danthetan

It won't look pretty as you can see pressure rising above and forcing the trough SE next frames should deliver a northerly

Very cold here tonight - 4.6 at 8pm

2 minutes ago, swales said: Weather is annoying  -5 or less uppers. Less than 528dam Air temp low enough Yet rain.... Very slightly on the wrong side of marginal it sounds like. Agh well... It's a finely balanced thing Pocket of air wrong side of freezing above its been cold at the surface here for 3 days down to -6 but the air above isn't cold enough. Need heavier precipitation to bring the boundary level down.

Current temp -0.6 and raining but showing snow on netweather radar???????

Moderate snow falling in pembrokeshire

I think the HLB would be a tough ask moving forward but if we can get the trough to anchor over Scandinavia and drop into Europe we could get a cold pool going on the continant also any energy moving over the top of the high to the west would have more chance of pulling cold air in our direction as it dropped into Europe.

This is what the UKMO-GM model was showing on the 00z

One of the very few times the SW portion of the uk get plastered due to the ebb and flow of cold air undercutting and moisture colliding.

I would love to see the Dewpoints and surface temperature's but that looks like a very snowy run from the ECM. Enough moisture to produce precipitation and cold enough air to undercut. Scandinavia being so cold is a big help with this pattern.

just seen this photo on Facebook of the Preseli's , rather than the snow whats interesting is the way the gale force winds have blown grass into the wire fence and woven it.

we've had hail/sleet showers here on and off all day. That more organised and heavy precipitation might see something more wintery, certainly the hills up the road.

looking at the latest radar I see scotland has had its first widespread snowfall

was just looking at that, wonder what the dew points would be in that setup?

Yes my prediction is around 10th September looking at current weather predictions with the light fading fast and generally 2MT staying below freezing above 80N and conditions leaning towards freeze thaw. Yeah totally agree the Arctic ice free brigade do reside on there but its good for data. I think the lack of sea ice on our side of the globe means Northerly's often don't pack a punch, so more ice the better for us.

Artic sea ice seems to be doing a bit better than previous years. What are your thoughts MIA? Early and quick re-freeze would be good. Linked a good forum for artic sea ice. Arctic Sea Ice : Forum FORUM.ARCTIC-SEA-ICE.NET The global forum to discuss arctic sea ice and global warming

That is simply a variation on the theme, that low pressure will cross the country, possible few days high pressure before it does.

Just had a snow shower come through really dry and left a dusting. More shower's look to be gathering in the Irish sea

On the road between dollgellau and bala this morning all mountains white to. Snapchat-77604681.mp4

Weather warnings out for West Wales.

I would agree, still the fax charts show a conversion line. dangler in full swing.

Soft hail I would imagine, accumating where the conversion line sets up. Anythings possible

Monday and Tuesday

Latest fax charts have the dangler setting up for a few days.

Even with the slight shift east, the latest fax has the pembs dangler setting up camp for a few days. Will interesting to see what falls if it gets going.