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William Grimsley

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    Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Wivenswold said:

    I like your youthful exuberance but it's that type of comment that leads to disappointment. There won't "definitely" be thunderstorms over the SE, there's a risk. 

    The UK is not an ideal location for storms but they do occur from time to time. But every time a risk is forecast we then have days of pointless complaining that people didn't see lightning and that the weather here is disappointing. It's not, it's just UK weather doing what it does. 

    Yes, I know that, but I highly doubt there won't be any thunderstorms tonight over SE England.

    Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted · Edited by William Grimsley

    Oh, Azazel, unfortunately I don't agree with your statement, there is no such thing as "We've seen this so many times in recent summers". It doesn't matter what Summer we're in, it's just that recently parameters have not been good enough to sustain MCS development over the UK, nothing to do with the year, it's to do with that. I have good confidence that at least thunderstorms with a certain degree of MCS development will move across Kent this evening, there's already thunderstorms in France so will be quite interesting to see what happens later.

    Convective Storm/Discussion thread - 11/06/16 onwards

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    5 hours ago, Mesoscale said:

    Have you guys forgotten we live in the UK? Somebody asked earlier why people were being so pessimistic and the answer... Look at how many times we get great forecasts like this and they don't verify. My personal forecast (not scientific) is, a large band of rain moves over the SE with occasional lightning but most if not all storms staying in northern France and Belgium. I would love to be wrong but any good activity will not be wide spread as suggested. This is my personal opinion.

    I have to agree with W09, here. Where have you got this from? Just looks like some mashed up rubbish to me.

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