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Woollymummy

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Everything posted by Woollymummy

  1. Woollymummy
    Brrrrrr....
  2. Woollymummy
    Is all this new change big enough to qualify as a "cold heart" or do we need to see sustained cold into February? I still want the OPI to win...,
  3. Woollymummy
    I would prefer it as it is, it works well when people are respectful and objective, I think the only thing I would change is the title: stick to the the basics of "Model Output Discussion" and the time or part of the season, but avoid descriptors which include a particular type of weather arriving. We are all going to turn up to check it anyway, but it makes it more inclusive to leave it up to the models to show what the weather will be, rather than the title.
  4. Woollymummy
    So the two sketches, I am trying to visualise it, with a single vortex the wind is air falling towards the centre low , dense, thin bit in the middle, and when the vortex is split it makes a thick warmer hump in the middle, and the air rolls downhill on either side to the respective vortex so we are hoping or expecting to get some air out of the disturbed bit in the middle? UK is the splatted bit at the bottom of the second picture. Is this right or muddled?
  5. Woollymummy
    Being a Polar Vortex, he would be the best person to know what is happening up there, great name and nice to have a visit from such an influential phenomenon :-)
  6. Woollymummy
    I just popped out into the garden to watch the pine trees in the strong gusts, and saw a big pale moth fluttering about to get to the porch light, and trying to sit and rest on the wildly waving washing line!
  7. Woollymummy
    1999. We got the last 4 ferry tickets to Dieppe and saw the build up, through to totality and the warm sunny aftermath on a cliff top looking over the Channel, incredible. Temperature dropped 11 degrees, porch lights came on, dogs barking, horses running around and neighing, best of all from our high cliff position we could see the shadow actually racing across the water towards us, very spooky and exciting. During totality the whole horizon had sunset pinky red colours in all directions, it actually felt like we were under a lid. Saw Baileys beads, diamond ring, hilarious to see the sun as an intensely black spot. We spent so much time laughing and squealing, but also just saying wow! I have to say the experience in America, 2018 could be more like that than a cloudy Friday in the Faeroes in March, but you never know! Good luck hunting eclipses, it is worth it if you get a good one.
  8. Woollymummy
    According to that great nullschool live windspeed animated globe, Scotland has the strongest winds in the world just now, is that true?
  9. Woollymummy
    Excuse the question please if it is obvious, but do the above charts show that the main vortex is gradually shifting across the NH from the Canadian side to the Russian side, meaning that even if it is not split there will be a significant change in the patterns of weather systems affecting the UK?
  10. Woollymummy
    I was right, gales! We can blame the heat wave in Alaska which is spooling the Arctic air round the US, to give us more jet fun and games. I find actual gales more exciting than possible snow.
  11. Woollymummy
    NYE was latest sunrise, held steady one minute earlier for a few days since, tomorrow it will be two minutes earlier and then the only way is up, yay! I couldn't care less if it snows or not really, at least we know the sun is coming back :-)
  12. Woollymummy
    Is there a way of seeing what the Sun's activity at the moment could be doing to the very outer edge of the atmosphere? Maybe the models are difficult to interpret because of something that isn't being shown properly.
  13. Woollymummy
    This is a great new way to fritter away the remains of your holiday: I just did. Sort of like top trumps for weather: http://www.ready.noaa.gov/READYcmet.php I only chose Helsinki as the target city as it is the nearest in line to northern parts of UK who looked lined up to get the next incoming gale.
  14. Woollymummy
    Thank you for the reply. If the cold air comes far enough South in the USA will it have the same effect on the jetstream as the displaced vortex did last year? Therefore giving us some possibly some gales?
  15. Woollymummy
    Didn't something like this happen last year (big cold snap in Eastern USA, heating up of West Coast USA including Alaska), and then we got loads of storms?
  16. Woollymummy
    Speaking of old winters, last winter seemed very similar to the one 101 years before: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/o/5/Dec1912.pdf
  17. Woollymummy
    Happy New Year, how addictive will the weather watching be in 2015, I wonder? Thankyou for all your informative predictions and ramblings, my family think it is all a silly waste of time but they were suitably impressed that the 26th/27th storm showed up in the end. At times it seems best to go back to what I used to do (looking out of the window ) but learning to understand the models is great fun.
  18. Woollymummy
    I am only just trying to understand things about the stratosphere but am interested so forgive my ignorance; is this image showing an "attack" on the polar vortex, and if so, what kind, and is the time scale (a week from now) too far away to usually prove "true" ;are the forecasts for patterns in the upper atmosphere easier or more difficult to model than the lower down snowy ones that everyone obsesses about, and finally, on one of the charts for the middle of the atmosphere , it seemed to show air moving from a low pressure region in the Pacific this week, in a system of swirls that remind me of cogs, so that the air would then pop straight over the North Pole and appear in Scandinavia and Europe in the near future; is that normal, or unusual/unlikely, and if it has a name, what do you call it? Many thanks :-)
  19. Woollymummy
    The snow warnings were meant to act like grit, (making roads safer) I think people were hoping they would sound dramatic enough to stop people driving in the snow. Far more effective than gritting. Unless the advice is ignored.
  20. Woollymummy
    They might have been sneaky late cheap tickets as they only found over £140 a few weeks ago, but also that might have been Eurostar not the Eurotunnel.
  21. Woollymummy
    Just a question, when do sea temperatures around the UK and land temperatures normally match each other? Is this chart unusual for this time of year?
  22. Woollymummy
    Spikecollie: "Come with us on Eurotunnel!" They would normally but left it too late to book the normal price tickets and were faced with BookedTooLateSoWeWillChargeYouWhateverWeLike:Ha! -price tickets, so theyopted for the boat/coach combo. I am so worried! :-(
  23. Woollymummy
    Any ideas welcome please: my sister and her boyfriend are booked on an evening English Channel ferry crossing 28th Dec, should they try and rearrange travel?
  24. Woollymummy
    Am I right in thinking that in the previous chart, the low pressure rapid development would (might) come about because of the unusually high temperatures shown off the coast of Spain? So if the warmth turns out to be less strong, the "weather bomb" will be less explosive?
  25. Woollymummy
    Where is Michael Fish today? I always try and watch his forecast, haven't seen one for a while :-( I hope he is ok.
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