danthetan
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Everything posted by danthetan
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4am perfect timing no solar Input etc. yeah you lot in S.wales will do well at height and being further inland. Not expecting much at low levels here in Pembrokeshire apart from the hills up the road about 500M. after the low clears through most of next week we won't struggle for precipitation here just cold enough air to produce snow, pembs dangler looks like setting up shop.
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Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
danthetan replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed could be a classic. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
danthetan replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Best Ive seen in a long time. Yeah normally we get these synoptics late march/early april when the SPV itsn't running the show. Think this cold spell may have some legs, obviously with milder interludes. we shall see. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
danthetan replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It really is looking like rinse and repeat, can't remember charts like this since late 2000's. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
danthetan replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
My sweet spot is 200M + in wales south/North pennines bit of sleet for the rest being realistic. -
Model Output Discussion - Christmas and New Year
danthetan replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
you can't deny that looks pretty accurate with most of wales, NW England and scotland being at elevation. south east not so sure don't know the topography. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
danthetan replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If thats a Mean its very realistic it ties in with the Met office 10 day trend a ridge to the NW of Ireland, trough fading away the east. -
Model output discussion - The run up to Christmas
danthetan replied to Met4Cast's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It could be a holding pattern before more amplification thats my guess. -
Met Office see the High pressure closer to the uk cutting off any northerly feed into the new year.
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Model output discussion - Closing in on Christmas
danthetan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
There is a table that was kicking about on the forum years back which illustrated this perfectly. Something to do with the density of air as it cools. -
Just travelled home from snowdonia to haverfordwest clear all the way through Wales until I got to the presli Hills snow level to about 150M very slushy but on the road that goes over near the top 400M temp 0c and dry covering of 2inchs
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Model output discussion - Winter has arrived
danthetan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now thats a snow maker *if the right side of margins. Don't think so this time for low level the mountains could get a dusting which isn't unusual for winter. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
danthetan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
pembrokeshire dangler in full swing there -
Winter 2020/21 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
danthetan replied to Seasonal Trim's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Im travelling home from work from snowdonia to haverfordwest hills and mountains all the way should be fun. -
Model output discussion - into the start of Winter
danthetan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From a cold perspective, I think the best we can hope for is for the trough to sink further east keeping the UK in a colder northerly flow and the atlantic ridge building in over the top of the trough and linking with the ridge over europe west russia. As this is all still 6 days away where that trough sinks is always going to chop and change. -
Model output discussion - Winter approaches
danthetan replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The urals high pressure is key here to buckling the jet and sending it into europe and the low heights. Also there is enough energy coming from the atlantic in the form of shallow low pressures to stop to azores high ridging north keeping the jet heading SE into europe. glimmer of hope lets see how it plays out. -
Temp 1.7 clear and slight grass frost
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Winter 2019/20 | Moans, Ramps & Chat
danthetan replied to Summer Sun's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
This is model output discussion so Moan in the correct thread its very simple and easy to follow even for you. shall I link it for you? Im well aware of what the models show, and direction of travel but I don't moan about it in here. -
Model Output Discussion - Happy New Year!
danthetan replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mods can you put some of these posts in the relevant moan/ramp thread please I'm sick of these winters over posts which have no help or relevance in this thread. Moan somewhere else. Thanks -
Tuesday 17th December weather observations
danthetan replied to Summer Sun's topic in Weather reports