LetItSnow!
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Summer8906 I had a memory of it being wet but October 1967 was only 6mm drier than October 2023, one of the very wettest. One of those years that the culture was iconic but the weather not so much.
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Summer8906 Correct. A year that really doesn't sum up its decade! Indeed add a degree and it wouldn't look out of place today.
Though, and while I'll keep it short since it is technically a bit off topic, take away 1963 and the winter months of the 1960s don't average that remarkably cold. Even anually if you take away 1962 and 1963 the years weren't unusually cold. It's a decade that's been taken over in status by one year. Though still better than nowadays...
Anyways, perhaps I'll let someone else go before I do the next one!
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When that rain does eventually reach us it'll probably stick around for a while so that'll definitely put us out of the very dry May category seeing as there's been quite a few days this month that had prolonged heavy rain and that's not including any potential rain or showers from the trough that'll be nearby through the week.
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Summer8906 I'm on a roll! The upsides of having a atypical brain that holds onto the most irrelevant things. Don't think I've guessed wrong...yet.
Pressing the random number generator for my next year. All welcome to guess as always.
The winter was mild and wet despite a drier January. There little in the way of snow, restricted to the first-half of January when the south-east had some falls. The mild theme continued into March where in Scotland it was extremely wet but drier across England and Wales.
The rest of the spring was colder though but not exceptionally so. April was quite dry but May was exceptionally wet and exceptionally thundery.
The summer was unremarkable but quite dry and had a sunny June with some severe thunderstorms in the north and west (including Wales) late in the month. July and August were statistically unremarkable but August had some severe storms from the 8th to the 10th, first in the north then more widespread in the south. These storms were so severe that they cut off villages, collapsed bridges and caused lightning deaths.
The autumn was generally very wet despite a drier November but had near-normal temperatures. September was very wet and October was extremely wet. November was rather cold. December had a severe snowstorm in the first-half of the month that affected a widespread area from the south coast through the south-west and into south Wales but the month was overall statistically unremarkable.
The year overall was slightly warmer than average and very wet.
This was quite hard to do because it really is not a classic year. You could definitely put this in the "meh" folder along with the likes of 2002. Perhaps that's a clue.
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Summer8906 I am going to vote 1999 fairly confidently. My reasons being the westerly but unremarkable winter, the thundery May and the storms around the 1st of June and the hot end to July.
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On 26/04/2024 at 16:44, B87 said:
anti 1954
My anti-1954 adjusted for the modern day climate. Temperature anomalies are against the 1991-2020 average.
January: A rather mild, dull and rather wet southwesterly month but with a colder and dryer spell from the 14th to the 20th.
CET: 5.2 (+0.5) / EWP: 99.0mm (121%) / Sunshine: 89%
February: Mild, dry and sunny. An exceptionally mild first week with high pressure to the south bringing balmy south-westerly winds; spring sunshine in the south with temperatures in the mid/upper teens, but some heavy rain and strong winds in the north-west. Tending to become more anticyclonic afterward.
CET: 5.9 (+0.9) / EWP: 45.6mm (69%) / Sunshine: 118%
March: Changeable but overall fairly average temperatures and dry. Some northerly topplers bringing the average down.
CET: 6.2 (-0.5) / EWP: 44.0mm (71%) / Sunshine: 99%
April: Very wet and dull with near normal temperatures due to high minima and no particualrly high maxima. Many places saw rain fall every day from the 6th to the 27th in some form.
CET: 8.9 (-0.1) / EWP: 100.1mm (170%) / Sunshine: 86%
May: Dry, sunny and rather warm though rather changeable.
CET: 12.5 (+0.6) / EWP: 45.4mm (71%) / Sunshine: 124%
June: Hot, dry and sunny.
CET: 16.5 (+1.8) / EWP: 38.3mm (57%) / Sunshine: 132%
July: Very hot and exceptionally sunny but not exceptionally dry, suggesting a thundery month.
CET: 18.8 (+1.9) / EWP: 66.9mm (57%) / Sunshine: 142%
August: Hot, sunny and dry. The 16th to the 24th saw virtually unbroken sunshine across the whole UK.
CET: 18.1 (+1.6) / EWP: 43.8mm (53%) / Sunshine: 141%
September: Rather warm but quite dull overall. Notably dry further north-west but rather wet in the east and south-east.
CET: 14.7 (+0.5) / EWP: 59.6mm (77%) / Sunshine: 91%
October: Very cold but sunny and dry, notably so in parts of Scotland.
CET: 8.7 (-2.2) / EWP: 72.6mm (76%) / Sunshine: 115%
November: A dry, chilly and anticyclonic month. Particularly dry in the south-west.
CET: 6.0 (-1.5) / EWP: 42.3mm (46%) / Sunshine: 112%
November: A rather cold and sunny month but with some big falls of snow, particularly across the south-east on the 8th and in the north-west on the 17th into the 18th.
CET: 2.4 (-2.4) / EWP: 70.8mm (82%) / Sunshine: 109%
Annual CET: 10.33 (+0.09) / EWP: 730.8mm (79%) / Sunshine: 113%
Summer would be the hottest on record, +0.1C above 1976. Would be 12th driest year on record.
Non AGW version (Using opposite ranks):
4.0 - 5.3 - 5.0 - 8.3 - 11.3 - 15.3 -18.2 -16.9 - 14.1 - 7.5 - 5.3 - 1.2 / 9.37C
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Summer8906 1950 is correct. A bit of a 2023 style summer somewhat.
