sorepaw1

I've looked at the charts. It' more of a NWW airflow with some snow to higher western locations and Northern England.

Meanwhile what on the models

True. I'd personally like GFS to be wrong. But with GFS showing the cold spell long before ECM and ukmo and almost identical runs for several days now upto T+168hrs. I suppose I'm going against the grain for many on here. But it is was it is.

I personally don't think that GFS is wrong it's been fairly consistent for some time in fact several days now . GFS showed the Weak Scandinavian high before ECM and UKMO . And has been consistent in lasting around 72hrs before been replaced by a more milder and blustery NWW direction....

I think I'm completely missing something to me it just looks like a 3 day cold spell with blustery wintery showers Saturday and Sunday followed by dry cold settled weather Monday and Tuesday followed by frontal snow for Western areas Wednesday than above average temps for several days after then probably a return to a cooler NW flow bringing blustery rain showers and snow for Northern hills above 300m. I know your not all going to agree but that' all I can see atm.

The met office warning for heavy snow for my area is like I thought over egged once again. Just heavy rain . There's more of a flood risk than a snow risk.

Looking like another mild wet winter imo With western areas seeing frequent flooding and high level stream and river levels. I'd put all my Xmas money on a wetter and milder than average winter.

Lots to talk about these coming days . I'm struggling to load up the 18z gfs. I keep getting intermittent power cuts with the strong winds here. I've got as far as T+126 hrs. Is it still looking potentially cold beyond that. Sorry to be a nuisance.

It's good to talk very admiral to post it. Hope you feel better soon... I'm sure according to the 18z you'll be able to have an early morning walk in the snow next week or sooner .

Yes that looks very impressive if noticed on the last couple of runs more so on the 18z that area of high pressure to our West pushed further West and weakening. All in all a good show .

Looking at the current 18z GFS. its looking pretty amazing for most of the uk for potential snowfall. I think theres going to be a news headline there next week. Low pressure dominant all next week. Happy days. I'm just going with the flow i aren't even going to try to predict how much and where. I just know we're all in for something excuse my lack of detail. I aren't disappointed with the 18z. More so if I lived down south but I don't. I live in a log cabin on the North Yorkshire Moors 474ft ASL. Also have a subaru 4X4.

Is this just a brief 36hr cool spell for the weekend for Northern Scotland. I fail to see anything else sorry

The BBC forecast for next week on iplayer is wet and windy.no mention of snow/ ice .. I fear Darren Betts has something to do with it. That bloke can't broadcast a weather forecast without using the word mild every 30 seconds. I think he should be locked in the bbc store room between November and April.

With this chart for around next Thursday and beyond the following weekend. Some very stormy weather indeed along with snow/ rain. I've also noticed later on in the run . A 1045mb high pressure. West of the uk over the Atlantic that potentially. Leaves me thinking about the possibility of the models struggling to grasp much more beyond next Friday. I know that's generally the case. But I'll be watching the coming days with interest. Given my location. Storm force winds from this direction at this time of year." close roads and make enormous snow drifts.

Thunderstorms here and torrential Hail and snow.

Heavy snow showers here all night 4" of snow laying and still falling over high ground pics to follow in the morning daylight. . Temp 0.oc wind NNE. Gusty at times.

I'd say winter is dead and burried now imo. Let's look forward to spring and summer and some nice March southerly air and a scorching summer . So close this winter but yet so far oh well. I wonder if B&Q will refund my snow shovel as not as described.

I'm staying optimistic past T+144 hrs in all my 30 plus years of study Easterly winds have been a nightmare to forecast once there upon us imo. I'd say sit back and wait a few days as we enter the middle of the polar continental air and see where we are on Sundays 12z up to T+120hrs if we see a trend to milder southerly air flow so be it. That's the way it goes but I aren't convinced that this is just a 5 day cold snap... but I'm open to be wrong and constructive feedback.

From what I have read so far on this thread makes sense. It's nice to have snow between November and January but as we head towards March I'd personally like some mild sunny days .and not grey skies with drizzle. I maybe mistaken but the Scandinavian high was always going to get pushed eastwards by lots of deep low pressures in the north Atlantic ... If a top poster on here says snow. Then it must be right

Looking at the GFS 12z my spring daffodils might be in flower by next week . Imo roll on a warm spring and summer .

Just a thought but with the battle ground scenario at T+162hrs and beyond wouldn't there be some kind of snow events as the milder air battles with the colder Easterly air . Or am I barking up the wrong tree.

there's a saying where I come from you can always tell a wessy but you can't tell a wessy nowt.

This was the scene of my farm land earlier. It's hard to predict how much snow east coast fringes are going to get. No snow here as yet maybe after 7pm a few showers may crop up.

I'm seeing your snow on the rainfall radar. Looking good.

There not just for snow how many times lol But I understand what you mean. Put it this way if you youtube winter tyres you may have a better understanding. Take care in your all season tyres.