cm of snow in Canterbury

Well after last nights Stour Streamer or Thanet Diversion as some called which gave a smattering from ramsgate, canterbury and Ashford I wonder what will " brew up" tonight if anything. It snizzled from about 9 - 2.. so who knows..

Canterbury has had a recent light dusting ,couple more blobs heading this way. Presume there is more thanet way

Temperature variations are mad atm,. dropped from 6.5 to 3.2C then just as rapidly rose to 6.0C. Felt bitterly cold when I was out getting the Sunday lunch , especially sitting waiting in a shop that insisted on keeping the door open.

After rising to 6C temperature has dropped 1.5 C in less than an hour,,.. Cold about to blast in ?

Mmm well looking at the more recent charts, Monday midday looks like a possibility of a bit of light white stuff in my location in the far east of Kent. In fact it could occur any time of the day , it just won't add up to anything significant. Saturday / Sunday next week then seems to be the best chance of a more sustained snowy session. However the thick white stuff isn't far away to the east or conversely to the west..

Humph now 5.7C

Temperature here is actually rising was 2.0C about an hour ago is more like 4.0C and rising fast atm

Well things are a bit exciting aren't they. Some advice I took long ago which is a bit obvious to some is to look at both the snow risk and precipitation charts. While I think there is quite a high risk of snow for the SE the problem is that the amount is for the next few days likely to be little more than an icing sugar covering at best. Monday midday to Tuesday evening I wouldn't be surprise to see a bit of snow but no snowball sized amounts as we are stuck between the atlantic battle ground to the west and the dry air which is coming largely from the continent. However Friday and Saturday things could well get more tasty as the wind swings North Easterly, the air will be damper and the land so much more chilly brrr, perfect for a SE snow battering in my opinion. Having said this , we have been caught out before by convection events. As a wise sage once said on this forum the best way of telling if it is going to snow is to look out the window, or better yet use the radar, or webcams from around the uk or europe.

Just started snowing in Canterbury, 2nd snow of the season, wet mix, not sticking but temperature just dropped like a stone.

Light snow in canterbury no chance of it laying

In Canterbury we have about 4 or 5 flakes falling per minute...

Don't think it will last long in Maidstone 30 mins max for now..

Seems the first band has split in two. The most peppy but is in south essex , at less strong part heading over southern kent with North kent looking like it will miss out

Looking at the radar there seem to be 3 bands of ppt ,one is going east ish, centre over london, looks to be doing about 20 mph. Not very long of wide but seems intense. Could affect anywhere in London , South Essex ,Kent but only briefly. There are two more banks behind that , approaching at aout 80 and 160 miles respectively. Lets wait and see.

Can confirm in Canterbury ,really light snow grains falling from a virtually cloudless sky with bright sunshine ,wierd

Got Country file on as the 6.00 news forecast went out a whole 24hrs wow !.

Just to make a final point on alledged SE bias. One has to remember that the Southeast is much the most heavily populated area of the country, if we add London + SE we have 26% of the entire population , so obviously there will be more posts from these areas, and people will tend towards a bias towards their own area. I suppose one could also suggest that if one looks at the risk factor calculation a snow event say thay may have a 25% chance of disrupting 16 million people (0.25 x 16mill =4million ) is likely to have more impact than one with 75% chance of effecting 2.5million ( 0.75 x 2.5million = 1.625 million ) people. No less important for the individuals concerned of course. Snow in Canterbury almost gone now from ground ,still small patches on lawn.

Can confirm now snowing in low altitude Canterbury as well

Just out and about re locating some rubbish, had sleet , then hail now back to snow, terrific burst then nothing, temperature drop to 0.9C ..

Well the temperature increase seems to be over, amount of snow increased rapidly during last 30 minutes, temperature dropped from 1.8C max to 0.6 degress and is still falling

Canterbury light to moderate snow all morning , still snowing now , clouds look a lot higher now and it's getting a bit brighter. Temperature has risen noticably to a balmy 1.7 C.

A good 5cm extra in Canterbury on top of what we had, now stopped snowing but we seem to be the target for the showers on the radar