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Addicks Fan 1981 Yeah, October 2019 was rather cool. Got a larger downward correction and ended up being one of the few sub 10 Octobers we've had this century. Though by the 1901-2000 average it was just 0.4C below noemal Even with a La Nina the leftover heat and overall feel of the year I feel October 2025 would be more likely than October 2024 to do the same feat!
Back to May and I feel that cloud amounts this week will determine a lot for how warm this May pans out. When the pattern goes slack easterly I do wonder if that may make it quite cloudy. Conversely that could hold minima up.
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Addicks Fan 1981 To be fair it only has to be anything at 11.9 or below to do that. We've had a run of warm ones in contrast to a run of average ones.
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reef Did a little run down similar to this on the annual C.E.T. thread. We really are running at an extraodinary pace.
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Next one.
The winter was mild with near-normal rainfall. January was very dry with both notably mild and cold spells but February was generally mild and very wet but sunny.
The spring was fairly mild and dry. March was warm and dry with an early warm spell. April was cool and wet with a notable snow storm. May was a very average month but it featured some exceptional thunderstorms which were tornadic.
The summer started well but turned poor. June was hot, sunny and rather dry with an extreme hot spell but July and August were very wet and quite cool though not overly dull.
The rest of the year was quite cold with varying rainfall. September was cool, wet and dull, October was very dry but quite chilly, November was quite cold but very wet again and December was very cold and snowy.
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Weather Enthusiast91 Is that 1970?
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Squally77 Correct!
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On 01/04/2024 at 19:14, Earthshine said:
Haha would you look at that. Just need a 14°C+ May now I would say
You've predicted June and September last year and now you've (potentially) manifested an extremely warm May.
Do you know something we don't? 
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Tiniest bit of fluff moving NE-wards between Swindon and Amesbury. Wonder if thats an attempt at a cell or just a bit of nothing.
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Hail in Newport
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Cardiff looks like they're about to be walloped
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Rolling C.E.T. for May 2023-April 2024 roughly at 11.27C now (just an average of the month's C.E.T.s and not the daily means).
With May almost guaranteed to be at least very warm this will rise. A very warm May of 13.5 (a lower end projection remarkably) would raise it to 11.39C and 14.5C would raise it to 11.48C. Something equal to May 1833 would raise it to 11.53C. The warmest 12 month period not restricted to a calender year is 11.66C from May 2006 to April 2007.
The amount of above average temperature anomalies we've seen since June 2021 and particularly since June 2023 is only matched by this period in terms of intensity yet has gone on far longer. It's actually impressive the old record has lasted so long. It shows that a calendar year in the 11.5-12.0C range is no longer fiction and a possible reality soon.
Many years ago a poster spoke of our changing weather being in about 4 stages or something like that. From memory/a little bit of my own interpretation is that 2006/2007 was a temporary shift into the 4th stage before we went back into the 2nd stage for about six years after that and then generally stayed stable in the third stage throughout the rest of the 2010s and early 2020s. This makes sense to me as apart from some colder blips in the early '90s and the late '00s/early '10s, the annual C.E.T. generally remained quite stable from 1989 to 2021. To me it seems that shift back into the 4th stage has begun and whether it's a permanent switch or not, who knows. Regardless, if we have three 11C years in a row, that's just beyond remarkable and plain concerning. Assuming we have a May around the 14C mark, even if every other month of the year was around the 1991-2020 average we'd still have a finish around 10.8-10.9C.
The times sure are a-changin'.
Forgive me if off topic but a calendar year with the same ranks as each month from May 2006-April 2007 would look like this. Not too crazy looking now.
5.2 - 6.4 - 9.6 - 8.7 - 14.2 - 17.1 - 18.0 - 17.2 - 16.3 - 11.0 - 7.9 - 8.8 - 11.70C
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WYorksWeather You'd think they'd fix the issue by now... This problem existed when I first started avidly browsing weather models in 2014-2015.
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SunSean That's the fun part about the world, preferences, everyone's got some even if they are atypical. I certainly am happy for the sun starved people liek yourself. I'm just waiting for things to go boom but I don't think I'm in luck this time but we'll see!
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In Absence of True Seasons Well, a couple of days of sunshine are nice of course but I never really got the weeks of endless anticyclonic weather that some people (validly) crave. Exceedingly boring weather. My only personal gripe since July is the abhorrent mildness really that killed the winter months. Dullness can annoy me too, if it goes on for ridiculous amounts of time. But generally I haven't been bothered with the rain aspect. But bear in mind I live in an urban setting and don't have to deal with flooded fields and such. I did for the first 20 years of my life though so it's not as though I don't know what that's like. I'd find a summer like 1976 or 1995 breathtakingly boring and unpleasant, not even just for heat.
I may be a vampire because sunshine genuinely doesn't really improve my mood that much, certainly less than it used to. But it is nice.
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The skies have a very pre-thundery look to them here despite not being in danger zone today.
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Next one.
The winter was stormy and wet though had unexceptional temperatures overall. January was very snowy in the north but not so much further south. The spring was quite cold overall, particularly in March and May. April was very dry and sunny however. May was wet in the south but very dry and fine in the north. The summer was quite good with a decent June and July but a hot August. After this it was generally wet and mild for the rest of the year.
The year was rather warm and quite sunny but slightly wetter than average.
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WYorksWeather That was definitely the case for July 2023. If that pattern had occurred just a couple years earlier it would have been cooler I think. If that pattern had occurred in 2015 in the peak of the cold blob era then it would have been quite chilly.
Just for fun: Guess the year
in Historic Weather
Posted
Summer8906 Took a minute to think but I'm going to vote for 1981!