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danthetan

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Everything posted by danthetan

  1. 4am perfect timing no solar Input etc. yeah you lot in S.wales will do well at height and being further inland. Not expecting much at low levels here in Pembrokeshire apart from the hills up the road about 500M. after the low clears through most of next week we won't struggle for precipitation here just cold enough air to produce snow, pembs dangler looks like setting up shop.
  2. Best Ive seen in a long time. Yeah normally we get these synoptics late march/early april when the SPV itsn't running the show. Think this cold spell may have some legs, obviously with milder interludes. we shall see.
  3. It really is looking like rinse and repeat, can't remember charts like this since late 2000's.
  4. My sweet spot is 200M + in wales south/North pennines bit of sleet for the rest being realistic.
  5. you can't deny that looks pretty accurate with most of wales, NW England and scotland being at elevation. south east not so sure don't know the topography.
  6. If thats a Mean its very realistic it ties in with the Met office 10 day trend a ridge to the NW of Ireland, trough fading away the east.
  7. It could be a holding pattern before more amplification thats my guess.
  8. Met Office see the High pressure closer to the uk cutting off any northerly feed into the new year.
  9. There is a table that was kicking about on the forum years back which illustrated this perfectly. Something to do with the density of air as it cools.
  10. Just travelled home from snowdonia to haverfordwest clear all the way through Wales until I got to the presli Hills snow level to about 150M very slushy but on the road that goes over near the top 400M temp 0c and dry covering of 2inchs
  11. Now thats a snow maker *if the right side of margins. Don't think so this time for low level the mountains could get a dusting which isn't unusual for winter.
  12. Im travelling home from work from snowdonia to haverfordwest hills and mountains all the way should be fun.
  13. From a cold perspective, I think the best we can hope for is for the trough to sink further east keeping the UK in a colder northerly flow and the atlantic ridge building in over the top of the trough and linking with the ridge over europe west russia. As this is all still 6 days away where that trough sinks is always going to chop and change.
  14. The urals high pressure is key here to buckling the jet and sending it into europe and the low heights. Also there is enough energy coming from the atlantic in the form of shallow low pressures to stop to azores high ridging north keeping the jet heading SE into europe. glimmer of hope lets see how it plays out.
  15. This is model output discussion so Moan in the correct thread its very simple and easy to follow even for you. shall I link it for you? Im well aware of what the models show, and direction of travel but I don't moan about it in here.
  16. Mods can you put some of these posts in the relevant moan/ramp thread please I'm sick of these winters over posts which have no help or relevance in this thread. Moan somewhere else. Thanks
  17. Chilly day down here in south wales and foggy low of - 1.3
  18. Good UKMO & ECM this morning better disruption of the low in the Atlantic @144 with models reverting back to climatology in the extended range I wouldn't be surprised if everything backs west and more favourable charts appear in the coming days.
  19. Unless Im reading the UKMO fax charts wrong the 0z was much better than yesterdays 12Z looking at the 500mb & MSLP UK Met Office Fax Charts - UKMOMSLP Analysis and Prognosis - org WWW.WEATHERCHARTS.ORG UK Met Office . . Europe and North Atlantic MSLP analysis and prognosis charts
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