BarometerCat
-
Posts
566 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by BarometerCat
-
-
25 minutes ago, CoventryWeather said:
@BarometerCat the Swiss 4x4 model indicates something more widespread.
Known quite well for convection so I'm keeping an eye on this model, the UKV and arome were very poor this morning for the south east.
Cool! do you have a link to those charts?
-
Monday night arpege for Midlands
icon
not much else on other models.
High pressure to the north, cold uppers around but still I'm guessing anything or nothing can happen.
-
2 minutes ago, makelikeaturkey said:
Cheers @BarometerCat.
Much that I love the excitement of the model discussion, I only really understand a tiny fraction of it... and to be honest, there's far too much ramping on there for my liking. If it snowed more often, I might make more effort to understand it all! I can at least get the jist of which way the wind's blowing... in both ways!
I understand the fax charts much better than the models though (with the exception of the 850 hPa temperature and precipitation graphs - they're logical) and they should be in range for us around Tuesday and Wednesday. I'll try to post something here closer to the time.
There is also a bias, North, South etc.. some post from an IMBY perspective which is fine but worth noting! I think it would be a brave move to attempt to predict snow days away. We can see if conditions are about right but that’s it. Fax charts are super useful.
-
As well as GFS, UKMO etc… there are some precipitation charts available here
arpège model - precipitation united kingdom - info | weatheronline
WWW.WEATHERONLINE.CO.UK
Weather for UK, Ireland and the world. Sailing, Marine Weather, Weather maps, radar, satellite, climate, historic weather data, information about meteorology...Some are better than others!
On GFS I find it useful to look for the 528 dam line etc.. loads on the forum elsewhere about snow forecast but for most it’s nowcast and lampost watch!
-
1
-
-
9 hours ago, makelikeaturkey said:
I've been lurking on the model discussion page for days, but live south of Nottingham.
As I understand it, any chance of snow next week seems to be focused more on the south east. Anything to watch out for for snow closer to us?
I think, and if interpreting discussion right,it looks like snow could occur anywhere if some of the modelled conditions come off, including us in East Mids. Here’s hoping anyway!
-
1
-
-
Cold theme ahead, can’t complain. Looking to tomorrows output…can we keep this going?
-
1
-
1
-
-
anyone else noted the bright shiny orb out today? And no rain? No comment on snow potential, at least if we see none it will be hopefully dry.
-
1
-
-
-
Had been watching this initial colder period from the 30th via GFS mostly (6z!), has been nice to watch a period of change unfold.
later frames get a bit messy but around this date has been fairly consistent with incoming high pressure, colder temps and a change from rain etc.. keeping it simple, high pressure more likely to be dry! (just from my POV, not that knowledgeable)
enjoy the models, very interesting outputs at the mo. Back to lurking for me!
-
8
-
-
Still showing colder 'interlude' around the 7th...
just for quick comparison.
GFS 0z
ECM0z
Getting closer and more or less similar outputs. A break from rain etc..(hopefully) under a bit of high pressure. Not snowmaggedon or narnia by a long way but will do after last few weeks tbh.
-
2
-
-
On 30/12/2023 at 12:36, B-C said:
Note- not entirely serious!
some models showing colder possibilities around 7th Jan, just colder - nothing dramatic, might see some ice on windscreens or the cat might stay in overnight and that level of excitement from IMBY perspective
GFS 6z
ECM 0z
Watch this dissolve into far less colder, wet, messy and dull outputs as we count down to the 7th! (rain, wind etc..)
possibly a cold ramp. Guess it looks like I might be wrong! No complaints from me though for sure...lets see what GFS pub run chucks out later.
12z ECM gives us this for 7th..
still colder on later frames etc.. so lets see..
-
1 hour ago, Josh Rubio said:
Looks like we’re in for some wild weather tonight
Looks like an intense band approaching on radar.
-
Note- not entirely serious!
some models showing colder possibilities around 7th Jan, just colder - nothing dramatic, might see some ice on windscreens or the cat might stay in overnight and that level of excitement from IMBY perspective
GFS 6z
ECM 0z
Watch this dissolve into far less colder, wet, messy and dull outputs as we count down to the 7th! (rain, wind etc..)
-
2
-
-
Non descript dull overcast and wet...totally uninspiring.
-
i see its game over(again) for winter, until 18z..0z etc.. I guess it depends on what you are looking for, or what specific outputs and where you are looking.
-
1
-
-
Light rain here now, frost has gone. Not a bad start to December really for cold.
-
Actually did snow (a bit) then. Missed seeing it falling but cannot be the last opportunity this winter!
-
Looks a lot like winter today, took this earlier. Still a fair bit of frost about.
-
2
-
1
-
-
15 hours ago, Dancerwithwings said:
Yes
but I’m going to reserve my coldie thoughts for now, as it’s way too far off to start getting excited……but I’m finding it hard….Thursday 
Just noticed a solitary snow flake on metoffice app for Thursday. Here we go again..
-
1
-
-
is it THAT time of the year all ready? Someone mentioned sno..
-
2
-
-
Ooh snowing again! Too wet to settle here iI reckons but still!
-
1
-
-
White out this morning, total recover and still going. Radar showing more on way this morning by look of radar. Most snow I have seen in years!
-
2
-
-
rain, heavy. wet. 
Snow early hours maybe?
-
Snowing again and quite a lot of radar too. Yesterdays getting more covering.
-
1
-
Midlands regional discussion - Winter 23/24
in Midlands Weather Discussion
Posted
Perfect, ta! It looks like activity tomorrow PM onwards. Will be interesting to see what comes of it.