William Grimsley
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Posts posted by William Grimsley
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3 minutes ago, Supacell said:
I would not want to rule out something anywhere today but the risk increases the further east you go. This being said I would say the risk around the SW is low at best I am afraid.
Thought so, there's a few showers around now but none of them look good whatsoever.
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@Supacell, do you think everywhere has a risk as down here it doesn't look particularly convective...
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Heavy showers developing here.
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@AIRMET, interesting, just shows how in this area most activity was quite close by to here!
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On 6/29/2016 at 20:33, THE MISSFITS said:
Hi all,
I live in Marlow and thought I would share this short video with you, sped up it shows convergence over Marlow, Buckinghamshire. However I am most disappointed that only a few very distant rumbles of thunder had our names on them this year...
Comments are most welcome!
Nice video, was only up there last month!
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48 minutes ago, Polar Maritime said:
Some very heavy rain on its way here.
WOW, nice catch! What was it like?
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Hi all,
Just got an email explaining the changes to the payments made for Netweather Extra, however I accidentally unsubscribed from that emailing list, please can I be put back on?
Thank you!
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51 minutes ago, Greeny said:
You never know something may crop up as we head into July. Keep an eye on Friday, showing some signs of a convective day more the north Scotland and Ireland but its 3 days out and it could change. The low may end up being further south when it arrives you never know.
Edit: the jetstream a direct hit currently being forecast producing strong DLS.
Interesting, didn't quite play out as you thought today, no convection whatsoever round here!
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Wind turning towards the west now, expecting wind gusts to reach close to if not gale force by the end of the evening.
Thunderstorms in SW Wales...
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4 minutes ago, Mapantz said:
Duff data then.
Xcweather's wind history for that buoy shows 37mph at 1pm, which is more like it.I doubt it, seems reasonable out to sea.
Sun breaking through now, UKWW forecast still going for the risk of funnel clouds and low risk of lightning later on this afternoon, not much time left though.
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Yes, not currently, but there was a result of nearly 70 mph. @Evening thunder, shall back me up!
It was Buoy 62023.
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Just now, Mapantz said:
Not sure where you are getting 70mph from, highest gusts are in the cairngorms at 65mph. At lower levels, top gust is 42mph.
Erm? If you look at XC Weather you'll see a report earlier showing wind gusts of nearly 70 mph in the Irish Sea.
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Quite local to here and occured in a very similar setup to today: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Thunderstorm
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Very windy here, winder than expected, trees looked like they were going over earlier on!
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Nice hook to the low as it moves towards Cornwall (looks like a developing sting jet but isn't). Will be interesting to see if anything kicks off in that region soon.
@Greeny, am I right in saying that highest risk of anything interesting today is funnel clouds and the odd tornado and to a lesser extent lightning?
Wind gusts nearly touching 70 mph in the Irish Sea?!
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Nothing really much happening here except there was some huge drops on the way back from Exeter about 10 minutes ago.
All of a sudden dark to the west, maybe those huge drops are about to slam down?!
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I think your reply is a bit screwed up. PWAT values itself don't effect lightning amounts, but higher PWAT values can leave you saying "Why isn't this cell electrifying?!"
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2 hours ago, Ben Sainsbury said:
But does that mean in this situation 60kts of DLS and 350m^2s^2 of SRH have no affect then in the SW?
Because from what I know Strong DLS and Small CAPE can still produce Strong Storms? I do understand with high PWAT, lightning is less likely?
Just trying to learn too!
PWAT doesn't have much effect on lightning, except higher PWAT values can mean that showers have to be incredibly intense (rainfall rates of 200 mm/hr +) in order for them to contain lightning whereas lower PWAT values mean that lightning may be able to arise at much lower rainfall rates.
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Yes, nothing severe but the possibility is there for some hail and/or thunder and lightning in some of the showers.
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7 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:
Possibly, but very unlikely to happen
The squall line? Yeah, again a very low chance of that, but there's a chance, looks quite vicious.
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Sounds promising, to me I reckon it'll be something like a very blustery cold front with heavy rain (potential squall line but most likely not) then a brief clearence before heavy downpours with thunder, lightning and hail move through.
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2 minutes ago, Ben Sainsbury said:
Definitely a very complex setup tomorrow in my eyes, got my eye over far SW late tomorrow, for some embedded organised storms. Interesting...
Hopefully the mid level energy will help keep them moving this way, but by no means am I praying for anything. LOL.
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Slightly off topic, but is the app supposed to crash if there's no internet connection?
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Just been looking at the BBC Weather graphics, to me it doesn't show any sort of area of heavy showers/thunderstorms moving in behind, maybe the convection will be associated with the front? Potentially embedded cells?
July 2016 C.E.T. Forecasts
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Going for 17.0°C here.